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November 2019 Economic
Statistics
and Other Economic Influences |
TUESDAYS:
Weekly Chain Store Sales*
Average Hourly Earnings*
API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report* ** (4:30p.m.)
WEDNESDAYS:
Mortgage Applications Data
EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
THURSDAYS:
Weekly Unemployment Report*
Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)
*Except Holidays ** As of 1/09
All Dates Subject to Change: |
| Sunday,
Nov 03 |
|
US (ex-Arizona) Moves to Daylight
Savings Time @2am et
OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
Aussie Sept/Q3 Retail Sales, TD Securities Oct
Inflation, ANZ Job Ads
New Zealand Treasury Monthly Economic
Indicators
UK Lloyds Business Barometer
Markit Eurozone, France, Italy, Germany Oct
Manufacturing PMI
Eurozone Sentix Nov Investor Confidence
Swiss SECO Q4 Consumer Climate
Singapore Manufacturing PMI
French Gov't Budget
UK Markit/CIPS Oct Construction PMI
Brazil Sept PPI, BCB Focus Market Readout
ECB/Kings College "Modelling with Big Data
& Machine Learning: Interpretability & model Uncertainty" (@Centre for
Central Banking Studies; London thru 5th)
UK House of Commons Election for new
Speaker
|
| Monday, Nov 04 |
|
US Q3 Mortgage
Delinquencies/Foreclosures
13th VOWS Veterans on Wall Street Charity Day & Gala
US Oct Vehicle Sales
US Sept (F) Durable Goods/Capital Goods Orders/Shipments
US Sept Factory Orders (small GM impact; 10am et)
US Treasury Auctions $45B 3-, & $42B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
TD Ameritrade IMX (12:30pm et)
ECB Chief Lagarde lauds Mr. Schauble (Berlin Germany 20:30 cet)
Fed's Daly fireside chat @NYU Stern Ctr for Global Economy & Business
(3pm et NY)
Separate Holidays in Japan & Russia
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
Aussie AiG Performance of Services,
CBA Services/Composite PMI
New Zealand Oct Commodity Prices
UK BRC Oct Like for Like Sales
Hong Kong Oct Manufacturing PMI
RBA (Aussie) MPC Interest Rate Decision
(11/05 local time)
India Nikkei Oct Services PMI
So. Africa Standard Bank PMI
Caixin Oct China Services/Composite PMI
UK Oct New Car Registrations, Markit CIPS
Services/Composite PMI
Eurozone Sept PPI
Brazil Capcom meeting Minutes, Markiet Oct
Services/Composite PMI
Canada Sept Int'l Merchandise Trade Balance
|
| Tuesday, Nov 05 |
|
US Sept Int'l Trade Deficit
(8:30am et)
US Redbook weekly store sales snapshot (8:55am et)
US Oct Markit Services/Composite PMI (9:45am et)
US Oct ISM non-Manufacturing (Services) Index/Outlook (10am et)
US Sept JOLTS (Job Openings & Quits)
US Treasury Auctions $28B 52-week Bills (11:30am et)
Fed's Kaplan speaks @Real Estate Council Speaker Series w/Q&A
(12:40pm Dallas TX)
US Treasury Auctions $38B 3-year Notes (1pm et)
Fed's Kashkari speaks @Thrivent Financial Business Development Conference
(6pm MN)
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
New Zealand QV Oct House Prices, Q3
Unemployment Rate/Change/Earnings/ Participation/Labor Cost
So. Korea Sept Current Account
BoJ Minutes of September MPC Meeing,
Jibun Bank Oct Services/Composite PMI
China Oct Fx Reserves
German Sept Factory Orders
Markit Eurozone, France, German, Italy,
Spain Markit Oct Services/Composite PMI
ECB's de Guindos welcome remarks @ECB Forum on
Banking Supervision: "Banking at a crossroads resilience & innovation in an era
of uncertainty" ECB's Enria also speaks; Mersch a panelist on "Rules &
regulation--what does the future hold?" + Jochnick debates "Banks,
governance & ethics--how can we trike the right balance?" & Enria panelist
"Tje architecture of crisis managaement--how can we make it more efficient?"
& Hakkarainen panelist "Banking in a digital world--how is modern technology
driving change?" (@ECB Frankfurt 10:00, 10:15, 10:30,12:00, 14:00 & 15:45cet,
respectively)
Eurozone Sept Retail Sales
|
| Wed.
