wall street in advance

November/December 2020  Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,   Nov 22     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
        New Zealand Q3 Retail Sales
        Aussie Markit Nov Flash Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI
        Indonesia Oct Motor Bike Sales
        Singapore Q3 GDP, Oct CPI
        Thailand Oct Trade Balance
        Taiwan Oct Unemployment Rate, Industrial Production, Retail Sales
        Eurozone, France, Germany, Markit flash Nov Mnftg/Services/Composite PMI
        UK Markit/CIPS Nov Mnftg/Services/Composite PMI

        ECB's pre-release of Financial Stability Review: Assessing Corp.Vulnerabilities
        ECB's Schnabel welcome @ECB Money Markets V-Conference (14:10 cet)
        ECB's McCaul panelist @Financial Regulatory Outlook V-Conference (15:00 cet)
Monday, Nov 23 Chicago Fed Oct Nat'l Activity Index
US Markit flash Mnftg/Services/Composite PMI
NY Fed Exec VP speaks @IIF--Institute for Int'l Finance Emerging Markets Central Banking Summit (10am est)
US Treasury Auctions $56B 2-year Notes & $51B 6-month Bills
S.F. FRB's Daly
in conversation w/Magic Johnson, Mayor K. Bottoms, + more
US Treasury Auctions $54B 3-month Bills & $57B 5-year Notes
Fed's Evans
discussion w/Abe Tubbs for the Iowa Bankers Ass'n Leaders (2pm ct)
Japan Workers Day Holiday
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
        RBA's Ass't Gov Debelle speaks
        German Q3 GDP
        French Q3 GDP
, Nov Business & Consumer Confidence
        Hong Kong Oct Trade Balance
        German IfO Nov Business Conditions/Expectations
        UK Nov Distributive Trades
        Mexico Oct Unemployment Rate/Change
        BoJ's Kuroda speaks @IMF/Unc of Tokyo V-Conference
        ECB's Bollo speaks @Working Grp FinServices organized by Kangaroo Group
Tuesday Nov 24 ECB's Schnabel speaks @Bk of Finland webinar "New challenges to monetary policy strategies" (14:15 cet)
ECB Pres Lagarde V-roundtable @U.N. Rebirthing the Global Economy to Deliver Sustainable Development (15:00 cet)
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
US Sept FHFA House Price Index
S&P-Case/Shiller Sept 20-city House Price Index

Conference Board's Nov Consumer Confidence
Richmond Fed Nov Manufacturing Index
Fed's Bullard speaks
US Treasury Auctions $30B reopened 119-day & $30B reopened 42-day Bills
Fed's Williams discussion & Q&A @WSJ Newsmakers Live (noon est)
Fed V.Ch. Clarida (12:45pm et) on "The Federal Reserve's New Framework," BoC Dpty Gov Wilkins, ECB's Lane (18:45 cet), IMF's Mng Dir Georgieva speak @IMF Conf. on "New Policy Frameworks for a 'Lower for Longer' World"
US Treasury Auctions $24B reopened 2-year FRNs & $56B 7-year Notes
     OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         RBNZ (New Zealand) Financial Stability Report
         Aussie Q3 Construction Work Completed
         Thailand Oct Industrial Production
         Swiss Nov ZEW Sentiment Index/Expectations
         ECB releases Financial Stability Review--Nov. 2020 (10:30 cet)
         'Monetary Developments in the Eurozone' Dataset Released (10:00 cet)
         France Oct Unemployment Claims/Total Jobseekers
         ECB's af Jochnick panelist @SAFE Frankfurt V-conference on "Impact of Covid-19 on bank capitalization & resolution" (12:15 cet, 11/25 local time)
         BoE's Saporta chat w/Huw Jones @Reuters Future of Insurance, Europe (11:40 bt)
         Mexico Sept Retail Sales
Wed.      Nov 25 MBA weekly US Purchase/Refinance Applications
Brazil Oct Current Account, Foreign Direct Investment
US weekly Initial Jobless Claims/Continuing Claims
US Oct Durable + Capital Goods Orders/Shipments
US Q3 (rev) GDP/CapEx/Household Consumption/PCE

US Q3 Corporate Profits
US Q3 ECI (Employment Cost Index)
US Oct Trade Balance
US Oct Wholesale & Retail Inventories

