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October/November 2019
Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences |
TUESDAYS:
Weekly Chain Store Sales*
Average Hourly Earnings*
API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report* ** (4:30p.m.)
WEDNESDAYS:
Mortgage Applications Data
EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
THURSDAYS:
Weekly Unemployment Report*
Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)
*Except Holidays ** As of 1/09
All Dates Subject to Change: |
| Sunday,
Oct 27 |
|
UK Nationwide Oct Home Price Index
OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
Japan Sept Corporate Service Price
UK Oct CBI Reported Sales, Total Distributed Sales
BoE Asset Purchase Facility Quality Report 19Q3 (9:30
gmt)
BoE's Tenreyro speaks @John Fleming
Memorial Lecture (London 17:00mgt)
German Import Price Index
Eurozone Sept Loans to non-Fnancial Corporations
Brazil BCB Focus Market Readout
Separate Holidays in Singapore, New Zealand,
India thru 28th
|
| Monday, Oct 28 |
|
US Sept Int'l Trade Deficit (8:30am
et)
Chicago Fed Oct National Activity Index
US Sept Wholesale & Retail Inventories
Mario Draghi speaks @ his Farewell event in his honor at his term end (16:00 cet;
Frankfurt @ECB)
Dallas Fed Oct Manufacturing Survey (10:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $45B 3-, & $42B 6-month Bills (that's it!)
OVERNIGHT into US Tues a.m. et:
Japan/Tokyo Oct CPI
South Korea Nov Manufacturing BSI Index
RBA Gov Lowe speaks (Canberra)
South Africa Sept Private Sector Credit, Q3
Unemployment
Spanish Sept Retail Sales
Italian Sept PPI
BoE Sept Consumer Credit, Mortgage
Approvals, M4 Money Supply
|
| Tuesday Oct 29 |
|
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
(8:55am et)
S&P Case Shiller Aug 20-city Home Price Index (9am
et)
Fed Reserve Bk of Chicago Housing Symposium (FRB
Chicago Detroit Branch)
Boeing CEO Muilenberg testifies @Senate Commerce Cmte on 737 Max
Certification
FOMC 2-day Meeting Starts
Conference Board's Oct Consumer Confidence/Expectations (10am et)
US Sept Pending Home Sales Index
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
Japan Sept Retail Trade
UK BRC Oct Shop Price Index
Aussie Q3 CPI, HIA New Home Sales
BoJ Q4 Outlook Report
French Q3 GDP
German Oct Unemployment Report/Claims, CPI,
HICP
South Africa Budget Balance
Swiss ZEW Oct Conditions/Expectations
Eurozone Business/Industrial/Services/Consumer
Oct Confidence
|
| Wed.,
Oct 30 |
|
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance
Applications (7am et)
ADP US Oct Private Employnment Report (8:15am et)
US Q3 GDP/Business Investment/Household Spending/PCE (8:30am)
US Treasury Refunding Announcement (11am et)
BoC (Canada) MPC Interest Rate Decision, Monetary Policy Report + Press Conference
Boeing (BA) CEO Muilenberg testifies @US House Transportation Cmte (D.C. 10am et)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates/Heating Oil/Refinery Report
(10:30am et)
Atlanta FRB/Chicago/Booth+Stanford Univ Survey of Business Uncertainty
(11am et)
ECB's Lautenschlager speaks @"Mein Europe" Univ of Dusseldorf+KAS (Germany)
FOMC Interest Rates Decision (2pm et)
FOMC Chief Powell Press Conference (2:30pm et)
ECB's Enria speaks @Centre for European Reform event (London 21:05 cet)
Brazil Interest Rate Decision, Fx Flows
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
New Zealand Sept Building Permits, ANZ
Oct Activity Outlook, Business Confidence
South Korea Sept Industrial Production,
Services Output, REtail Sales
Japan Sept Industrial
Production
UK Lloyds Oct Business Barometer
Aussie Sept Building Approvals, Private Sector
Credit/Export & Import Price Index
China Oct
Manufacturing/Non-Manufacturing/Composite PMI
Singapore Sept Bank Lending, Q3 Business
Expectations
German Oct CPI
BoJ MPC Interest Rate/QE
Decisions, Official Reserves (10/31 local time), Aug
Vehicle Production, Sept Construction Orders, Housing Starts, Consumer Confidence
India Sept Federal Fiscal Deficit
Wards US Oct Total Vehicle Sales
ECB's de Guindos keynotes @Deusto Business
School Conference (Bilboa Spain)
Spain Q3 GDP, Aug Current Account
French CPI, HICP
Hong Kong Q3 GDP
SNB (Swiss) Announces 18Q3 Currency Allocation
Canada CFIB Oct Business Barometer
Eurozone Q3 GDP, Oct CPI, HICP, Sept
Unemploynment Rate
Italian Q3 GDP
ESCB (European System of
[National] Central Banks +BoE & ECB) Research Cluster on Monetary Econonics 3rd Annual
Workshop
(London thru 11/01)
|
| Thurs.