Nov 06 |
|
MBA weekly
Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US Q3 Productivity & Costs (8:30am et)
New York Times DealBook Conference (NY)
Canada IVEY Oct PMI
NY Fed Pres Williams speaks @WSJ Future of Work Conference (NY 9:30am et)
UK Releases Autumn Budget
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates/Refineries Re;port (10:30am et;
w/e 11/01)
US Treasury Auctions $27B 10-year Notes (1pm et)
Philly Fed's Harker speaks on "Rethinking Workforce
Investments" w/Q&A @Drexel Univ. (3:15pm et Philadelphia PA)
Fed's Kaplan discusses national & global economic issues with Tom
Luce (Dallas FRB Houston branch)
St Louis FRB Bankers Roundtable (3pm--5pm local time. St Louis FRB )
Fed's Williams welcome remarks @NY FRB GARP Global Risk Forum (6:30pm NY)
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
Aussie AiG Oct Performance of Construction
Index, Sept Trade Balance, Fx Reserves
China Oct Trade Balance, BoP Q3 Current Account
Japan Nov Reuters Tankan Index
15th Annual Central Bank Conf. on
Microstructure of Financial Markets (Stockholm Sweden thru 8th)
UK Sovereign Debt to be rated by Moody's
UK Halifax Oct House Price Index
Italian Sept Retail Sales
Swisss UBS Q3 Real Estate Bubble Index
German Sept Industrial Production, Markit Oct
Construction PMI
ECB Monthly Economic Bulletin + EU Commission
Economic Forecasts
BoE MPC Interet Rate/QE Decision,
Inflation Report +Meeting Summary + Minutes (12:00 gmt --w/Brexit postponed, again)
|
| Thurs,
Nov 07 |
|
BoE Gov Carney post-Meeting
Press Conference
US weekly Jobless Claims/Continuing Claims (8:30am et)
Mexican Oct CPI
IMF 19th Jacques Polak Research Conference: DEBT. The Good. The Bad. The Ugly
(D.C. thru 8th)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (11:30am et; value to be announced
11/07)
US Treasury Auctions $19B 30-year Bonds (1pm et)
Fed's Kaplan speaks @Dallas Chamber of Commerce Year Ahead Summit
w/Q&A (1:05pm Dallas TX)
US Sept Consumer Credit (3pm et)
Fed Reserve Aggregate Reserves of Depository Institutions and the Monetary Base
(4:30)
Federal Reserve's weekly Balance Sheet (4:30pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
Dialogue with the Fed: How Fintech is
Transforming Banking (St Louis FRB 6pm local time)
Atlanta Fed's Bostic on
monetary policy @Money Marketeers of NY w/Q&A (7pm)
Japan Sept Household Spending,
Oct Fx Reserves
Aussie Sept Home Loans, Investment Lending
China Oct New Yuan Loans, Aggregate Financing,
Money Supply, Trade Balance
Swiss Oct Unemployment Rate
German Sept Trade Balance,
Current Account
French Sept Trade Balance, Current Account,
Industrial Production, Q3 Unemployment Rate
ECB's de Guindos participates
in ECOFIN meeting (Brussels Belgium)
|
| Friday, Nov 08 |
|
Canada Oct Unemployment
Rate/Change/Full-Part Time, Housing Starts, Building Permits
U.M. Prelim Nov Consumer Sentiment (10am et)
US Sept Wholesale Trade--Inventories & Sales (10am et)
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et; w/e 11/01)
FRBank of Chicago Alejandro Justiniano Memorial Conference
(FRB Chicago thru 9th)
SF Fed's Daly opens FRB San Francisco Research Conference
on Climate Change (11:45am et)
St Louis FRB "Housing & Neighborhood Redevelopment Policy Forum" (St Louis
MO
BoC's (Canada) Beaudry speaks
OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. et:
Fed Gov Brainard closes FRB of San
Francisco Research Conference--The
Economics of Climate Change (San Francisco CA 8:30pm et) + Daly closes
(10:15pm et)
China Oct CPI + PPI
|
Saturday, Nov 09
|
|
China BoP Current Account Balance |
| Sunday,
Nov 10 |
|
OVERNIGHT
into US Mon. a.m. et:
China Oct Direct Investment
Japan Eco Watchers Survey
New Zealand Oct Card Retail Spending
Japan Sept Core Machinery Orders, Trade
Balance, Oct Bank & Trust Lending
China Oct New Yuan Loans, Money Supply
BoJ Summary of Opinions from Oct Meeting
ADIPEC Int'l (mostly National)
Petroleum Conference/Expo (Abu Dhabi UAE thru 14th)
Italian Sept Industrial Production
UK Q3 NIESR GDP, Private
Consumption, Gov't Spending, Business Investment, Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Sept
Industrial & Manufacturing Production, Trade Balance, Construction Output, Index of