Mexico Q3 Current Account
U.M. Final Nov Consumer Sentiment/Expectations
US Oct New Home Sales
US Oct Personal Income/Spending/PCE

EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates/Refineries Report(w/e 11/13; 10:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (values not announced at post)
FOMC releases Nov 04--05 Meeting Minutes (2pm et)
   OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
       New Zealand Oct Trade Balance
       Aussie Q3 Private CapEx
       South Korea Nov Interest Rate Decision
       Singapore Oct Industrial Production
       German GfK Dec Consumer Confidence
       Swiss Q3 non-Farm Payrolls
       Italy Oct Trade Balance
       Riksbank (Sweden) Interest Rate Decision/Monetary Policy Report, Oct Lending
       ECB Oct Loans to Companies & Households, M3 Money Supply
       UK Oct Car Production
       ECB's Lane speaks @V-event hosted by Trinity College Dublin (13:00 cet)
       Brazil Oct CAGED Net Payroll Jobs
       ECB publishes Account of MPC Meeting 10/28--29/2020 (13:30 cet)
Thurs.    Nov 26 US Thanksgiving Day Holiday--All US Markets Closed
Mexico Q3 GDP, Sept Economic Activity
Mexico Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
Brazil Oct Net Payrolls
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m., et:
        Japan Nov Tokyo CPI, Foreign Stock & Bond Investments
        China Oct/YTD Industrial Profits
        UK Nov Nationwide Housing Prices

        Spain Oct Retail Sales
        Taiwan Q3 GDP
        ECB's Panetta, Bundesbank Pres Weidmann, Banca d'Italia Gov Visco all speak, and more @Deutsche Bundesbank's V-Conf. "Future Payments in Europe" (10:30 cet)
        ECB's Schnabel panelist @V-debate of Statistisches Bundesamt Wiesbaden in light of EU Council presidency (11:00 cet)
        Eurozone Nov Industrial/Services/Economic/Consumer Sentiment/Expectations
        Mexico Oct Trade Balance
Friday,   Nov 27 Brazil Oct Budget Balance, Unemployment Rate
Canada Sept Budget Balance
US Equity Markets Close 1pm
US Bond Markets Close 2pm
Black Friday
for Retailers--the day they're supposed to get into the black for the year
Black Friday postoned in some European Countries until 12/04, when latest andemic lockdown ends
Sat.        Nov 28 Switzerland referendum on Responsible Business Initiative
BoE's Haldane on "Central Bank Independence" @UCL Economics V-Conference
Sun.        Nov 29     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
        South Korea Oct Industrial/Mnftg/Construction/Service Output, Retail Sales
        Japan Oct Industrial Production, Retail Sales
        Aussie Q3 Business Inventories, Cororate Gross Profits, Oct Private Sector Credit
        China NBS Nov Manufacturing/non-Mnftg/Comosite PMI
        Japan Oct Housing Starts, Construction Orders, Household Confidence
        UK Nov Nationwide Housing Price Index
        Swiss Oct Retail Sales, KOF Nov Leading Indicators
        UK Oct Mortgage Approvals/Lending
        Germany, Italy, Spain Nov CPI/HICP
        ECB Pres Lagarde & Panetta join Eurogroup V-Conference
        ECB's Enria speaks @ECB's Supervision Innovators V-conference: "Technology & banking supervision connected"
        BoE UK Consumer Credit
        ECB Pres Lagarde
participates in Thought Leadership V-Forum organized by European Policy Centre (11:30 cet)
        BoE Chief Economist Haldane opens BoE History & Policy Making Conference (thru 12/01)
        BoE's Teneyro on "Challenges for Setting Monetary Policy" @Resolution Foundation (14:30 bt)
Mon.       Nov 30 OPEC 180th Meeting
ECB's Hakkarainen speaks @ECB Supervision Innovators V-Conference "Tech & bank Supervision"
Chicago Nov PMI
US Oct Pending Home Sales
US Treasury Auctions $54B 3-, & $51B 6-month Bills

Mexico Oct Fiscal Budget
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
        Aussie AiGroup Nov Mnftg PMI, Markit Nov Mnftg PMI
        So. Korea Q3 GDP, Nov Trade Balance, Markit Nov Mnftg PMI
        Japan Oct Unemployment Rate/Applicants to Openings, Jibon Bk Nov Mnftg PMI
        China Caixin Nov Mnftg PMI
        RBA (Aussie) MPC Meets