Oct 31 |
|
Challenger Oct Lay-offs (7:30am et;
skewed by GM strike)
US weekly Jobless Claims (8:30am et)
US Sept Personal Income/Spending/PCE
19Q3 ECI--Employment Cost Index
Brazil Unemployment Rate, Sept Budget Balance
Canada Aug GDP, Sept IPPI, RMPI
Financial
System of the Future Conference from GA State Univ & FRB Atlanta (Atlanta
GA thru 11/01)
Chicago Oct PMI (9:45am et)
SNB Chief Jordan speaks on pension fund challenges (Bern, Suisse)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et; w/e 10/25)
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (11:30am et values to be announced 10/29)
Fed Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey
USDA Farm Prices (3pm et)
Fed Reserve weekly Balance Sheet (exploded on back of increase to
$120B)
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
Aussie AiG Oct Performance of
Manufacturing, CSA Mnftg PMI, CoreLogic HPI
Japan Sept Jobless Rate, Nikkei
Manufacturing PMI
South Korea Oct Trade Balance, CPI,
Nikkei Manufacturing PMI
Aussie Q3 PPI, Oct RBA Commodity Index
China Caixin Oct Manufacturing
PMI
India Oct Nikkei Markit Manufacturing PMI
Japan Oct Vehicle Sales
Hong Kong Sept Retail Sales
Swiss Oct CPI, HICP, Sept Retail Sales,
Oct Manufacturing PMI
UK Oct Markit Manufacturing PMI
Brazil Sept Industrial Production, Markit
Oct Manufacturing PMI
|
| Friday,
Nov 01 |
|
South Africa Oct Total Vehicle Sales
US Oct. Unemployment Report/Continuing Claims/Participation
(8:30am et)
Canada RBC Manufacturing PMI
US Oct Markit Manufacturing PMI (9:45am et)
US ISM Manufacturing Index/Orders/Shipments/Prices Paid/Employment (10am
et)
US Sept. Construction Spending
US Oct Vehicle Sales (ex-Ford, GM)
Mexico Oct Markit Manufacturing PMI
NY Fed's Williams participates in Newark (NJ) Anchor Collaborative
Roundtable (nnon)
Baker-Hughes weekly Rig count (w/e 10/25)
Fed V Chair Clarida speech
on "The U.S., Japan & the Global Economy" (1pm et; Japan Society NY)
Fed V. Chair Quarles speech on "Frederich Hayek & the Price
System" @9th Wm. F. buckley Jr Program at Yale Univ (New Haven, CT; 1pm et)
Fed's Williams moderated discussion @Rutgers Business School (Newark NJ
2:30pm)
Brazil Oct Trade Balance
|
| Saturday, Nov 02 |
|
US Residents (ex-Arizona)
Turn your Clocks BACK One Hour Before Gong to Bed
|
| Sunday,
Nov 03 |
|
US (ex-Arizona) Moves to Daylight
Savings Time @2am et
OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
Aussie Sept/Q3 Retail Sales, TD Securities Oct
Inflation, ANZ Job Ads
New Zealand Treasury Monthly Economic
Indicators
UK Lloyds Business Barometer
Markit Eurozone, France, Italy, Germany Oct
Manufacturing PMI
Eurozone Sentix Nov Investor Confidence
Swiss SECO Q4 Consumer Climate
Singapore Manufacturing PMI
French Gov't Budget
UK Markit/CIPS Oct Construction PMI
Brazil Sept PPI, BCB Focus Market Readout
ECB/Kings College "Modelling with Big Data
& Machine Learning: Interpretability & model Uncertainty" (@Centre for
Central Banking Studies; London thru 5th)
UK House of Commons Election for new
Speaker
|
| Monday, Nov 04 |
|
US Q3 Mortgage
Delinquencies/Foreclosures
13th VOWS Veterans on Wall Street Charity Day & Gala
US Oct Vehicle Sales
US Sept (F) Durable Goods/Capital Goods Orders/Shipments
US Sept Factory Orders (small GM impact; 10am et)
US Treasury Auctions $45B 3-, & $42B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
TD Ameritrade IMX (12:30pm et)
ECB Chief Lagarde lauds Mr. Schauble (Berlin Germany 20:30 cet)
Fed's Daly fireside chat @NYU Stern Ctr for Global Economy & Business
(3pm et NY)
Separate Holidays in Japan & Russia
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
Aussie AiG Performance of Services,
CBA Services/Composite PMI
New Zealand Oct Commodity Prices
