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September/October 2018
Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences |
TUESDAYS:
Weekly Chain Store Sales*
Average Hourly Earnings*
API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report* ** (4:30p.m.)
WEDNESDAYS:
Mortgage Applications Data
EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
THURSDAYS:
Weekly Unemployment Report*
Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)
*Except Holidays ** As of 1/09
All Dates Subject to Change: |
Sunday, Sept 23 |
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OPEC & non-OPEC Producer
Quota Allies Meet (Algeria)
U.N. General Assembly Meets (NY)
OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
BoJ Minutes of July 30--31st MPC Meeting
(Tokyo)
German IFO Sept Business
Climate & Aug. Import/Export & Wholesale Price Indices
Mon. 09/24 holidays in So Africa,
So Korea, Japan, China
UK Sept CBI Orders & Selling
Trend Prices
Canada Jul Wholesale Trade Sales
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Monday, Sept 24 |
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Chicago Fed Sept Nat'l
Activity Index
Dallas Fed Sept Manufacturing Survey
ECB Pres Draghi speaks @ EU Parliament ECON Cmte hearing
Brazil Aug Current Account, Foreign Direct Investment, Federal Tax Revenue
US Treasury Auctions $48B 3-, & $42B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $37B 2-year Notes (1pm et)
US Assesses Tariffs on another $200B Chinese Goods Imported to US
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
Japan Corporate Services Price Index Aug
Supermarket Sales
BoJ Chief Kuroda speaks to biz
leaders (Osaka)
ECB's Praet, Coeure + US Larry
Summers speak at ECB 3rd Annual Research Conference "Saving the
Heartland" (Frankfurt Germany)
Spain PPI
Norges Bank Gov Olsen speaks at Centre for
Monetary Economics/BI Norwegian Business School
Italian Jul Trade Balance
BoE's Vlieghe speaks @Imperial
College Business School (London)
Brazil MPC Meeting Minutes Released + Inflation
Report
Risk.net 7th Annual Liquidity & funding
Risk Conference (London)
Tues. 09/25 holidays in Hong Kong & South
Korea
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Tuesday, Sept 25 |
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FOMC 2-day Meeting Begins
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
Philly Fed non-Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey
S&P Case Shiller Jul 20-city Home Price Index
FHFA Jul House Price Index
Conference Board's Sept Consumer Confidence
Richmond Fed Sept Manufacturing Index
Dallas Fed Services Revenues
US Treasury Auctions $17B reopened 2-year FRN Notes (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $38B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
New Zealand Aug Trade Balance & Sept
ANZ Consumer + Biz Confidence Indexes
Credit Suisse Sept Swiss Survey
Expectations & Sept ZEW Expectations
UK Aug BBA Loans for House
Purchases, CBI Sept Reported Sales, Total Distributed Reported Sales
South Korea Holiday Wed. 09/26 (local
time)
ECB's Mersch & Smets speak at digital
finance conference (Brussels)
ECB Pres Draghi receives German Pres.
Steinmeier at ECB Hdqtrs (Frankfurt)
Singapore Aug Industrial Production
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Wed.
Sept 26 |
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MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance
Applications
US Aug New Home Sales
Brazil Aug Bank Lending
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (10:30am et, w/e 09/21)
Google, Amazon, Twitter & Facebook testify at US Senate Commerce Cmte
FPA Foreign Policy Ass'n World Leadership Forum: US+China Taking Stock
& Looking Ahead (NY timed to coincide with U.M. GA)
FOMC post-Meeting Rate Decision + SEP (Member Financial Forecasts 2pm et)
FOMC Gov Powell Press Conference (2:30pm et)
T-2 for End of Month/Quarter
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
RBNZ (New Zealand) MPC Interest Rate
Decision, Policy Statement & Press Conference
China Aug Swift Global Payments,
Industrial Profits
Aussie Aug Job Vacancies
BoJ's Kuroda speaks
(Tokyo)
German Oct GfK Consumer Confidence, Aug
Retail Sales, Sept CPI
French Aug Consumer Spending
Italy Aug Unemployment Rate & PPI
Hong Kong Aug Exports/Imports
ECB Releases Economic Bulletin
South Africa Aug PPI
Canada CFIB Sept Business Barometer
BoE's Haldane panelist @
Money, Macro, & Finance Research Conf. (London)
BoE's Carney panel chair
on "Sustainable Finance" at 3rd European Systemic Risk Board Annual Conference
(Frankfurt) (Frankfurt)
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Thursday, Sept 27 |
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US Aug Durable Goods
Orders/Shipments
US Q2 GDP, PCE
US Aug Int'l Trade Deficit
US weekly Jobless Claims
US Q2 Corporate Profits
US (Adv) Aug Retail Inventories
US (Adv) Aug Wholesale Inventories
SEC Chair Clayton fireside chat at Rosenblatt 11th Global Leader Exchange
(NY)
US Aug Pending Home Sales Index
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
WSJ Global Food Forum w/speakers like USDA, FDA, GRUB, IBM, US Sec'y of
Ag Sonny Purdue, SFM, Syngenta, HSY, Bayer, BG, EU @ globalfood.wsj.com
K.C. Fed Sept Manufacturing Index
US Treasury Auctions $31B 7-year Note (1pm et Duration helped by hike
Wed?)
