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October 2018 Economic
Statistics
and Other Economic Influences |
TUESDAYS:
Weekly Chain Store Sales*
Average Hourly Earnings*
API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report* ** (4:30p.m.)
WEDNESDAYS:
Mortgage Applications Data
EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
THURSDAYS:
Weekly Unemployment Report*
Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)
*Except Holidays ** As of 1/09
All Dates Subject to Change: |
| Sunday,
Oct 07 |
|
Brazilian Presidential Election
OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
China Sept Fx Reserves & Foreign
Direct Investment
Caixin China Sept Services &
Composite PMI
South Korea Aug Current Account
Swiss Sept Unemployment Rate
German Aug Industrial Production &
Import Price Index
Singapore Sept Fx Reserves
Eurozone Sentix Oct Investor
Confidence
|
| Monday,
Oct 08 |
|
Columbus Day--US Holiday
Treasury Markets Closed
Riksbank Announces Prize in Economic Sciences in memory of Alfred Nobel
US Equity Markets Trade Regular Hours 9:30am --4pm et
TD Ameritrade IMX (12:30pm et)
Holidays, also, in Canada & Japan
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
UK BRC Sept Like-for-Like Sales
Japan Aug Current Account Balance, Trade
Balance, Eco Watchers Outlook
New Zealand REINZ Sept House Sales
Aussie NAB Business Confidence
IMF World Economic Outlook Report
German Aug Trade Balance
(Imports/Exports), + Current Account
IMF/World Bank Grp Joint Fall
Meeting (Bali, Indonesia 9th local time--14th)
|
| Tuesday, Oct 09 |
|
NFIB Small Business Optimism
Index
Canada Sept Housing Starts
Grant's Interest Rate Observer Fall Economic Conference (NY)
Dallas Fed's Kaplan speaks @ Economic Club of NY
Redbook weekly retail sales snapshot
Mexican Sept CPI
Fed's Evans opens 2018 Opportunity Finance Network Conference (Chicago
10am)
US Treasury Auctions $48B 3-, $42B 6-month Bills, $26B 52-wk Bills & $40B
4-week Bills
Fed's Harker on "The Importance of Higher Education to the Us Economy"
@ Global Interdependence Center event on "The Roles of Higher Education in
Competitiveness & Global Productivity" (Philadelphia)
South Korea Holiday
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
Fed's Williams speaks (9:15pm
& 10:35pm et) @ NY Fed/Bank Indonesia Central Banking Forum w/Q&A
(Indonesia due to IMF/World Bank Fall Meeting)
New Zealand Sept Electronic Card Spending &
Retail Sales
Japan Aug Machine Orders & Sept Machine
Tool Orders
China Sept Aggregate Financing, New
Yuan Loans, Money Supply
French & Italian Aug Industrial Production
UK Aug & 3-month NIESR GDP, Aug
Trade Balance, Industrial & Manufacturing Production, Construction Output,
Index of Services
BoE's Chief Economist Haldane
speaks at Advisory, Conciliation & Arbitra- tion Service Future of Work Conference
(London)
|
| Wed.
Oct 10 |
|
MBA weekly
Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US Sept PPI -Final demand (8:30am et)
Canada Aug Building Permits
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations (10am et)
US Wholesale Inventories & Sales
US Treasury Auctions $36B 3-year Notes (11:30am et)
Fed's Evans on US Economic Outlook @ Flint & Genesee Chamber of
Commerce w/Q&A (12:15pm Flint MI)
US Treasury Auctions $23B reopened 10-year Notes (1pm et)
Fed's Bostic discusses Eco Outlook @ Nat'l Ass'n of Corporate Directors
w/Q&A (6pm et Atlanta GA)
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
RBA's Ellis speaks (Melbourne)
South Korea Aug Current Account
UK RICS Sept House Price Balance
Japan Aug Current Account, Sept Domestic
Corporate Goods Price Index, PPI, Bank Lending, Foreign Investments in Japanese Stocks
French, Spanish Sept CPI, HICP
South African Aug Mining & Gold
Production, Manufacturing Production
ECB Releases Account of Monetary
Policy Meeting
BoE Survey on Credit Conditions
& Bank Liabilities
BoE's MPC member Vlieghe on "Global
& domestic challenges for UK monetary policy" @ Nat'l Bank of Belgium (Brussels)
G20 FinMins & Central Bank
Governors Meet @ IMF/World Bank Group Fall Meeting (Bali Indonesia)
Brazil Aug Retail sales
|
| Thursday, Oct 11 |
|
US Sept CPI (8:30am
et)
Sept US Chain Store Sales (the few who still report monthly)
Canada Aug New Housing Price Index
US weekly Jobless Claims
Social Security & Veterans Benefits 2019 Inflation Adjustments (estimated
date)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et)
EIA Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (11am et delayed by Mon.