UK BRC Oct Like for Like Sales
Hong Kong Oct Manufacturing PMI
RBA (Aussie) MPC Interest Rate Decision
(11/05 local time)
India Nikkei Oct Services PMI
So. Africa Standard Bank PMI
Caixin Oct China Services/Composite PMI
UK Oct New Car Registrations, Markit CIPS
Services/Composite PMI
Eurozone Sept PPI
Brazil Capcom meeting Minutes, Markiet Oct
Services/Composite PMI
Canada Sept Int'l Merchandise Trade Balance
|
| Tuesday, Nov 05 |
|
US Sept Int'l Trade Deficit
(8:30am et)
US Redbook weekly store sales snapshot (8:55am et)
US Oct Markit Services/Composite PMI (9:45am et)
US Oct ISM non-Manufacturing (Services) Index/Outlook (10am et)
US Sept JOLTS (Job Openings & Quits)
US Treasury Auctions $28B 52-week Bills (11:30am et)
Fed's Kaplan speaks @Real Estate Council Speaker Series w/Q&A
(12:40pm Dallas TX)
US Treasury Auctions $38B 3-year Notes (1pm et)
Fed's Kashkari speaks @Thrivent Financial Business Development Conference
(6pm MN)
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
New Zealand QV Oct House Prices, Q3
Unemployment Rate/Change/Earnings/ Participation/Labor Cost
So. Korea Sept Current Account
BoJ Minutes of September MPC Meeing,
Jibun Bank Oct Services/Composite PMI
China Oct Fx Reserves
German Sept Factory Orders
Markit Eurozone, France, German, Italy,
Spain Markit Oct Services/Composite PMI
ECB's de Guindos welcome remarks @ECB Forum on
Banking Supervision: "Banking at a crossroads resilience & innovation in an era
of uncertainty" ECB's Enria also speaks; Mersch a panelist on "Rules &
regulation--what does the future hold?" + Jochnick debates "Banks,
governance & ethics--how can we trike the right balance?" & Enria panelist
"Tje architecture of crisis managaement--how can we make it more efficient?"
& Hakkarainen panelist "Banking in a digital world--how is modern technology
driving change?" (@ECB Frankfurt 10:00, 10:15, 10:30,12:00, 14:00 & 15:45cet,
respectively)
Eurozone Sept Retail Sales
|
| Wed.
Nov 06 |
|
MBA weekly
Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US Q3 Productivity & Costs (8:30am et)
New York Times DealBook Conference (NY)
Canada IVEY Oct PMI
NY Fed Pres Williams speaks @WSJ Future of Work Conference (NY 9:30am et)
UK Releases Autumn Budget
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates/Refineries Re;port (10:30am et;
w/e 11/01)
US Treasury Auctions $27B 10-year Notes (1pm et)
Philly Fed's Harker speaks on "Rethinking Workforce
Investments" w/Q&A @Drexel Univ. (3:15pm et Philadelphia PA)
Fed's Kaplan discusses national & global economic issues with Tom
Luce (Dallas FRB Houston branch)
St Louis FRB Bankers Roundtable (3pm--5pm local time. St Louis FRB )
Fed's Williams welcome remarks @NY FRB GARP Global Risk Forum (6:30pm NY)
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
Aussie AiG Oct Performance of Construction
Index, Sept Trade Balance, Fx Reserves
China Oct Trade Balance, BoP Q3 Current Account
Japan Nov Reuters Tankan Index
15th Annual Central Bank Conf. on
Microstructure of Financial Markets (Stockholm Sweden thru 8th)
UK Sovereign Debt to be rated by Moody's
UK Halifax Oct House Price Index
Italian Sept Retail Sales
Swisss UBS Q3 Real Estate Bubble Index
German Sept Industrial Production, Markit Oct
Construction PMI
ECB Monthly Economic Bulletin + EU Commission
Economic Forecasts
BoE MPC Interet Rate/QE Decision,
Inflation Report +Meeting Summary + Minutes (12:00 gmt --w/Brexit postponed, again)
|
| Thurs,
Nov 07 |
|
BoE Gov Carney post-Meeting
Press Conference
US weekly Jobless Claims/Continuing Claims (8:30am et)
Mexican Oct CPI
IMF 19th Jacques Polak Research Conference: DEBT. The Good. The Bad. The Ugly
(D.C. thru 8th)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (11:30am et; value to be announced