USDA Farm Prices (3pm et)
Fed's Kaplan on "What you Really Need to Lead: The Pow3er of
Thinking and Acting like an Owner" @ Forum
for Minorities in Banking (K.C. Fed thru 28th)
Fed Balance Sheet (Shrinkage increases starting Oct) + US weekly Money
Supply
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
BoC's Poloz speaks @ Atlantic
Provinces EconomicCouncil (New Brunswick)
New Zealand Aug Building Permits
UK GfK Sept Consumer Confidence + Lloyds
Business Barometer
Japan Aug Jobless Rate/Change,
Sept CPI, BoJ Sept Mtg Summary of Opinions, Aug Retail
Trade, Industrial Production
China Q2 (F) Current Account Balance
UK Sept Nationwide House Price Index
Aussie Aug Private Sector & Housing Credit
Caixin China Sept Manufacturing PMI
Singapore Aug Bank Lending
Japan Jul Vehicle Production, Aug Construction Orders
& Housing Starts
German Sept Unemployment Rate/Claims/Change
UK Q2 Current Account Balance, GDP, Total
Business Investment, HPI
BoE's Ramsden speaks @ Society of Prof. Economists
Annual (London)
Eurozone, French, German, Italy, Spain Sept
CPI & HICP
India Bank Loan & Deposit Growth, Aug Federal
Fiscal Deficit, Infrastructure Output
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Friday,
Sept 28 |
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US Aug Personal
Income/Expenditures + Savings/PCE
Canada Jul GDP, Aug Industrial & Raw Materials Price Indices
Brazil Unemployment Rate
South Africa Aug Trade Balance
Chicago Sept PMI
Fed's Barkin speaks @ Forum for Minorities in Banking
BoE's Ramsden speaks (London)
Brazil Aug Budget Balance
U.M. final Sept Consumer Sentiment
India Q2 Foreign Debt
Canada Budget Balance
Baker-Hughes weekly Rig Count
NY Fed's Williams keynotes "Reserve Reductions, Money Markets &
Future Frameworks" Columbia Univ School of Int'l & Public Affairs & NY Fed
Joint event with Q&A (4:45pm)
OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. et:
Fed's Williams (4:45pm et) &
ECB's Hothausen, BoJ Shimizu, speak at Columbia Univ School of Int'l Affairs & Fed
Reserve Bank of NY Joint "Reesrve Reductions, Money Markets, and Future
Frameworks Conference"
(NY)
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Sat.
Sept 29 |
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China Sept Manufacturing &
Non-Manufacturing PMI |
Sunday, Sept 30 |
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OVERNIGHT
into US Mon. a.m. et:
Caixin China Sept Manufacturing PMI
Aussie AiG Sept Performance of
Manufacturing Index
South Korea Oct Manufacturing BSI Index
& Sept Trade Balance, Nikkei Manufacturing PMI
Japan Q3 Tankan Index,
Outlook + Sept Official Reserve Assets
Swiss Q3 Real Estate Index of Family
Homes
Ward's Total US Sept Vehicle
Sales
Japan Nikkei Sept Manufacturing PMI, Sept
Vehicle Sales
India Nikkei/Markit Sept Manufacturing
PMI
Swiss Aug Retail Sales & Sept SVME
Manufacturning PMI
German Aug Retail Sales & Import
Price Index
Russia Sept Markit Manufacturing PMI
Spain Aug Retail Sales
Markit Eurozone, France, Germany,
Italy Sept Manufacturing PMI
BoE Aug Net Consumer Credit, UK
Mortgage Approvals, Net Lending, M4, Markit Sept Manufacturing PMI
Eurozone Aug Unemployment Rate
South Africa Manufacturing PMI, Sept
Total Vehicle Sales
BoE MPC member Tenreyro @ Rebuilding
Macroeconomics Annual Conf on "Bringing Psychology & Social Sciences into
Macroeconomics" (London)
China Golden Week Holiday
throughout the week thru 10/06.
