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October 2019 Economic
Statistics
and Other Economic Influences |
TUESDAYS:
Weekly Chain Store Sales*
Average Hourly Earnings*
API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report* ** (4:30p.m.)
WEDNESDAYS:
Mortgage Applications Data
EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
THURSDAYS:
Weekly Unemployment Report*
Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)
*Except Holidays ** As of 1/09
All Dates Subject to Change: |
| Sunday,
Oct 13 |
|
OVERNIGHT
into US Mon. a.m. et:
Singapore Q3 GDP
China Sept Trade Balance, New
Yuan Loans/Aggregate Lending, Money Supply
New Zealand Sept REINZ House Sales, Performance
of Services Index, Migration
India Sept WPI Inflation, Manufacturing
Inflation
Chiina Foreign Direct Investment
Eurozone Aug Industrial Production
Brazil BCB Focus Market Readout,, IBC-Br Aug
Economic Activity
BoE's Cunliffe speaks on Monetary
Policy @Society of Professional Economists Annual Conference (London 13:10gmt)
|
| Monday, Oct 14 |
|
US Columbus Day Holiday--Treasury
Markets Closed
US Equities Trade Regular Schedule
NY Fed 42nd Central Banking Seminar "The
New Normal: Navigating a Low Rate Environment in an Uncertain World" (NY FRB
thru 18th)
Econonic Sciences Memorial Prize awarded in memory of Alfred Nobel
Jt IMF/World Bank GroupAnnual
Fall Meeting (D.C. thru 20th)
Canada & Japan separate holidays
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
RBA (Aussie) Oct Rate Meeting
Minutes Released
BoJ's Kuroda speaks @Branch
Manager Meeting
China Sept CPI + PPI
So Korea Sept Trade Balance
Japan Aug Industrial Production/Capacity
Utilization, Tertiary Industry Activity Index
Swiss Sept Producer& Import Prices
French Sept CPI & HICP
S.L. Fed's Bullard on "The
Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Options" @2019 Monetary & Financial
Policy Conference w/Q&A (London 4:25am et)
UK ILO Aug Unemployment
Rate/Change, Sept Claimant Count/Change/Earnings
Eurozone Oct ZEW Survey
of Current Conditions/Expectations, Reserve Assets
German Oct ZEW Survey of
Current Conditions/Expectations
BoE's Vlieghe speaks on Monetary
Policy @MoneyMacro & Finance Society Monetary & Financial Policy
Conference (London)
UK Treasury Select Cmte hearing on
"BoE Financial Stability Report" (9:30gmt)
|
| Tuesday Oct 15 |
|
NY Fed Oct Empire State
Manufacturing Survey (8:30am et)
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot (8:55am et)
Fed's Bostic participant in Q&A on community development @Purpose
Built Communities Conference (9am et)
India Trade Balance
BoC Dpty Gov Wilkins speaks (8:30am) & ECB's Lane & RBI's
Patra speak (9:30am) @42nd NY Fed Central Banking Seminar (FRB
NY thru 18th)
IMF presents World Economic Outlook (9am D.C.)