11/07)
US Treasury Auctions $19B 30-year Bonds (1pm et)
Fed's Kaplan speaks @Dallas Chamber of Commerce Year Ahead Summit
w/Q&A (1:05pm Dallas TX)
US Sept Consumer Credit (3pm et)
Fed Reserve Aggregate Reserves of Depository Institutions and the Monetary Base
(4:30)
Federal Reserve's weekly Balance Sheet (4:30pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
Dialogue with the Fed: How Fintech is
Transforming Banking (St Louis FRB 6pm local time)
Atlanta Fed's Bostic on
monetary policy @Money Marketeers of NY w/Q&A (7pm)
Japan Sept Household Spending,
Oct Fx Reserves
Aussie Sept Home Loans, Investment Lending
China Oct New Yuan Loans, Aggregate Financing,
Money Supply, Trade Balance
Swiss Oct Unemployment Rate
German Sept Trade Balance,
Current Account
French Sept Trade Balance, Current Account,
Industrial Production, Q3 Unemployment Rate
ECB's de Guindos participates
in ECOFIN meeting (Brussels Belgium)
|
| Friday, Nov 08 |
|
Canada Oct Unemployment
Rate/Change/Full-Part Time, Housing Starts, Building Permits
U.M. Prelim Nov Consumer Sentiment (10am et)
US Sept Wholesale Trade--Inventories & Sales (10am et)
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et; w/e 11/01)
FRBank of Chicago Alejandro Justiniano Memorial Conference
(FRB Chicago thru 9th)
SF Fed's Daly opens FRB San Francisco Research Conference
on Climate Change (11:45am et)
St Louis FRB "Housing & Neighborhood Redevelopment Policy Forum" (St Louis
MO
BoC's (Canada) Beaudry speaks
OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. et:
Fed Gov Brainard closes FRB of San
Francisco Research Conference--The
Economics of Climate Change (San Francisco CA 8:30pm et) + Daly closes
(10:15pm et)
China Oct CPI + PPI
|
Saturday, Nov 09
|
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| Monday, Nov 11 |
|
Veterans Day, US Treasuries
Closed
Equities Opem 9:30 to 4pm
|
|
WEEKS AHEAD: 11/11 US Veterans Day US
Treasury Market Closed/Equities Trade Regular Hours
11/12 RBNZ (New Zealand) MPC Meets
11/14 Banco de Mexico MPC Meets
*FOMC 2019 Voting Members: Chairperson
Jerome Powell, as of 02/05/18, and ALL members of the FOMC Board of
Governors are permanent voters: That includes Randall Quarles, & Lael
Brainard, Richard Clarida, Gov Bowman, (Senate confirmed
09/12/19) plus New York Fed Pres, currently John Williams
(Formerly of the San Francisco Fed) who replaced William Dudley, who retired from
the bank on June 15, 2018.:New, revolving Regional Fed Bank leaders who are voters
for 2018: Atlanta Fed Pres. Raphael Bostic, new in August 2017 (replaced Dennis
Lockhart), former McKinsey exec Thomas Barkin, who assumed the title of Pres
of Richmond Fed on 01/01/18. San Francisco Fed named Mary Daly Pres/CEO
as of 10/1/2018, who'll be a voter until Feb. The hole in the San Francisco Fed's
hierarchy resulted in Esther George--a very vocal hawk--becoming a voting member of the
FOMC, but she steps aside as of Mary Daly's swearing in, and returns as a voter in Feb
2019. Cleveland Fed's voter, Loretta Mester, a hawk, who wants rates
raised at a quicker pace because she believes the Fed has, already, fallen behind the
curve. Richmond wound up with an opening, after Jeff Lacker
resigned, in early April 2017, when it became known he'd (unintentionally) leaked
sensitive FOMC discussions to Medley Advisors. Richmond operated with an Interim Pres,
Mark L Mullinix, while searching for its new leader, Thomas Barkin, who arrived Jan 1st
2018.. Dissenters at the Dec. 2017 Meeting, Neel Kashkari & Charles Evans, are no
longer voters in 2018. |
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* HICP used in Europe, means Harmonized Index of Consumer Price |
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