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November 2018 Economic
Statistics
and Other Economic Influences |
TUESDAYS:
Weekly Chain Store Sales*
Average Hourly Earnings*
API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report* ** (4:30p.m.)
WEDNESDAYS:
Mortgage Applications Data
EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
THURSDAYS:
Weekly Unemployment Report*
Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)
*Except Holidays ** As of 1/09
All Dates Subject to Change: |
| Sunday,
Oct 28 |
|
Brazilian Run-off Election
OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
South Korea BSI Manufacturing Index
Japan Sept Retail Sales
Aussie HIA Home Sales
UK Oct Nationwide House Prices
South Africa Sept Private Sector Credit
Italy Sept PPI
BoE Sept Net Consumer Credit,
Lending on Dwellings, Mortgage Approvals, M4 Money Supply, CBI Oct. Reported Sales + Total
Distributed Sales
Britsh FinMin Hammond delivers
autumn budget statement
ECB Monetary Policy Conference:
Bridging Science & Practice (Frankfurt DE thru 30th)
Norges Bank Publishes Annual Financial
Stability Report
|
| Monday, Oct 29 |
|
Sept US Personal
Income/Expenditures + PCE
NY Fed Sr V.P. Testa speaks @ LBMA Precious Metals Conference (Boston)
Fed's Evans opens 6th Summit on
Regional Competitiveness, includes insights on facilities belonging to US Steel, Foxconn,
BMW (9:45am Chicago)
Oct Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey, Sept PCE, Texas Services Outlook
Brazil Sept Budget Balance, Debt/GDP Ratio
T-2 EOM for Equity Traders
US Treasury Auctions $45m 3-, & $39B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
Fed Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey
Janet Yellen speaks @ FinTech Forum (Montreal, Canda 6:30pm)
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
BoC's Timothy Lane speaks
@ FinTech Forum (Montreal 8:30pm et)
So. Korea Nov Mftng BSI Index,
Industrial Production, Services Output
Japan Sept Jobless Rate,
Jobs/Applicaitons Rate
RBA's (Aussie) Bullock speaks
(Sydney)
Aussie Sept Building Approvals,
Private House Approvals
France Q3 GDP/Business
& Consumer Spending
Spain Sept Retail Sales, CPI &
HICP
Italy Q3 GDP, Oct
Business & Consumer Confidence
German Oct. Unemployment
Rate/Change/Claims & CPI + HICP
South Africa Q3 Unemployment Rate
Eurozone Q3 GDP,
Oct Business, Industrial, Services Confidence
|
| Tuesday, Oct 30 |
|
Redbook weekly shop sales snapshot
S&P Case/Shiller Aug 20-city Home Price Index
Conference Board's Oct. Consumer Confidence/Expectations
Brazil Unemployment Rate
Mexico Q3 (P) GDP
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (11:30am et amounts to be announced)
USDA Farm Prices (3pm et morre tariff impacts?)
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
New Zealand Sept Building Permits, Oct
ANZ Activity, Business Confidence
Japan Sept Industrial Production,
Construction Orders
BoJ MPC Decision on Rates &
QE, Outlook, 10-yr Yield Target
BoJ Kuroda post-Meeting Press
Conference (10/31 local)
UK Lloyds Oct Business Barometer,
GfK Consumer Confidence, BRC Shop Price Index
Aussie Q3 CPI, Sept Private Sector Credit
China Oct. Manufacturing,
non-Manufacturing + Composite PMI
Singapore Bank Lending, Business
Expectations
Japan Aug Vehicle Production, Oct
Consumer Confidence, Sept Housing Starts
SNB Q3 2017 Currency Allocation Report
Released + Credit Suisse Oct Survey Expectations
Spain Q3 GDP &
Current Account
Italy Sept Unemployment Rate,
Oct CPI, HICP
Swiss ZEW Expectations
India Sept Federal Fiscal Deficit
Eurozone Sept Unemployment
Report, Oct CPI
Riksbank Gov Ingves visits Banco de
Portugal, discusses road to Basel III
SNB Chair Jordan speech on
"Protectionism makes monetary policy difficult" @ Berne Economic
society of Berne (Berne Suisse)
|
| Wed.,
Oct 31 |
|
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance
Apps
ADP Oct US Private Sector Employment Report
US Q3 Employment Cost Index (ECI, 8:30am et)
US Treasury Refunding Announcement (8:30am et)