Services
India Sept Industrial
Production/Manufacturing Output
Russia Sept Trade Balance
A Conversation w/ECB's Enria
@20th Handelsblatt Conference, "EBR--European Banking Regulation," then panelist
at same event (Frankfurt am Main, Germany 10:30cet)
ECB Household Sector Report (11:00 cet)
ECB's Mersche speaks @European
Investment Bank (Luxembourg 16:30cet)
Mexico Sept Industrial Production
|
| Monday, Nov 11 |
|
Veterans Day, US Treasuries
Closed; Equities Opem 9:30 to 4pm
APEC CANCELED (Santiago Chile)
CFRI Corporate Financial Reporting Insights Conference (NY thru 12th)
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
New Zealand Oct Heavy Truckometer, Sept
Migration
Aussie Oct NAB Business Conditions/Confidence
German Oct Wholesale Price Index (WPI)
Japan Oct Machine Tool Orders
Singapore Sept Retail Sales
Fed V. Chair Clarida on "Monetary Policy,
Price Stability, & Bond Yields,"@ High-Level Conference on "Global
Risk, Uncertainty, & Volatility" from US FRB, BIS, + SNB (5:30am et; Ruschlikon,
Suisse)
ECB's Couere speaks @ECB
workshop on money markets & central bank balance sheets (Frankfurt 9:00 cet)
ECB's Enria keynotes
European Commission's DG Financial Stability, Financial Services & Capital Markets
Union Conference upon implementation of Basel III Ms af jochnick another panelist
(Brussels)
UK Sept ILO Unemployment
Rate/Change/Claims Count/weekly Earnings
German ZEW Nov. Economic Sentiment/Outlook
Eurozone Nov. ZEW Survey of Economic
Conditions/Expectations
|
| Tuesday Nov 12 |
|
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
(6am et)
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot (8:55am et)
US Treasury Auctions $45B 3-, & $42B 6-month Bills (and that's it!)
Richmond Fed's Barkin on "Getting Peop;e Off the Sidelines: The
Ultimate Workforce Development Plan" @Institute for Advanced Learning &
Research (noon; Danville VA)
Fed's Harker Q&A on "What's Next for the U.S. Economy &
Fed?" @SABEW Annual Fall Meeting (1pm NY)
Fed's Kashkari moderated discussion @Center for Research on the Wisconsin
Economy (Madison WI 6pm)
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
South Korea Oct Unemployment Rate
Japan Oct Domestic Corporate Goods
Price Index, PPI, Sept Loans & Discounts
Aussie Q3 Wage Price Index, Unemployment
Rate/Change/Participation
RBNZ (New Zealand) MPC Interest Rates
Decisions, Economic Outlook, Press Conference (11/13 local time)
German Oct CPI, HICP
UK Oct CPI, PPI, House Price
Index, Retail Price Index
Brazil Sept Retail Sales, Fx Flows
Eurozone Sept Industrial Production
ECB Governing Council non-monetary policy
meeting (Frankfurt)
India Oct CPI
|
| Wed.,
Nov 13 |
|
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance
Applications (7am et)
US Oct. CPI (8:30am et)
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations (10am et)
US House Impeachment Hearings Open to Public for 1st Time
Fed Chair Powell on "The Economic Outlook"@Jt
Economic Cmte of Congress (11am)
Ricmond Fed's Barkin speaks to Greensboro Chamber of Commerce "The
New Environment for Monetary Policy (12:30pm NC)
US Treasury Budget (2pm et)
Dallas Fed's Kaplan discusses national & global eco issues w/Douglas
Holtz-Eakin of Am. Action Forum + Q&A (Austin TX, 6:05pm)
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
Japan Q3 GDP, Business Spending/ Household
Spending
UK RICS Oct House Price Balance
Aussie Oct Unemployment
Rate/Change/Participation
China Oct Industrial Production,
Property Investment, Retail Sales, Jobless Rate, Fixed Asset Investment
India Oct Food, Fuel & Inflation WPI,
Manufacturing Inflation
German Q3 GDP
French Q3 Unemployment Rate, Oct CPI, HICP
Spain Oct CPI, HICP
Swiss Oct PPI & CPI
UK Oct Retail Sales
ECB's Lane keynotes 4th CEPR
Int'l Macroeconomics & Finance Programme Mtg (12:00cet Frankfurt)
ECB's de Guindos interviewd @BNP
Paribas Global Markets Conference (London)
South Africa Sept Mining Production, Gold
Production
Eurozone Q3 GDP, Unemployment Rate/Change
Fed V. Chair Quarles
(pre-recorded video) welcome remarks @IAIS--Int'l Ass'n of Insurance Supervisors' 26th
Annual Conference (5:30am et; Abu Dhabi UAE)
|
| Thurs.