US Treasury Auctions $45B 3-, & $42B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
NY Fed CEO/Pres Williams fireside chat @NY FRB Central Banking
Seminar(12:30pm)
S.F. Fed's Daly @Los Angeles World Affairs Council/Town Hall w/Q&A
(L.A. 2:30pm)
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
12 Democratic 2020 Presidential Hopefuls Debate
on CNN (8pm et)
So Korea Sept Import/Export Price Indices &
Sept Unemployment Rate
So Korea MPC Oct Interest Rate Decision
New Zealand Q3 CPI
Japan Sept Dept Store Sales
EU 25 Sept New Car Registrations
UK Sept CPI, PPI, Vehicle Registrations,
Retail Price Index, Aug House Price Index
Eurozone Sept CPI, HICP, Aug Trade Balance
Italy CPI + HICP
|
| Wed.,
Oct 16 |
|
MBA weekly
Mortgage/Refinance Applications (7am et)
So. Africa Aug Retail Sales
Canada Sept CPI, Aug TICS
US Sept Retail Sales (8:30am et)
Fed's Evans on current eco conditions & monetary policy w/Q&A
@Greater Peoria Development Council (Peoria IL 9am)
Russia Sept Industrial Production
US Aug Business (wholesale & retailer) Inventories (10am et)
ECB's Lane "A Conversation with ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane" @Brookings
Institution (D.C. 10am et)
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations
IIF Institute for International Finance Annual Meeting (10am NY)
Bloomberg Sooner than you Think (Brooklyn NY)
Sohn Foundation Conference (San Francisco)
NAHB Oct Housing Market Index
Fed's Beige Book (2pm et)
Fed Gov Brainard speaks @"Future of Money in the Digital Age,"
JT Peterson Institute + Princeton Univ Center for Finance (3pm stream live)
US Aug TICS (4pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
RBA's Debelle speaks (Sydney Australia), RBA
Sept Fx Transactions
Aussie Sept Unemployment
Rate/Change/Participation, NAB Qtrly Biz Confidence
Singapore Sept Trade Balance
Tokyo Sept Condo Sales, Convenience Store Sales
Hong Kong Sept Exports/Imports
ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
UK Sovereign Debt to be Rated by Fitch
Swiss Sept Trde Balance ncludes Watch Exports
BoE Bank Liabilities/Credit Conditions
Surveys (9:30gmt, 10/17 local time)
UK Sept Retail Sales
Eurozone Aug Construction Output
|
| Thurs.
Oct 17 |
|
Canada ADP Sept Payroll Estimate,
Aug Manufacturing Sales
US Sept Housing Starts/Building Permits (8:30am et)
US weekly Jobless Claims/Continuing Claims
Philly Fed Oct Business Outlook Survey
IMF Global Stability press briefing (8:30am et D.C.)
David Malpass, new World Bank Grp leader, keynotes (8:45am D.C.)
US Sept Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization (9:15am et)
ECB's Couere participates in G20 FinMin & Central Bank Governors deputies'
mtg (DC)
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon "A Conversation on Global
Developments" (10am NY FRB)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et; w/e 10/11)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (delayed by Mon.
holiday)
US Treasury Refunding Announcement (11am et)
BoE's Breeden (Exec Dir for Int'l Banks Supervision) on "Climate
Change and the Role of Central Banks" @NY FRB Central Banking Series (11am et)
Russia Fx Reserves, Sept Unemployment Rate, PPI, Retail Sales
US Auctions 4- & 8-week Bills (11:30am et; value not announced at post)
CNBC debate on the Global Economy @IMF/World Bank Jt Meeting (noon)
US Treasury Auctions $17B 5-year TIPS (1pm et)
Fed's Evans at "Fed Listens: Monetary Policy Impact on Workers and
Their Communities" (2pm) Fed Gov Bowman speaks also (2:10pm
@Chicago IL FRB stream here)
Ray Dalio (Bridgewater) offers "A Macro Investor's View of the Current Global
Environment" @42nd NY FRB Central Banking Series
NY Fed's Williams keynotes @Managed Funds Ass'n Outlook Conference (NY
4:20pm)
Fed Reserve Balance Sheet (soon to grow, again) & US weekly Money Supply (4:30pm)
G24 Press Briefing @IMF/World Bank Jt Annual Fall Meeting (5:15pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
Japan Sept CPI, Foreign
Investments in Japan, Sept Trade Balance
China Q3 + YTD GDP,
Fixed Assets, Sept Industrial Production, Property Investment, Retail Sales, Surveyed
Jobless Rate, Nat'l Bureau of Statistics Press Conf.