Canada Aug GDP, Sept Industrial Product & Raw Materials Price Indexes
Federal Reserve Board of Governors votes on easing Financial Company capital &
liquidity rules, and stress test frequency for very large banks ($250B+ assets)
but well below the assets of the 4--6 largest, like super-regionals COF,
PNC, BBT
So. Africa Sept Trade Balance
Chicago Oct. PMI
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (10:30am et)
Brazil FX Flows
Halloween
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
New Zealand QV Oct House Prices, Job Ads
Aussie AiG Oct Performance of
Manufacturing Index, CBA Oct PMI. CoreLogic House Prices, Sept Trade Balance, RBA Oct
Commodity Index
So Korea Oct Trade Balance & CPI
Swiss Oct CPI, SECO Consumer Confidence,
Manufaturing PMI
Japan Oct Manufacturing PMI
Hong Kong Sept Retail Sales
China Oct Caixin Manufacturing
PMI
India Nikkei Oct Manufacturing PMI
BoJ Oct Official FX Reserves, Stock &
Bond Purchases thru 10/26
Ward's US Oct Vehicle Sales
UK Markit Oct
Manufacturing PMI, Oct Nationwide Home Prices
Brazil Sept Industrial Production +
Markit Manufacturing PMI
BoE MPC Decision on Rates &
QE, Inflation Report, Meeting Minutes
South AFrica Oct Total Vehicle Sales
|
| Thurs.
Nov 01 |
|
BoE Gov Carney post-BoE
Meeting Press Conference (London)
Challenger Oct Job-Cuts
US weekly Jobless Claims
Canada RBC Oct Manufacturing PMI
US Q3 Productivity & Costs (8:30am et)
US Markit Manufacturing PMI (9:45am et)
US Oct ISM Manufacturing Index/Prices Paid/New Orders/Employment(10am)
US Sept Construction Spending
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
Brazil Oct Trade Balance
Mexico Markit Oct Manufacturing PMI
Fed weekly Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
New Zealand ANZ Oct Consumer Confidence
Aussie Q3 PPI & Sept Retail Sales
Swiss UBS Q3 Real Estate Bubble Index,
Sept Retail Sales
Markit Eurozone, France, Italy,
Germany, Spain Manufacturing PMI
UK Markit/CIPS Oct Manufacturing &
Construction PMI
India FX Reserves
Sweden Central Bank Releases
Minutes of its Monetary Policy Meeting
Int'l Economic History Conference for the
90 years of the Bk of Greece with central bank leaders from ECB, Finland, Belgium,
Greece, Malta, Portugal (Athens to 3rd)
|
| Friday,
Nov 02 |
|
US Oct Vehicle Sales
US Oct Employment Report/Change/Participation/Hrly Earnings (8:30am et)
US Sept (P) International Trade Deficit (8:30am et)
Brazil Holiday
NY Federal Reserve Bank Town Hall on Strategies for Improving the US Payment System (SIPS)
Canada Oct Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation/Part/Full-Time, Trade
Deficit
US Sept Factory Orders
Singapore Oct Manufacturing PMI
US Sept (F) Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count
|
| Saturday, Nov 03 |
|
German Sept Retail Sales
Riksbank Releases Minutes of its MPC Meeting (Stockholm)
China Sept Industrial Profits
Japan Holiday (Culture Day)
|
| Sunday,
Nov 04 |
|
OVERNIGHT
into US Mon. a.m. et:
Hong Kong PMI
Singapore PMI
Aussie AiG Oct Services Index, Job Ads,
Commodity Price Index
China Q3 Current Account Balance & Official
PMI
Caixin China Oct. PMI Services & Composite
Index
BoJ Releases Sept 18/19th MPC Meeting
Minutes
BoJ's Kuroda speaks w/Business Leaders
(Nagoya)
India Nikkei PMI Services Index
Hong Kong Oct Manufacturing PMI
UK Oct New Car Registrations,
Markit/CIPS Oct Services & Composite PMI
Spain Unemployment Rate/Change, Consumer
Confidence
Eurozone Nov Sentix Investor Confidence
ECB V.P. Guindos, Economist Praet
& Gov Council's Smets speak (Brussels)
BoC Chief Poloz speaks at
Canada-UK Chamber of Commerce (London)
|
| Monday, Nov 05 |
|
US Markit Oct Services &
Composite PMI/Employment/Orders/Prices
ISM Oct non-Manufacturing Index
US Treasury Auctions $45B 3-, & $39B 6-month Bills (11:30am)
US Treasury Auctions $37B 3-year Notes (1pm)
TD Ameritrade IMX (12:30pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
Japan Sept Overall Household Spending
German Sept Factory/Manufacturers' Orders
Eurozone, French, German, Italian Oct
Services & Composite PMI