Nov 14 |
|
Canada Sept New Housing Price Index
US weekly Jobless Claims
US Oct PPI--FD (8:30am et)
Fed V. Chair Clarida on "Federal Reserve's Review of its Monetary
Policy, Strategy, Tools & Communications Practices" @Cato Institute 37th Monetary
Conference (9:10am et; D.C,)
Fed Chair Powell testifies on the Economic Outlook @ US House Budget Cmte
(10am)
ECB's Hakkarainen speaks @ECB Policy Conference, "Banking in Europe--a political, a
monetary and a supervisory perspective (Frankfurt 16:50 cet)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et; w/e 11/08)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates/Refineries Report (11am et)
US Treasury Refunding Announcement (11am et)
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (11:30am et; value not know at post)
NY Fed's Williams opens S. F. Fed's AEPC--Asia Economic
Policy Conference w/Q&A (noon) Also speaking: S.F. Fed's Mary Daly,
HK Monetary Authority, RBNZ, Bk of Korea, Banco Centro of Brasil, BoC Gov Poloz
@FRB San Francisco (thru 15th)
Banco de Mexico MPC Interest Rate Decision
Fed Reserve Balance Sheet (4:30pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
China Oct House Prices
South Korea Oct Trade Balance
Japan Sept Industrial Production/Capacity
Utilization
Hong Kong Q3 GDP
ECB's Mersch @Colloque de
l'AEDBF--Europe (Paris FR 9:00 cet)
ECB's af jochnick keynotes
"7th Frankfurt Conference on Financial Market Policy"
Italian Sept Trade Balance, Oct CPI, HICP
Eurozone Oct CPI, HICP, Sept Trade Balance, Oct
Total Reserve Assets
|
| Friday,
Nov 15 |
|
BoC's Lane panelist
on Digital Currency, Sept Int'l Securities Transactions
US Oct Retail Sales (8:30am et)
Empire State NY FRB Nov. Manufacturing Survey
US Oct Import/Export Prices
Canada Oct Existing Home Sales
US Oct. Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization (9:15am et; GM
strike impact)
US Sept Business Inventories (10am et)
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
S.F. FRB CEO/Pres Daly addresses the FRB San Francisco AEPC (San
Francisco)
|
| Saturday, Nov 16 |
|
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WEEKS AHEAD: 11/20 FOMC Minutes of 10/29--30
Meeting
12/03
RBA (Aussie) MPC Meeting
12/04
BoC (Canada) MPC Meeting
12/10--11
FOMC Meeting (2pm et)
12/11
Fed Chair Powell Press Conference (2:30pm et)
12/12
ECB MPC Meeting
SNB
(Swiss) MPC Meeting
12/19
BoJ MPC Meets
BoE
MPC Meets
*FOMC 2019 Voting Members: Chairperson
Jerome Powell, as of 02/05/18, and ALL members of the FOMC Board of
Governors are permanent voters: That includes Randall Quarles, & Lael
Brainard, Richard Clarida, Gov Bowman, (Senate confirmed
09/12/19) plus New York Fed Pres, currently John Williams
(Formerly of the San Francisco Fed) who replaced William Dudley, who retired from
the bank on June 15, 2018.:New, revolving Regional Fed Bank leaders who are voters
for 2018: Atlanta Fed Pres. Raphael Bostic, new in August 2017 (replaced Dennis
Lockhart), former McKinsey exec Thomas Barkin, who assumed the title of Pres
of Richmond Fed on 01/01/18. San Francisco Fed named Mary Daly Pres/CEO
as of 10/1/2018, who'll be a voter until Feb. The hole in the San Francisco Fed's
hierarchy resulted in Esther George--a very vocal hawk--becoming a voting member of the
FOMC, but she steps aside as of Mary Daly's swearing in, and returns as a voter in Feb
2019. Cleveland Fed's voter, Loretta Mester, a hawk, who wants rates
raised at a quicker pace because she believes the Fed has, already, fallen behind the
curve. Richmond wound up with an opening, after Jeff Lacker
resigned, in early April 2017, when it became known he'd (unintentionally) leaked
sensitive FOMC discussions to Medley Advisors. Richmond operated with an Interim Pres,
Mark L Mullinix, while searching for its new leader, Thomas Barkin, who arrived Jan 1st
2018.. Dissenters at the Dec. 2017 Meeting, Neel Kashkari & Charles Evans, are no
longer voters in 2018. |
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* HICP used in Europe, means Harmonized Index of Consumer Price |
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