Holiday)
WASDE Report
US Treasury Auctions $15B reopened 30-year Bonds (1pm et)
US Treasury Budget (2pm et)
Fed weekly Balance Sheet & US Money Supply (4:30pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
Japan M3 Money Supply
China Sept Trade Balance
(approximate date), Foreign Direct Investment
South Korea Sept Unemployment Rate
Singapore Q3 GDP & Aug Retail Sales
ECB Survey of Professional
Forecasters
German Sept Wholesale Price Index
RBA Financial Stability Review, Aug Home
Loans, Investment Lending
German Sept CPI & HICP
Eurozone Aug Industrial Production
India Bank Loan & Deposit Growth, Fx
Reserves, sept CPI, aug Industrial Production & Manufacturing Output
IEA Monthly Report
IIF Institute of International
Finance Annual @ IMF/World Bk Grp mtg
|
| Friday,
Oct 12 |
|
US Sept. Import/Export Prices
Canada Teranet/National Bank sept Home Price Index
Fed's Evans participates in discussion at ENGAGE College Investment
Conference @ U.M. w/Q&A (9:30am Ann Arbor MI)
Russia Aug Trade balance
U.M. (P) Oct. Consumer Sentiment
Fed's Bostic 'chats' on recruitment, economics & public policy
profession at Network of Schools of Public Policy, Affairs & Administration Conference
w/Q&A (12;30pm Atlanta GA)
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
Brazil Holiday
OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. et:
China Sept Trade Balance
|
| Sat.
Oct 13 |
|
IMF/World Bank Grp Meeting Continues
(thru 14th) |
| Sunday,
Oct 14 |
|
OVERNIGHT
into US Mon a.m. et:
UK Oct Rightmove House Prices
German Sept Wholesale Price Index
Japan Aug Industrial Production/Capacity
Utilization
Swiss Sept Producer & Import Prices
European Union Banking Regulators
Annual Single Resolution Board Meeting (Brussels)
BoE Publishes draft
supervisory statement, 'Enhancing banks & insurers approaches to managing the
financial risks from climate change'
|
| Monday, Oct 15 |
|
Janet Yellen
interviewed by Fortune's Geoff Calvin @ MBA Convention (8:30am)
US Sept Retail Sales
Medicare Open Enrollment for calendar year 2019 Starts (ends 12/07/18)
Empire State NY Fed Mnftg Survey (8:30am et)
US Aug Business Inventories (10am et)
BoC Q3 Senior Loan Officer Survey, Biz Outlook, & Sept Existing Home
Sales
US Treasury Auctions $45B 3-, & $39B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
New Zealand Q3 CPI
RBA releases 10/02 Meeeting Minutes
China Sept CPI, PPI
UK Aug ILO Unemployment Rate, Sept
Jobless Count/Claims/Change/Avg weekly Earnings
Eurozone Aug Trade Balance
German ZEW Oct Survey
German FinMin Scholz speaks with
Foreign Press Ass'n (Berlin)
|
| Tuesday, Oct 16 |
|
Canada Aug Int'l Securities
Transactions
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
34th FIA Futures & Options Expo (Chicago)
US Sept Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
NAHB Oct Housing Market Index
Fed's Aug JOLTS (Job Turnover/Quits)
US Treasury Auctions 8-week Bills, value not announced yet (11:30am
et)
US TICs (4pm et)
OVERNIGHT, into US Wed a.m. et:
Japan Sept Dept Store Sales
EU 25 New Car Registrations
UK Sept CPI, RPI, PPI, Aug House Price
Index
Eurozone Sept CPI & Aug
Construction Output
BoE Releases Record of 10/03 Financial
Policy Cmte Mtg
|
| Wed.,
Oct 17 |
|
US weekly Mortgage/Refinance
Applications
Marijuana Legal in Canada
Canada Aug Manufacturing Sales
US Sept Housing Starts/Building Permits
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (10:30am et)
FOMC Releases 09/25--26 Meeting Minutes (2pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs a.m. et:
Japan Sept Trade Balance
Aussie Sept Unemployment
Rate/Change/Participation
BoJ's Kuroda opens Qtrly Meeting
with Regional Branch Managers, Report on Regional Economies (used in monetary
policy discussions)
RBA Sept FX Transactions, Aussie NAB Q3
Business Confidence
Swiss Sept Trade Balance & Swiss
Watch Exports
UK Sept Retail Sales
UK PM May @ EU Summit (Brussels,
Belgium)
|
| Thurs.