        India Nov Markit Mnftg PMI
        Russia Nov Markit Mnftg PMI
        Swiss Q3 GDP
        Germany Oct Harmonized Unemployment Rate, Nov Unemployment Rate/Change
        Hong Kong Oct Retail Sales
        Swiss Q3 GDP, procure.ch Nov Mnftg PMI
        Eurozone, France, Germany Nov Markit Mnftg PMI
        Italy Q3 GDP
        UK Markit/CIPS  Nov Mnftg PMI
        Eurozone Nov CPI/Core CPI
        So. Africa Nov Total NEw Vehicle Sales
        Brazil Markit Nov Mnftg PMI
Tuesday, Dec 01 OPEC+ Meets on Production Quotas
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot (includes Black Friday)
Canada Q3 GDP/Current Account, Oct IPPI/RMPI
ECB's Lagarde in conversation w/Fred Kempe on 'Leaderhsip through Crisis' to open the Atlantic Council's GeoEconomics Center (18:00 cet)
BoE Gov Bailey panelist +Dpty Gov Woods speaks @BoE History & Policy Making V-Conference
Fed Gov Powell & Treas Sec'y Mnuchin Qtrly CARES Act Report  @US Senate Banking Cmte on Coronavirus Aid, Relief & Economic Security Acts  (10am et)
Markit US Nov Manufacturing PMI
US ISM Nov Manufacturing PMI/Employment/Prices/Orders/Sales
US Oct Construction Spending
Fed. Gov Brainard discusses CRA Modernization @The Chicago Community Trust (noon)
Chicago FRB Midwest Ag & Shifting Consumer Presferences V-event
Chico Fed Project Hometown Visions of Milwaukee's Future: A Community V-Forum
Mexico Nov Markit Manufacturing PMI
Brazil Nov Trade Balance
US Treasury Auctions $34B 52-week, $30B Reopened 119-Day + $20B 42-Day Bills
NY Fed Exec VP Logan keyenotes Money Marketeers of NYU webinar   (3pm est) 
Evening with the (Richmond) Fed Education & Entrepreneurship in the Valley (4pm)
API weekly Crude Supplies
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
        New Zealand Q3 Terms of Trade
        Aussie Q3 GDP /CapEx/Consumption
        RBA releases Chart Pack
        German Oct Retail Sales
        ECB non-Monetary Policy Meeting
        Spain Nov Unemployment Rate/Change, Oct Tourist Arrivals
        Italy Oct Unemployment Rate
        Eurozone Oct Unemployment Rate, Oct PPI
        BoE's Hauser speaks @IFN UK OnAir Forum & Report 2020
        Brazil Oct Industrial Production
        Wards US Nov. Vehicle Sales
Wed.       Dec 02 US weekly Mortgage Purchase/Refinance Applications (rates at record low)
ECB's Lane chats online @Thomson Reuters Global Investment V-Summit
ADP Nov non-Farm Payroll Employment Change
Fed V.Ch. Quarles on Financial Regulation @FT Global Banking V-Summit (9am et)
CEO Williams opens NY Fed Web Series on Culture: Trust & Decision-Making (9am et)
ISM Nov NY Index
FOMC Gov Powell testifies @US House FinServices Cmte on CARES Act (10am)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates/Refineries Report
Fed's Williams
Press Briefing on Economic Impacts of COVID-19 on 2nd District (1pm)
Dallas Fed's Debt in TX: The Unintended Consequences of Gov't Fines & Fees (thru 3rd)
Fed's Beige Book (2pm et)
Atlanta Fed ViewPoint Live: State of Cybersecurity--Regulators' Perspective (3pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
        Aussie Nov AiGroup Construction Index, Markit Nov (F) Services/Composite PMI
        New Zealand Oct Building Permits
        Aussie Oct Trade Balance, Home Loans, Investment Lending, Imports/Exports
        Japan Jibun Bank Nov Services PMI
        China Caixin Nov Services/Composite PMI
        ECB General Council Meets

        Eurozone, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Nov Markit Services/Composite PMI
        UK Markit/CIPS Nov Services/Composite PMI
        Eurozone Oct Retail Sales

