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November/December 2018
Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences |
TUESDAYS:
Weekly Chain Store Sales*
Average Hourly Earnings*
API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report* ** (4:30p.m.)
WEDNESDAYS:
Mortgage Applications Data
EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
THURSDAYS:
Weekly Unemployment Report*
Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)
*Except Holidays ** As of 1/09
All Dates Subject to Change: |
Sunday,
Nov 25 |
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OVERNIGHT
into US Mon a.m. et:
New Zealand Q3 Retail Sales
RBA's Lowe speaks
(Sydney)
Japan/Nikkei Nov Manufacturing PMI
RBA Ass't Gov Kent speaks (Sydeny)
Singapore Oct Industrial Production
German IFO Nov Business Current
Conditions/Dec Expectations
Swiss Q3 Employment Level
Hong Kong Oct Trade Balance
ECB's Praet speaks
(Frankfurt)
UK Oct BBA Loans for House
Purchases, BoE's Exec Dir for UK Deposit Takers Supervision, Proudman, speaks at
Cass Business School (London)
ECB's Novotny & Coeure speak
@ BoE Macrofinancial modelling & forecasting Conference, via CCBS--Centre for Central
Banking Studies on "How to Finance Cohesion in Europe" (Vienna)
Paris Europlace for Sustainable
Finance (Paris FR thru 28th)
Russia Oct
GDP
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Monday, Nov 26 |
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G20 Pre-Summit Activities w/Sherpas &
Partners start (Buenos Aires Argentina thru 12/01)
Chicago Fed Nov Activity Index (8:30am et)
ECB's Draghi testifies at European Parliament Eco & Monetary Affairs
(Brussels)
The Clearing House & Bank Policy Institute Annual Conference (NY thru 28th)
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey (10:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions 3-, & 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $39B 2-year Notes (1pm et)
BoE Gov Carney, The Economist editor Wooldridge, & former FOMC
Chief Alan Greenspan discuss
"Capitalism in America: A History" @ Policy Exchange (UK)
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
New Zealand Oct Trade Balance
Japan Oct Corporate Services Price Index
& CPI
German Oct Retail Sales
China Oct Industrial Profits
UK Nov CBI Reported Nov Sales/Total
Distributed Reported Sales
Brazil Oct Current Account +
Foreign Direct Investment
BoE Dir for Banknotes, Cleland,
speaks @ Payments
International (London)
BoE Gov Carney
participates in online Q&A on Future of Money
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Tuesday, Nov 27 |
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Fed Gov Clarida
keynote @ Clearing House Conference (NY 7:45am et)
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot (includes Black Friday)
S&P Case Shiller Sept 20-City Home Price Index (9am)
FHFA Sept House Price Index
Conference Board's Nov Consumer Confidence (10am et)
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (11:30am)
Chicago Federal Reserve Bank Annual Agriculture
Conference (Chicago)
JPMorgan Fixed Income Markets 2019 Outlook Conference (NY)
US Treasury Auctions $40B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
Fed's Bostic, Evans, & George panelists on "Financial
Innovation, the Economy, Regulation, and the Future of Payments" w/Q&A at
Clearing House Conference (2:30pm NY)
OVERNIGHT into US Wed a.m. et:
RBNZ (New Zealand) Publishes Financial
Stability Report
UK Nov Nationwide House Price Index, BRC
Shop Price Index
Banxico (Mexico) Inflation Report
Aussie Q3 Construction Work Achieved
BoE Financial Stability Report
& Stress Test Results Published
Swiss Nov ZEW Conditions &
Expectations
ECB
Conference on Investment, Technological Transformation & Skills
(Luxembourg thru 29th)
Eurozone y/o/y Private Sector Loans
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Wed.,
Nov 28 |
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MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance
Applications
G20 Sherpas & Partners Joint meeting (Buenos Aires)
Brazil Oct Bank Lending/ Fx Flows
US Q3 GDP/Business Investment/Personal Consumption/Wages (8:30am
et)
US Oct Int'l Trade Deficit
Q3 Corporate Profts