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Monday, Oct 01 |
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Sept US Manufacturing PMI
US Sept ISM Manufacturing Index/Employment/Prices Paid/Orders (10am et)
US Sept Motor Vehicle Sales
RBC Canada Sept Manufacturing PMI, BoC's Lane speaks U of Calgary
Brazil Markit Sept Manufacturing PMI & Trade Balance
US Aug. Construction Spending
Fed Banks of Philly & Richmond co-sponsor "Reinventing Our Communities:
Investing in Opportunity" keynote from CEO of Robin Hood Wes Moore
(Baltimore MD thru 3rd)
Fed's Kashkari Town Hall w/Q&A (Minnetonka MN 11am)
US Treasury Auctions $48B 3-, & $42B 6-month Bills
Boston Fed's Rosengern on "US Outlook/Monetary Policy" at NABE (12:15pm et)
Mexico Markit Sept Manufacturing PMI
Mary Daly assumes Pres/CEO roles @ San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank
China & Hong Kong Holidays--China Golden Week (All Week)
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
New Zealand NZIER Q3 Business Confidence
& QSBO Capicity Utilitiaation
Aussie Sept CBA Manufracturing PMI,
Consumer Confidence
South Korea Aug Industrial Production,
Retail Sales, Service Sector Output
Japan Aug Loans & Discounts, Sept
Monetary Base
CoreLogic Aussie Sept House Price Index
RBA (Aussie) MPC Meeting Rate
Decision (10/02 local time)
Japan Sept Consumer Confidence
UK Sept Nationwide House Price
Index
Aussie RBA Sept Commodity Index
Spain Unemployment Change
BoE Fiancial Policy Meeting
Minutes, Markit/CIPS Sept Construction PMI
BoE Economic Haldane
chairs session @ rebuilding Macroeconomics Annual Conference (London)
Eurozone Aug PPI
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Tuesday, Oct 02 |
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Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
Brazil Aug Industrial Production
Singapore Sept Manufacturing PMI
Fed V.Chair Quarles Testimony "Implementation of the Economic Growth
Regulatory Relief & Consumer Protection Act" @ US Senate Banking Cmte
(D.C. 10am et)
RBA Payments Policy Chief @ Chicago Payments Symposium
FOMC Chief Powell speaks @ NABE (noon luncheon)
Holidays in China & India
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
New Zealand QV Sept House Prices &
ANZ Job Ads & Commodity Index
Aussie Sept AiG performance of Services
Index
Japan Nikkei Sept Services &
Composite PMI
UK BRC Sept Shop Price Index
Aussie Aug Building & Private House
Approvals
Markit Eurozone, France, Germany, Italy, Spain
Sept Services & Composite PMI
ECB's Mersch keynotes Latvijas Banka
"Payments in the 22nd Century: Future Starts Today?" (Riga, Latvia)
South Africa Standard Bank Sept PMI
Swiss KOF Institute Autumn Economic Forecast
UK Markit/CIPS Sept Services &
Composite PMI
Fed's Evans on Current US Eco Conditions &
Monetary Policy at OMFIF (London 6:30am et)
Eurozone Aug Retail Sales
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Wed.,
Oct 03 |
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MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance
Applications
Fed's Barkin "Outlook for Tomorrow: Five Numbers to Watch"
w/Q&A w/Media @ WVa Eco Outlook Conference (Charleston WVa (8am et)
ADP Sept Private Sector Employment Report
US PMI Sept Services Index
ISM US Sept Non-Manufacturing Index
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillate Report (10:30am et)
Brazil Fx Flows
Fed's Harker on "Rethinking the Labor Market &
Approaches to Employment" @ "Reinventing our Communities: Investing in
Opportunity" Conference (Baltimore MD noon)
Fed's Bullard (1pm et) + Fed's Mester keynote (1:15pm)
& Chair of FDIC McWilliams (5:15pm) @ 6th Annual Commuunity Banking
in the 21st Century Research & Policy Conference w/Q&A (St Louis
Fed Reserve 2:15pm thru 4th)
Fed's Harkin closing comments @ Reinventing our Communities: Investing n
Opportunity (Baltimore MD)
Holidays in China, South Korea & Germany
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
South Korea Fx reserves
Aussie CBA Australia Sept Services
& Composite PMI
Japan Purchases of Foreign Stocks &
Bonds & vice versa
Aussie Aug Trade Balance
Hong Kong Sept Manufacturing PMI
ECB member & Bk of Finland Gov. Rehn
holds news conference on monetary policy & global economic situation (Helsinki)
ECB's Nouy keynotes
"FMA Aufsichtskonferenz "Der Finanzmarkt als Global Village:
integriert--innovativ--international" (Vienna Austria)
ECB's Coeure speaks to
local French business community (Chateaudun Fr)
German Markit Sept Construction PMI
UK Sept New Car Registrations
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Thurs.