Hong Kong Sept Unemployment
Rate
RBI (India) MPC Meeting Minutes
UK CBI Oct Business Optimism,
Selling & Order Trends
German Sept WPI
Eurozone Aug Current Account
|
| Friday,
Oct 18 |
|
Canada Teranet/Nta'l Bank Sept Home
Price Index
IMF Asia & Pacific press briefing (9am et) followed by Plenaries, then regional
briefings at 45 minutes intervals (D.C.)
Fed's George & Fed's Kaplan speak @Jt Dallas & K.C. FRBs
Conference on Energy
& the Economy (10am Denver CO)
ECB's Draghi & Couere participate in IMF/World Bank JT Meeting (D.C.)
Chair McWilliams kicks off 9th FDIC Consumer Research Symposium
Fed's Kashkari speaks @Federal Home Loan Bank of Des Moines Annual
Leadership Summit (Bloomington MN 10:30am)
Fed V. Chair Clarida "US Eco Outlook & Monetary Policy" @CFA
Institute Fixed Income Management Conference 2019 (11:30am Boston MA streamed here )
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm; w/e 10/11)
G20 press conference @IMF/World Bank JT Meeting (1:15pm D.C.)
|
| Saturday, Oct 19 |
|
Mervyn King (former
Gov BoE) delivers Per Jacobsson Lecture "The World Turned Upside Down:
Economic Policy in Turbulent Times" @IMF (D.C.)
ECB's Draghi & Couere partipate at IMF/World Bank Meetings (D.C.)
|
| Sunday,
Oct 20 |
|
IMF Meetings Wrap
OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
Japan Sep Supermarket Sales, Sep Trade Balance,
Aug All Industry Activity
Singapore Q URA Property Index
China Sept New Home Prices
PBoC (China) Interest Rate Fix
New Zealand Sept Credit Card Spending
UK Rightmove House Price Index
German Sept PPI
Eurozone Gov't Debt-to GDP
BoE's Woods speaks @Mansion
House (London)
BoE's Haldane speaks on
Diversity @ECB, FRB, BoE Joint 2nd Gender & Career Progession Conference @ECB
(Frankfurt Germany)
|
| Monday, Oct 21 |
|
Assembly Elections Holiday in
Maharashtra (India)
US Treasury Auctions $45B 3-, & $42B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
Fed Gov Bowman @Gender & Career Progression: A Joint BoE, Fed
Reserve, ECB Conference (11:40am et @ECB, Frankfurt Gremany)
ECB's de Guindos closes Gender & Career Progression Joint Conference @ECB
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
South Korea Sept PPI
German Buba Monthly Report
Spain Trade Balance
UK Oct CBI Business Optimism/Trends in
Orders/Sale Prices, Sept Public Finances
ECB Bank Lending Survey
Hong Kong Sept CPI
|
| Tuesday, Oct 22 |
|
Canada Aug Retail Sales
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot (8:55am et)
US Sept Existing Home Sales (10am et)
Richmond Fed Oct Manufacturing Index
BoC (Canada) Q3 Senior Loan Officer Survey/Business Outlook
US Treasury Auctions $40B 2-year Notes (1pm et)
Japanese Holiday
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
New Zealand Sept Trade Balance
RBA's Kent panelist (Sydney), Aussie Sept
Skilled Vacancies
French Oct Business Survey
China Sept Net Fx Settlement, SWIFT
Global Payments
South Africa Sept CPI
German Sept Import/Export Prices
ECB's Enria roundtable
discussant at "Banking Union--Five Years in the making" organized by Banco de
Espana (Madrid Spain)
Japan Sept Nationwide & Tokyo Dept Store
Sales
OPEC+ Monthly Monitoring Cmte Meeting??
|
| Wed.