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
US (adv) Oct Wholesale & Retail Inventories
US Oct New Home Sales (10am et)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (w/e 11/23)
FOMC Chief Powell speaks @ Economic Club of NY luncheon (11:30--2pm)
US Treasury Auctions $18B reopened 2-year FRN (11:30am)
FDIC Chairperson McWilliams Keynotes Clearing House Lunch (noon)
US Treasury Auctions $32B 7-year Notes (1pm et)
FOMC Minutes of its Nov. 07--08 Meeting (2pm)
Fed Reserve Board publishes its 1st semiannual report on Board's
Assessment of Financial Stability Conditions (D.C. 4:30pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et
Japan Oct Retail Trade, Foreign Direct
Investment
Aussie Q3 Private CapEx, HIA Oct New Home Sales
South Africa Oct Private Sector Credit
China Oct Swift Global Payments
BoJ's Masai speaks to business
leaders w/Press Conferencce (Fukuoka)
Swiss Q3 + YTD GDP
Norges Bank (Norway) overseer of Wealth
Fund speaks on the fund (Oslo)
French Q3 GDP, Oct Consumer Spending
Norges Bank Gov Olsen speaks @ Nordea Wholesale
Banking Annual Dinner
Spain Nov CPI & HICP + Retail Sales
German Nov. Unemployment/Change, CPI, HICP
BoE Oct Net Consumer Credit,
Net Lending on Dwellings, M4 Money Supply
Eurozone Nov Business, Industrial, Services,
& Consumer Confidence
2nd CEBRA (Central Bk Resarch
Ass'n) Int'l Finance & Macroeconomics Programme--"Risk, volatility &
Central Bank Policies" (Madrid Spain thru 30th)
Brazil Unemployment Rate, BCB MPC Meeting
ECB, Fed Reserve Board & Fed
Reserve Bk of NY Global Research
Forum on Int'l Macroeconics & Finance (Frankfurt DE thru 30th)
Canada CFIB Nov Business Barometer
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Thurs.
Nov 29 |
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US weekly Jobless Claims (8:30am)
US Sept Personal Income/Outlays + PCE
Russia Central Bank Fx Reserves
CFTC Chair Giancarlo lunch keynote @ Treasury Office + Fed Reserve Bk of
Cleveland co-sponsor Financial
Stability:Markets & Spillover Conference (D.C. thru 30th)
Canada Q3 Current Account Balance
NAR Oct Pending Home Sales (10am et)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (w/e 11/23)
Fed's Mester opens "Collaboration for Inclusive Economic
Development: A forum for philanthropies, policymakers & practitioners" @ Boston
Fed Bank (2pm et)
Fed's Evans panelist on "Collaboration for Inclusive Economic
Development" w/Q&A @ Boston Fed event (2pm et)
USDA Farm Prices (3pm et)
"Jobs for the Heartland: Place-Based Policies in 21st Century America"
@ Boston Fed (3:30pm New England Study Group--includes Lawrence Summers)
Fed's weekly Balance Sheet & US Money Supply (4:30om et)
G20 FinMins Dinner (Buenos Aires)
OVERNIGHT into US Fri a.m. et:
South Korea Oct Building
Consents, Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Service Sector Output & MPC
Interest Rate Decision
New Zealand Oct Building Permits, Nov
Consumer Confidence
Japan Oct Unemployment Rate/Change, Nov
Industrial Production, CPI
UK Lloyds Nov Business Barometer, GfK
Consumer Confidence, Nov UK Nationwide House Price Index
Aussie Oct Private Sector Credit
China Nov Manufacturing,
Non-Manufacturing + Composite PMIs
Japan Sept Vehicle Production, Oct
Housing Starts, Construction Orders
India Oct Federal Fiscal Deficit
Eurozone Oct Unemployment Rate/Change.
Nov CPI
Italy Q3 GDP
Brazil Oct Budget Balance, Q3 GDP,
Debt/GDP Ratio
South Africa Oct Trade Balance
French CPI & HICP
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Friday,
Nov 30 |
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G20 Leaders Summit
opened by Argentine Pres. Marcri's plenary
session @ 12:30pm local time (10:30am est) streamed, live on YouTube (GOOGL)
Trump & Jinping expected to meet on tariffs & trade (Buenos Aires
Argentina thru 12/01)
Canada Sept GDP, Oct Industrial & Raw Materials Prices
Fed's Williams panelist on "The Global Economy: Addressing a Future
Downturn" @ 80th Plenary Meeting of the Group of Thirty (9am et NY)
Chicago Nov PMI (9:45am)
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm)
OVERNIGHT into US Sat a.m. et:
South Korea Nov Trade Balance
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Sat.