Oct 18 |
|
US weekly Jobless Claims
Philly Fed Business Outlook
Canada ADP Sept Payrolls Report
Fed's Bullard on US Economy&Monetary Policy@ Uof Memphis w/Q&A(TN
9am)
Mexican Central Bank recent MPC Meeting Minutes
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et)
US Refunding Announcement
Fed Vice Chair Quarles speaks @ Economic Club of NY (11:30am--2pm et)
US Treasury Auctions $5B reopened 30-year TIPS (1pm et)
Fed weekly Balance Sheet & US Money Supply (4:30pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
Japan Sept CPI, Supermarket
Sales
China Q3 GDP, Sept
Surveyed Jobless Rate, Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Fixed Assets
Eurozone Aug Current Account
UK Sept Public Sector Net Borrowing,
Central Gov't NCR, Public Finances
|
| Friday,
Oct 19 |
|
US Sept Existing Home Sales
Canada Aug Retail Sales, CPI
Fed's Kaplan speaks @ Manhattan Institute event "10 Years After the
Crisis: the State of Monetary & Fiscal Policy" (NY 12:45pm--2pm)
BoE Chief Carney speaks @ Economic Club of NY (11:30am--2pm et)
Fed's Bostic discusses Economic Outlook w/Q&A (Macon GA noon)
Baker-Hughes US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. et:
China Sept New Home Prices
BoJ's Amamiya speaks (Nagoya)
|
| Saturday, Oct 20 |
|
Fed's Bostic
discusses implications of Fed's Interest Rate Decisions, Atlanta Fed data gathering
methods, and data used by Atlanta Fed w/Q&A (11:30am Atlanta GA)
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WEEKS AHEAD: 10/24
BoC (Canada) MPC Meets
Riksbank (Swedes) MPC Meets
10/25 ECB MPC Meets
Norges Bank (Norway) MPC Meets
10/31 BoJ MPC Meets
US FOMC does NOT meet in October
*FOMC 2018 Voting Members: Chairperson
Jerome Powell, as of 02/05/18, and ALL members of the FOMC Board of
Governors are permanent voters: That includes Randall Quarles, & Lael
Brainard, newly (sept) sworn in Richard Clarida, plus New York Fed Pres,
currently John Williams (Formerly of the San Francisco Fed) who replaced William
Dudley, who retired from the bank on June 15, 2018.:New, revolving
Regional Fed Bank leaders who are voters for 2018: Atlanta Fed Pres. Raphael Bostic,
new in August 2017 (replaced Dennis Lockhart), former McKinsey exec Thomas Barkin,
who assumed the title of Pres of Richmond Fed on 01/01/18, plus
San Francisco Fed, without a leader, since Williams left for NY in July, named Mary Daly
Pres/CEO as of 10/1/2018, who'll be a voter until Feb. The hole in the San
Francisco Fed's hierarchy resulted in Esther George--a very vocal hawk--becoming a voting
member of the FOMC, but she steps aside as of Mary Daly's swearing in, and returns as a
voter in Feb 2019. Cleveland Fed's voter, Loretta Mester, a hawk, who
wants rates raised at a quicker pace because she believes the Fed has, already, fallen
behind the curve. Richmond wound up with an opening, after Jeff
Lacker resigned, in early April 2017, when it became known he'd (unintentionally) leaked
sensitive FOMC discussions to Medley Advisors. Richmond operated with an Interim Pres,
Mark L Mullinix, while searching for its new leader, Thomas Barkin, who arrived Jan 1st
2018.. Dissenters at the Dec. 2017 Meeting, Neel Kashkari & Charles Evans, are no
longer voters in 2018. |
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* HICP used in Europe, means Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices |
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