UK BRC Oct Like-for-Like Retail Sales Monitor
Japan Nikkei Oct Services & Composite PMI
RBA (Aussie) MPC Rate Decision
Announced
Eurozone PPI
Brazil BCB MPC Meeting Minutes, Markit Services
& Composite PMI
Eurozone FinMins meet to discuss deeper
Eurozone integration, including a Euro zone budget, new powers for bailout fund
& setting up Eurozone deposit guarantee scheme (Brussels)
ECB's Praet speaks (Brussels)
ECB's Lautenschlager speaks
before Chairs of Supervisory Boards of Banks in Germany (Frankfurt)
Riksbank 1st Dpty af Jochnick speaks at
Boligmarkedet 2018 on significance of interest rate for Swedish housing market (Oslo)
Riksbank Gov Ingves to present his bank's view
of the payment system of today and tomorrow at Framtidens Betalningar Conference
(Stockholm)
ECB's Coeure speaks (Brussels)
Norges Bank Gov Olsen speaks at NEF
Bligmarkedet--Balanser og unbalanser, hosted by the Ass'n of Real Estate (Oslo)
Norges Dpty Gov matsen speaks at
"Sparebankdagene 2018" a conference hosted by the Norwegian Savings Banks Ass'n
(Trondheim, Norway)
|
| Tuesday, Nov 06 |
|
US Mid-Term Elections
Canada Sept Building Permits
Russia CPI
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
Fed's Sept JOLTS (Job Turnover/Openings/Quits)
US Treasury Auction of 4-wk & 8-wk Bills in Amounts not yet detailed
US Treasury Auctions $26B 52-week Bills +$27B 10-year Notes
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
New Zealand Q3 Unemployment
Rate/Change/Participation/Labor Costs
China Oct FX Reserves
BoJ's Funo speaks to business leaders(Kochi) +
Sept Labor Cash Earnings
RBNZ 2-year Inflation Expectation
BoJ Summary of Opinions from
its 10/30--31 Policy Meeting (Tokyo)
German Sept. Industrial Production & Markit
Oct Construction PMI
UK Halifax Oct Home Price Index
Italy Sept Retail Sales
Singapore Oct FX Reserves
South Africa Oct FX Reserves
Eurozone Sept Retail Sales
Brazil Oct CPI, Auto Production & Sales, FX
Flows
|
| Wed.
Nov 07 |
|
FOMC 2-day Meeting
Starts (Rare Wed. Start Pushes Out the Decision to Thursday)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
Canada Ivey Oct PMI
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (10:30am et; w/e 11/02)
US Treasury Auctions $19B 30-year Bonds
US Sept Consumer Credit (3pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
BoJ MPC Minutes/Summary of Opinions/Sept
Current Account Balance
Japan Reuters Nov Tankan Index,
Sept Machine Orders, Trade Balance, Oct Lending, Sept Current Account, Purchases of
Foreign Bonds & Stocks
China Oct Trade Balance,
Foreign Direct Investment
UK RICS Oct House Price Balance
Swiss Oct Unemployment Report
French & German Int'l Trade Balances
ECB's Coeure keynotes "Scaling up Green
Finance: The Role of Central Banks" at Network for Greening the Financial System
& Council on Eco Policies (Berlin)
Spanish Sept Industrial Production
SNB Gov Bd Member Maechler & Alternate
Moser speak at Money Market Event (Geneva)
RBNZ (New Zealand) MPC Decision
+ Press Conference (11/08 local time)
ECB Economic Bulletin of Forecasts
South Africa Sept Mining + Gold Production
|
| Thursday, Nov 08 |
|
Canada Oct Housing Starts, Sept New
Housing Price Index
US weekly Jobless Claims
Mexico Oct CPI
Fed Reserve Bk of NY's Williams opens, & Philly Fed's Harker
on "Workforce Investment by Sector," at "Investing in America's Workforce
Book Launch" (NY)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
SNB's Maechier speaks (Geneva Suisse)
FOMC Statement Released (2pm et)
US WASDE Report
US weekly Federal Reserve Balance Sheet & Money Supply
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
New Zealand Oct Card Spending,
REINZ Oct House Sales
Aussie Sept Home Loans
RBA Q4 Statement on Monetary Policy
China Oct PPI & CPI
French Sept Industrial Production
UK Sept & Q3 NIESR
GDP/Private Consumption/Government Spending, Business Investment, Trade Balance,
Industrial, Manufacturing Production, Construction Output, Merchandise Trade Balance,
Index of Services
Russia Sept Trade Balance (How much oil
exported?)