Dec 01 |
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SNB Chief Jordan
speaks about importance of academic research (Bern Suisse)
Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (aka AMLO) sworn in as new President of Mexico
Argentine Pres. Macri press briefing on G20 Summit's main conclusion,
followed by press briefings from other G20 leaders who choose to hold one (streamed on YouTube)
US Pres. Trump & China's Xi Jinping dine together at G20 to defuse tariff war
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Sunday,
Dec 02 |
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OVERNIGHT into US
Mon. a.m. et:
Aussie AiG Nov Performance of Manufacturing Index,
CBA Nov PMI Manufacturing, CoreLogic House Price Index
New Zealand Q3 Terms of Trade Index, Trade
Balance
Japan Q3 CapEx, Company Profits/Sales,
Oct Loans & Discounts, Nov official Fx Reserves
Aussie ANZ Job Ads, Q3 Biz Inventories, Company
Operating Profits, Oct Building Approvals, Private House Approvals, Nov RBA Commodity
Index
China Caixin Nov Manufacturing PMI
Japan Nov Vehicle Sales, Manufacrturing PMI
So. Korea Nikkei Nov Manfuacturing PMI
Swiss Oct Retail Sales, Nov SVME Manufacturing
PMI + Total Sight Deposits
Wards Nov Total US Vehicle Sales
Eurozone, France, Germany, Italy, Spain
Nov Manufacturing PMI
South Africa Nov Manufacturing PMI, Total
Vehicle Sales
Singapore Nov Manufacturing PMI
UK Markit Nov Manufacturing PMI
Danish Financial Sector Annual Meeting
w/Speeches by Central Bk Gov Rohde, Biz minister Jarlov, tax Minister Lauritzen + Others
Eurozone FinMins meet on deeper
integration, deposit guarantee scheme, euro zone budget
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Monday, Dec 03 |
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NY Fed's Williams introductory
remarks (9:15am), CFTC's Giancarlo, +Fed Gov Brainard (10:30am)
speak @ 4th Annual "Evolving
Structure of the US Treasury Market" (NY Fed)
Fed V. Chair Quarles moderated Q&A on Eco Outlook, Inflation,
Monetary Policy @ Council for Foreign Relations C. Peter McColough Series (NY)
RBC Nov Canadian Manufacturing PMI
PMI Nov Manufacturing Index
ISM Nov Mnftng Index/Oders/Shipments/Prices Paid/Employment (10am et)
Whitney Tilson Workshop on Shorting (NY)
US Oct Construction Spending
Mexico Nov Manufacturing PMI
US Treasury Auctions $39B 3-, & $36B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
BoE MPC Member Haldane speaks @ Annual Cambridge Public Policy Lecture
Fed's Kaplan speaks at Fed Reserve Bk of Dallas/TX A&M Community
Forum w/Q&A (1pm Laredo TX)
Brazil Nov Trade Balance
OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
South Korea Q3 GDP, Nov CPI
UK BRC Nov Like for Like Sales
Aussie Q3 Current Account Balance, Net
Exports % of GDP
Swiss Nov CPI
French Gov't Budget
Spain Unemployment
Riksbank (Sweden) Dpty Gov Jansson
comments on "Insurance--for Safe & Sustainable Development" Report
RBA (Aussie) MPC Announces on
Rate Decision (12/04 local time)
BoE Gov Carney testifies at UK
Parliament (Risk of No-Deal Brexit), + Meeting Minutes
Riksbank Dpty Gov Skingsley
panelist on cryptocurrencies @FT Banking Summit (London)
South Africa Q3 GDP
Brazil Oct Industrial Production
Eurozone Oct PPI
Milken Institute London Summit (London)
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Tuesday, Dec 04 |