        Brazil Q3 GDP, Markit Nov Services/Composite PMI
        BoE Monthly Decision Maker Panel Data--November 2020
        Bk de France/BoE 6th Int'l Macro Economics Workshop Micro & Macro in Int'l Finance via zoom
Thurs.     Dec 03 US Nov Challenger Job-Cuts
ECB's Enria chats @FT Online Banking V-Summit  (thru 3rd)
US weekly Initial Jobless Claims/Continuing Claims
US Markit Services/Composite PMI
Nov. Chain Store Sales released by those who still release 'em
US ISM Nov Non-Manufacturing Activity/Employment/Orders/Prices
EIA weekly Natural Gas Stockpile Changes/Injections
S.F. FRB V-Seminar on Climate Economics: Seawalls & Stilts--Climate Adaptation
Richmond Fed V-Seminar on Climate Economics
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (values not announced at post)
K.C. Fed Investment Connection: Maximize your IC Proposals
S.F. Fed Carbon Pricing, Revenue, Recycling, & Leakage Protection
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
        So. Korea Oct Current Account
        Aussie Oct Retail Sales
        RBI (India) Interest Rate Decision/Cash Reserve Ratio/Reverse REPO Rate
       German Oct Factory Orders
       France Oct Budget Balance
       Eurozone, Germany, Italy Nov Construction PMI
       Italy Oct Retail Sales
       UK Nov New Car Sales, Construction PMI
       Mexico Nov Auto Production/Exports, Consumer Confidence
       Brazil Nov Car Production, New Car Registrations
Friday,    Dec 04 NY Fed CEO Williams V-Plenary @Meeting of the Group of Thirty (8:05am est)
US Nov. Unemployment Rate/Change/Mnftg/Gov't/Participation
Breakfast w/the Fed: National & Regional Economic Conditions (7:30am ct)
Canada Nov Unemployment Report/Change/Participation/Full-/Part-time, Oct Trade Balance, Durables Orders/Shipments
US Oct Imports/Exports
US Oct Factory Orders
Chico Fed 34th Economic Outlook V-Symposium
Fed Gov Bowman on Community Banking & FinTech @Independent Community Banks of America ThinkTECH Policy Summit
Baker-Hughes weekly US/No. Am. Total/Oil Rig Count
Sat.,        Dec 05
                                                     
       WEEKS AHEAD:
   12/08      K.C. Fed Supervision & Regulation V-Forum (10am cst)
                                                       Conversations with the Fed: Hamilton's Central Bank--Then & Now
                                         12/09     BoC MPC Meets
                                         12/10     ECB MPC Meets
                                                       Richmond Fed Investment Connection Live webinar--NC
                                  12/10--12     Philly FRB Conf. on Urban & Regional Economics (CURE)
                                  12/15--16     FOMC Meets
                                        12/16      FOMC Statement (2pm), Chief Powell Press Conference (2:30pm)
                                        12/17      BoE MPC Meets
                                                        Norges Bank (Norway) MPC Meets
                                                        SNB MPC Meets
                                                        Banco de Mexico MPC Meets
                                        12/18      BoJ MPC Meets              

*FOMC 2020 Voting Members:  Chairperson Jerome Powell, as of 02/05/18, and ALL members of the FOMC Board of Governors are permanent voters: That includes Randall Quarles, & Lael Brainard, Richard Clarida, Gov Bowman, (Senate confirmed 09/12/19), plus New York Fed Pres, currently John Williams (Formerly of the San Francisco Fed) who replaced William Dudley, who retired from the bank on June 15, 2018.:New, revolving Regional Fed Bank leaders who are voters for 2020: MN Fed's Kashkari, Dallas Fed's Kaplan, Philly Fed's Harker, Cleveland Fed's Mester. Other Fed Presidents include: Atlanta Fed's Raphael Bostic, new in August 2017 (replaced Dennis Lockhart), former McKinsey exec Thomas Barkin, who assumed the title of Pres of Richmond Fed on 01/01/18. San Francisco Fed named Mary Daly Pres/CEO as of 10/1/2018, who was a voter until Feb. 2020, completing her predecessor's term (NY Fed CEO Wiliams).
               * HICP used in Europe, means Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices