wall street in advance

July/August 2017  Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,    July 23     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         German June Import Price Index
         Singapore June CPI
         Japan Nikkei July (P) Manufacturing PMI + June Supermarket Sales
         Eurozone, France, Germany, Italy July (P) Manufacturing, Services & Composite PMI
          Canada May Wholesale Sales
          China Conference Board June Leading Economic Index
          Nigeria, Libya, Iran invited to Joint Ministerial Committee on Monitoring Meeting (St Petersburg Russia)
Monday,   July 24 Markit July US Flash (P) Manufacturing, Services & Composite PMI
US June Existing Home Sales
US Treasury Auctions $39B 3-, & $33B 6-month Bills
White House Aid & Son-in-Law Jared Kushner closed door Senate testimony (on Russia dealings pre-Inauguration)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         BoJ Minutes of June 15--16 Meeting

         German IFO Current Assessment & Expectations
         French July Business Survey& June PPI
         South Africa Q2 Unemployment Rate
         EU economic & financial affairs council meet on budget
         Italy May Industrial new Orders & Sales
         UK CBI July Selling Trends, Total Orders & Optimism
Tuesday,  July 25 FOMC 2-day MPC Meeting Starts
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
FHFA May House Price Index
S&P Case Shiller 20-city May House Price Index

Conference Board's July Consumer Confidence
Richmond Fed July Manufacturing Index/Shipments
US Treasury Auctions $26B 2-year Notes
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:

         New Zealand June Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         Japan June Corporate Service Price Index
         Aussie Q2 CPI
         Singapore June Industrial Production
         Spain June Retail Sales & July CPI
         Italian July Consumer & Business Confidence
         BoJ Dpty Gov. Nakaso speaks to business leaders (Hiroshima)
         RBA (Aussie) Lowe speaks (Sydney)
         July Swiss UBS June Consumer Indicator + July ZEW Expectations Survey
         UK Q2 (Adv) GDP, BBA June BBA Mortgage Approvals, Loans for House Purchases, May Index of Services
        BoJ Core CPI
Wed.,       July 26 T-3 EOM
FOMC post-Meeting Statement
(2pm et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications (w/e 7/21)
US June New Home Sales
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Status (w/e 07/21)
US Treasury Auctions $15B 2-year FRN (11:30am et)
Brazil Interest Rate Decision (current 10.25%)
US Treasury Auctions $34B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         South Korea Q2 GDP
         German June Retail Sales
         China June Swift Global Payments
         Hong Kong June PPI
         Aussie Q2 Import Price Index + Export Price Index
         China June Industrial Profits
         Canada CFIB July Business Barometer
         German GfK Aug Consumer Confidence Survey
         South Africa June PPI
         UK July CBI Distributive Trades Survey, Retailing Reported Sales
Thursday, July 27 US June Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
US June (P)  International Trade Deficit
US June Wholesale & Retail Inventories