Oct 23 |
|
MBA Mortgage/Refinance Apps (7am et)
Canada Aug Wholesale Trade
FHFA Aug. House Price Index
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates/Refinery Report (10:30am et; w/e
10/18)
US Treasury Auctions $20B 2-year Floating Rate Notes (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $41B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
Aussie Oct Manufacturing/Services/Composite
PMIs
South Korea Q3 GDP
Japan Nikkei Oct Manufacting PMI, Jibun
Bk Services & Composite PMI
Spain Q3 Unemployment Rate
EU Commission Economic Forecasts
UK & Italian Sovereign Debt to be
Rated by S&P
Norges (Norway) MPC Meets
Eurozone, France, Germany, Italy, Oct
Markit Mnftg/Services/Composite PMIs
Hong Kong Trade Balance
UK BBA Sept Loans for House Purchase
Mexican IAGAE Aug Economic Activity
ECB MPC Interest Rate/QE Decisions (a
week pre-Brexit & Draghi's swan song)
ECB's Draghi post-Meeting Press
Conference (14:30cet, Frankfurt)
|
| Thurs,
Oct 24 |
|
Brazil BCB Nat'l Monetary Council
Interest Rate Meeting, Sep Current Account/FDI
US Sept (P) Durable/Capital Goods Orders/Shipments (8:30am et)
US weekly Jobless Claims
US Markit Flash Oct Composite PMI (9:45am et)
US Sept New Home Sales (10am et)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
K.C. Fed Manufacturing Index (11am et)
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (11:30am et; values not available at post)
US Treasury Auctions $32B 7-year Notes (1pm et)
US weekly Fed Balance Sheet (rising again 4:30pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
German Nov GfK Consumer Confidence
Japan Sept Machine Tool Orders
Singapore Unemployment Rate, Sept
Industrial Production
French & Spanish Sept PPI
Italy Trade Balance
France Total Job Seekers
Russia Oct Interest Rate Decision
India Bank Loan & Deposit Growth, Fx
Reserves
German Oct IFO Business
Climate/Expectations
ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
|
| Friday, Oct 25 |
|
UM Oct Consumer
Sentiment/Outlook (10am et)
Canada Aug Budget Balance
Baker-Huges weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
BoE Museum spook-tacular soiree (Halloween party at BoE museum)
|
Saturday, Oct 26
|
|
China Sept Industrial
Profits |
|
WEEKS AHEAD: 10/29--30 FOMC 2-day Meeting
10/30 FOMC Rate Decision
BoC (Canada) MPC Rate Decision
10/31 BoJ MPC Meets
*FOMC 2019 Voting Members: Chairperson
Jerome Powell, as of 02/05/18, and ALL members of the FOMC Board of
Governors are permanent voters: That includes Randall Quarles, & Lael
Brainard, Richard Clarida, Gov Bowman, (Senate confirmed
09/12/19) plus New York Fed Pres, currently John Williams
(Formerly of the San Francisco Fed) who replaced William Dudley, who retired from
the bank on June 15, 2018.:New, revolving Regional Fed Bank leaders who are voters
for 2018: Atlanta Fed Pres. Raphael Bostic, new in August 2017 (replaced Dennis
Lockhart), former McKinsey exec Thomas Barkin, who assumed the title of Pres
of Richmond Fed on 01/01/18. San Francisco Fed named Mary Daly Pres/CEO
as of 10/1/2018, who'll be a voter until Feb. The hole in the San Francisco Fed's
hierarchy resulted in Esther George--a very vocal hawk--becoming a voting member of the
FOMC, but she steps aside as of Mary Daly's swearing in, and returns as a voter in Feb
2019. Cleveland Fed's voter, Loretta Mester, a hawk, who wants rates
raised at a quicker pace because she believes the Fed has, already, fallen behind the
curve. Richmond wound up with an opening, after Jeff Lacker
resigned, in early April 2017, when it became known he'd (unintentionally) leaked
sensitive FOMC discussions to Medley Advisors. Richmond operated with an Interim Pres,
Mark L Mullinix, while searching for its new leader, Thomas Barkin, who arrived Jan 1st
2018.. Dissenters at the Dec. 2017 Meeting, Neel Kashkari & Charles Evans, are no
longer voters in 2018. |
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* HICP used in Europe, means Harmonized Index of Consumer Price |
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