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Federal Energy Policy Summit
(D.C. thru 6th)
Fed's Williams panelist on local employment/labor force trends in 2nd
District (NY)
BoE Insurance Exec Dir Rule participates @ 6th Insurance Risk &
Capital Conf. (London)
US Nov Motor Vehicle Sales
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
US Treasury Auctions 4-, 8-, & $26B 52-week Bills (11:30am et)
API Petroleum & Derivatives Data Every Tuesday After Close
OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
BoE's Villeghe speaks @ Plymouth Manufacturing Group
Christmas Lecture (UK)
ECB's Draghi, bank supervisor Nouy,
ECB MPC Lautenschlager & European Banking Authority Chair Enria speak at conference on
bank supervision (Frankfurt)
New Zealand ANZ Nov Job Ads
Aussie AiG Nov Performance of Services Index
New Zealand Q3 Volume of All Buildings, ANZ Nov
Commodity Prices
Aussie CBA Nov Services & Composite PMI
Japan Nikkei Nov Services & Composite PMI
Aussie Q3 GDP
BoJ's Wakatabe speaks (Niigata)
Hong Kong Nov Manufacturing PMI
China Nov Caixin Services &
Composite PMI
India Nikkei Nov Services PMI
Russia Markit Nov Services PMI
South Africa Standard Bank Nov PMI
Markit Nov Eurozone, France, Germany, Italy
Services & Composite PMI
India Interest Rate Decision, Cash
Reserve Ratio, Reverse REPO Rate
BoE publishes Record of the Financial
Policy meeting (11/20) + its final Assessment of the Health of Britain's
Banks + Financial System before Brexit
UK Nov New Car Registrations,
Oct Official Reserves, Markit/CIPS Nov Services & Composite PMI (JLR issuing rolling
plant closures)
Eurozone Oct Retail Sales
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Wed.
Dec 05 |
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MBA sweekly Mortgage/Refinance
Applications
US Q3 Productivity & Costs (8:30am et)
Canada Q3 Labor Productivity
US Nov Services & Composite PMI Index (9:45am)
Brazil Nov Services & Composite PMI, FX Flows
FOMC Chief Powell testimony @ Jt Economic Cmte of US Congress (CANCELLED
due to G. H. WE. Bush funeral )
BoC (Canada) MPC Rate Decision + Poloz Press Conference
Fed's Beige Book (due on Wed. as originally scheduled @ 2pm et)
OVERNIGHT into US Thur. a.m. et:
Aussie Oct Trade Balance & Retail Sales
German Oct Factory Orders, Construction PMI
ECB's Guindos speaks (Frankfurt)
RBA's Debelle speaks (Sydney)
BoE exec Dir for Markets, Hauser, participates
in The Finance Hive: FX (UK)
OPEC 175th (Ordinary) Meeting
(Vienna Austria 12/06 local time)
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Thursday, Dec 06 |
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Challenger Nov Job-Cut Report (GM
cut 14.6K 7:30am)
Canada Oct Int'l Merchandise Trade Balance
ADP Nov Private-Sector Employment Report (Rescheduled from Wed. 8:15am)
Russia CPI
US ISM non-Manufacturing Index (rescheduled from Wed. 10am et)
NRF Nov Chain Store Sales (Includes Thanksgiving weekend)
US Oct. Int'l Trade Deficit (8:30am)
US weekly Jobless Claims
Canada Ivey Nov PMI
Canada Oct Trade Balance
Brazil Nov Auto Production & Sales
US Oct Factory Orders/Durable Goods Orders/Capital Goods Orders (10am et)
Tech Roundtable @ White House w/MSFT, ORCL, QCOM, GOOGL, confirmed as of
this post (D.C.)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (Rescheduled from Wed.