Oct 04 |
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Fed V.Chair Quarles
Keynote Day 2 @ Community Banking Conference (St Louis Fed)
Challenger Sept Job-Cuts
US weekly Jobless Claims
Canada Sept Ivey PMI
US Aug Factory Orders
US Aug (F) Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (w/e 09/28)
Fed's Kaplan lectures for Anderson Chandler Lecture series events @ KS
Univ of Business (Lawrence KS)
Russia Central Bank Fx Reserves
Brazil Sept Auto Production & Sales
Mexico Central Bank MPC Rate Decision
US Treasury October Refunding Announcement
Fed weekly Balance Sheet (back under $4 Trillion) & Us Money Supply
China Golden Week Holiday continues
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
Aussie AiG Sept Performance of
Construction Index & HIA Oct New Home Sales, Trade Balance & Aug retail Sales
Japan Aug. Overall Household Spending,
Labor Cash Earnings, Sept Bankruptcies, Fx reserves
South Korea sept CPI
RBA's Heath speaks (Canberra), Sept Fx
Reserves, + Aussie Aug Retail Sales
India Central Bank Interest Rate
& Reverse REPO Rate Decision
German Aug Factory Orders, PPI
South Africa Sept Fx Reserves
French Aug Current Account, Trade
Balance, Gov't Budget
Swiss Sept Fx Reserves & CPI
Italian Aug Retail Sales
Hong Kong Sept Fx Reserves
UK Halifax Sept House Prices, Q2
Unit Labor Costs
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Friday,
Oct 05 |
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Brazil sept CPI
Sept US Unemployment Report/Change/Participation (8:30am et)
Canada Sept Unemployment Report/Change/Earnings, Aug Int'l Merchandise
Trade
US (F) Aug Int'l Trade Deficit
Opening Plenary Mark Zandi @ 57th Financial Literacy & Economic
Education Conference (12:30pm et Atlanta GA thru 6th)
Baker-Hughes North American/US Rig Count (1pm et)
US Aug. Consumer Credit (debt really 3pm et)
China still celebrating Golden Week Holiday
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Saturday, Oct 06 |
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Fed's Bostic Luncheon
& Teacher Awards speaker @ Financial Literacy & Eco Ed Conference on
"Financial Literacy & Economic Education" (12:30pm)
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WEEKS AHEAD: 10/24
BoC (Canada) MPC Meets
Riksbank (Swedes) MPC Meets
10/25 ECB MPC Meets
Norges Bank (Norway) MPC Meets
10/31 BoJ MPC Meets
US FOMC does NOT meet in October
*FOMC 2018 Voting Members: Chairperson
Jerome Powell, as of 02/05/18, and ALL members of the FOMC Board of
Governors are permanent voters: That includes Randall Quarles, & Lael
Brainard, newly (sept) sworn in Richard Clarida, plus New York Fed Pres,
currently John Williams (Formerly of the San Francisco Fed) who replaced William
Dudley, who retired from the bank on June 15, 2018.:New, revolving
Regional Fed Bank leaders who are voters for 2018: Atlanta Fed Pres. Raphael Bostic,
new in August 2017 (replaced Dennis Lockhart), former McKinsey exec Thomas Barkin,
who assumed the title of Pres of Richmond Fed on 01/01/18, plus
San Francisco Fed, without a leader, since Williams left for NY in July, named Mary Daly
Pres/CEO as of 10/1/2018, who'll be a voter until Feb. The hole in the San
Francisco Fed's hierarchy resulted in Esther George--a very vocal hawk--becoming a voting
member of the FOMC, but she steps aside as of Mary Daly's swearing in, and returns as a
voter in Feb 2019. Cleveland Fed's voter, Loretta Mester, a hawk, who
wants rates raised at a quicker pace because she believes the Fed has, already, fallen
behind the curve. Richmond wound up with an opening, after Jeff
Lacker resigned, in early April 2017, when it became known he'd (unintentionally) leaked
sensitive FOMC discussions to Medley Advisors. Richmond operated with an Interim Pres,
Mark L Mullinix, while searching for its new leader, Thomas Barkin, who arrived Jan 1st
2018.. Dissenters at the Dec. 2017 Meeting, Neel Kashkari & Charles Evans, are no
longer voters in 2018. |
* HICP used in Europe, means Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices |
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