India Deposit & Loam Growth + FX
Reserves
|
| Friday,
Nov 09 |
|
US Oct PPI--FD
U.M. Prelim Nov Consumer Sentiment (10am et)
US Sept (F) Wholesale Inventories & Sales
Mexican Sept Industrial Production
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. et
China Oct New Yuan Loans, Aggregate
Financing,
|
| Sat.
Nov 10 |
|
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WEEKS AHEAD: 11/14
FOMC V. Chair Quarles testifies at House Financial Services
Cmte
11/15
Bank of Mexico MPC Meets
Quarles
testifies at Senate Banking Cmte on the Fed's Supervision & Regulation of the
Financial System
Atlanta
Fed's Bostic speaks at GIC "Central Banking Series:Madrid"
11/28
FOMC Chief Powell speaks @ Economic Club of NY luncheon
12/04
RBA (Aussie) MPC Meets
12/05
BoC (Canada) MPC Meets
FOMC
Chief Powell testifies before Jt Economic Cmte of Congress (DC)
12/13
ECB MPC Meets
SNB
(Swiss) MPC Meets
Norges
(Norway) MPC Meets
12/16
ECB's Draghi & Bundesbank's Weimann speak
(Frankfurt)
Chico
Fed's Evans Q&A @ Fixed Income Forum Roundtable (Chicago)
12/18--19
FOMC Meets
12/19
FOMC Chief Powell Press Conference post-Expected Rate Hike
BoJ's
Kuroda & Bk of France's de Galhau speak @ Europlace Int'l Fin Forum
12/20
BoE MPC Meets
BoJ
MPC Meets
Riksbank
(Sweden) MPC Meets
Bk
of Mexico MPC Meets
*FOMC 2018 Voting Members: Chairperson
Jerome Powell, as of 02/05/18, and ALL members of the FOMC Board of
Governors are permanent voters: That includes Randall Quarles, & Lael
Brainard, newly (sept) sworn in Richard Clarida, plus New York Fed Pres,
currently John Williams (Formerly of the San Francisco Fed) who replaced William
Dudley, who retired from the bank on June 15, 2018.:New, revolving
Regional Fed Bank leaders who are voters for 2018: Atlanta Fed Pres. Raphael Bostic,
new in August 2017 (replaced Dennis Lockhart), former McKinsey exec Thomas Barkin,
who assumed the title of Pres of Richmond Fed on 01/01/18, plus
San Francisco Fed, without a leader, since Williams left for NY in July, named Mary Daly
Pres/CEO as of 10/1/2018, who'll be a voter until Feb. The hole in the San
Francisco Fed's hierarchy resulted in Esther George--a very vocal hawk--becoming a voting
member of the FOMC, but she steps aside as of Mary Daly's swearing in, and returns as a
voter in Feb 2019. Cleveland Fed's voter, Loretta Mester, a hawk, who
wants rates raised at a quicker pace because she believes the Fed has, already, fallen
behind the curve. Richmond wound up with an opening, after Jeff
Lacker resigned, in early April 2017, when it became known he'd (unintentionally) leaked
sensitive FOMC discussions to Medley Advisors. Richmond operated with an Interim Pres,
Mark L Mullinix, while searching for its new leader, Thomas Barkin, who arrived Jan 1st
2018.. Dissenters at the Dec. 2017 Meeting, Neel Kashkari & Charles Evans, are no
longer voters in 2018. |
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* HICP used in Europe, means Harmonized Index of Consumer Price |
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