10:30am et; w/e 11/30)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et)
US Treasury Refunding Announcement includes 10-, & 30-year Notes (pre-FOMC)
US Treasury Auctions 4-, & 8-week Bills (amounts not announced as of this post)
Fed's Bostic on US Eco Outlook @ Georgia Economic Outlook (12:15pm
Atlanta)
US Q3 Household Net Worth
Fed weekly Balance Sheet (Shrinking in the background) + US Money Supply
Fed's Williams moderated discussion w/former BoE Gov Mervyn King @London
School of Economics Foundation event in NY (6:30pm et)
BoC (Canada) Gov Poloz speech about yesterday's rate decision
(Toronto)
OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
Aussie AiG Nov Performance of
Construction
Japan Oct Overall Household
Spending, Reuters Dec Tankan Index
UK CBI Dec Total Orders/Selling
Price Trends
Aussie Nov Fx Reserves & Trade
Balance
German Oct Industrial Production &
Factory Orders
French Oct Industrial Production, Trade
Balance
China Nov FX Reserves
Eurozone Q3 GDP,
Employment, Change, Labor Costs, Gross Fixed Capital, Gov't Expenditure, Household
Consumption
UK Halifax Nov House Prices, RICS
House Price Balance, Inflation Expectations
Italian Oct Retail Sales
OPEC+ non-OPEC Producers Meet on
Oil Production Quotas to Boost Prices
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Friday,
Dec 07 |
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US Nov Unemployment
Rate/Participation/Change/Continuing Claims/Hrly Wage
Canada Nov Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation/Hrly Wage, Nov Housing
Starts
U.M. (P) Dec '18 Consumer Sentiment
US Oct Wholesale Trade (10am et)
OPEC & non-OPEC Oil Producers May Announce Quotas (10am et, 4pm Vienna)
Fed Gov Brainard on financial stability issues @ Peterson Institute for
Int'l Studies (12:15pm D.C.)
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm)
BoC Gov Poloz last speech of year @CF Toronto Eaton Centre
US Oct Consumer Credit (3pm et Debt direction usually coincides with
Retail Sales direction)
U.S. Federal Government Funding Ends at Midnight
Medicare Enrollment for 2019 Ends at Midnight
OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. et:
China Nov Trade Balance, Foreign
Direct Investment
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Saturday, Dec 08 |
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WEEKS AHEAD: 12/11
Britain's Parliament Votes on PM May's Brexit Deal
12/13 ECB MPC Meets
SNB (Swiss) MPC Meets
Norges (Norway) MPC Meets
12/16 ECB's Draghi & Bundesbank's Weidmann speak
(Frankfurt)
Chico Fed's Evans Q&A @ Fixed Income Forum Roundtable (Chicago)
12/18--19 FOMC Meets
12/19 FOMC Chief Powell Press Conference post-Expected Rate Hike
BoJ's Kuroda & Bk of France's de Galhau speak @ Europlace Int'l Fin Forum
12/20 BoE MPC Meets
BoJ MPC Meets
Riksbank (Sweden) MPC Meets
Bk of Mexico MPC Meets
*FOMC 2018 Voting Members: Chairperson
Jerome Powell, as of 02/05/18, and ALL members of the FOMC Board of
Governors are permanent voters: That includes Randall Quarles, & Lael
Brainard, newly (Sept) sworn in Richard Clarida, plus New York Fed Pres,
currently John Williams (Formerly of the San Francisco Fed) who replaced William
Dudley, who retired from the bank on June 15, 2018.:New, revolving
Regional Fed Bank leaders who are voters for 2018: Atlanta Fed Pres. Raphael Bostic,
new in August 2017 (replaced Dennis Lockhart), former McKinsey exec Thomas Barkin,
who assumed the title of Pres of Richmond Fed on 01/01/18, plus
San Francisco Fed, without a leader, since Williams left for NY in July, named Mary Daly
Pres/CEO as of 10/1/2018, who'll be a voter until Feb. The hole in the San
Francisco Fed's hierarchy resulted in Esther George--a very vocal hawk--becoming a voting
member of the FOMC, but she steps aside as of Mary Daly's swearing in, and returns as a
voter in Feb 2019. Cleveland Fed's voter, Loretta Mester, a hawk, who
wants rates raised at a quicker pace because she believes the Fed has, already, fallen
behind the curve. Richmond wound up with an opening, after Jeff
Lacker resigned, in early April 2017, when it became known he'd (unintentionally) leaked
sensitive FOMC discussions to Medley Advisors. Richmond operated with an Interim Pres,
Mark L Mullinix, while searching for its new leader, Thomas Barkin, who arrived Jan 1st
2018.. Dissenters at the Dec. 2017 Meeting, Neel Kashkari & Charles Evans, are no
longer voters in 2018. |
* HICP used in Europe, means Harmonized Index of Consumer Price |
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