US weekly Jobless Claims
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
1st Son Donald Trump Jr testimony in Senate on pre-inauguration Russia ties
EIA weeky Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Auctions $28B 7-year Notes
K.C. Fed Manufacturing Index
US weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri a.m. et:
         Japan June Jobless Rate, Household Spending
, Nat'l + Tokyo CPI, Retail Trade
         So Korea Aug. Manufacturing BSI Index, Jun Industrial Production & Service Sector Output
         BoJ Summary of Opinions @July 19--20 Policy Meeting
         UK GfK July Consumer Confidence + July Nationwide House Prices
         Aussie Q2 PPI
         Singapore Q2 URA Property Index + Q2 Unemployment Rate
         French Q2 (Adv) GDP, CPI, HICP, Jun Consumer Spending
         Spanish & German Jul (P) CPI, HICP, and Q2 GDP
         Russia July Interest Rate Decision (current 9.0%)
         Eurozone July Economic, Business, Services, & Industrial Confidence
Friday,      July 28 US Advance Q2 GDP (1st look) & Benchmark Revisions to 2014--16 GDP
Canada May GDP
US Q2  ECI-Employment Cost Index
Brazil Jun Budget Balance (Surplus, or Debt, to GDP ratio)
U.M. Final July Consumer Sentiment
Baker-Hughes weeky US/North America Rig Count (1pm et)
Fed's Kashkari speaks w/Q&A  @Chamber of Commerce (Oakdale MN   1:30pm)
Federal Reserve Assets & Liabilities of Commercial Banks in the US
Saturday, July 29
Sunday,    July 30     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         New Zealand June Building Permits, ANZ July Activity Outlook, 
         Aussie HIA New Home Sales, July TD Securities Inflation, June Private Sector Credit & June Housing Credit
         Singapore June Bank Lending
         UK Lloyds July Business Barometer
         Japan June Industrial Production, June Loans & Discounts
         China July Manufacturing & non-Manufacturing PMI
        Japan June Vehicle Production, Housing Starts, Construction Orders
         German June Retail Sales
         South Africa June M3 Money Supply & Private Sector Credit +Trade Balance
         Italy June Unemployment Rate
         SNB (Swiss) 1H Earnings, Q2 Currency Allocation, Total Sight Deposits
         Spain May Current Account
         UK June Net Lending for Dwellings, Net Consumer Credit, M4 Money Supply
         Italy Jul CPI & HICP
         Eurozone Jun Unemployment Rate & July CPI
         India June Federal Fiscal Deficit & Infrastructure Output
         Bk of Spain Gov Linde speaks about European Economy & Monetary Policy (Asturias Spain 07/31 local time)
         Canada June Industrial Product (IPPI) & Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI)
         French BTF Auctions
Monday,   July 31 Chicago July PMI
US June Pending Home Sales Index
Dallas Fed July Manufacturing Survey
US Treasury Auctions $39B 3-, & $33B 6-month Bills
USDA Farm Prices
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:

         South Korea July Trade Balance
         Aussie AIG July Performance of Manufacuring Index
         Japan Jul Official Reserve Assets
         China Caixin July Manufacturing PMI
         Japan July Vehicle Sales + Manufacturing PMI & BoJ Core CPI
         India Nikkei July Manufactruring PMI
         Aussie RBA July Commodity Index
         RBA (Aussie) MPC Meeting Statement, Rate Decision (08/01 local time)
         Swiss SVME-July Purchasing Managers Index
         Markit Eurozone, France, Germany, Italy July Manufacturing PMI
         German July Unemployment Rate/Change
         UK Markit July Manufacturing PMI & Nationwide Home Price Index
         Eurozone Q2 GDP
Tuesday,  Aug 01 US July Motor Vehicle Sales
US June Personal Income/Outlays + PCE

Brazil June Markit Industrial & Jul Markit Manufacturing Production PMI
South Korea July Total Vehicle Sales
Canada RBC July Manufacturing PMI
US July Manufacturing PMI
US July ISM Manufacturing Index/Prices Paid/New Orders/Employment
US June Construction Spending
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Q2 Unemployment Rate/Change/Overtime/Hourly Earnings
         UK BRC July Shop Price Index
         Japan end-July Monetary Base
         Aussie June Building & Private House Approvals
         Japan JGB 10-year Auction + July Household Confidence
         BoJ's Funo speaks (Sapporo)
         Swiss SECO July Consumer Confidence & June Retail Sales
         Spain Unemployment Rate
         UK Markit/CIPS July Construction PMI
        India MPC Interest Rate & Reverse REPO Rate Deicision (current 6.25%)
         Eurozone Jun PPI
Wed.        Aug 02 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
ADP Private Sector July Unemployment Report
US Treasury Refunding Announcement
to include 10-yr Notes & 30-yr Bonds
Singapore July Manufacturing PMI
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillate Stats
Fed's Mester speaks @Community Bankers Ass'n of Ohio (Cincinnati 11am et )
Fed's Williams on "Monetary Policy's Role in Fostering Sustainable Growth" @Economic Club of Las Vegas (3:30p m et)
Brazil FX Flows
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Korea June Current Account & July FX Reserves
         Aussie AiG July Performance of Servicces
         Japan Nikkei July Services & Composite PMI
         Hong Kong July Manufacturing PMI
         New Zealand ANZ July Commodity PriceIndex
         Aussie June Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         China Caixin July Services & Composite PMI
         India July Nikkei Services PMI
         Eurozone, France, Italy, Germany & Spain Services & Composite PMI
         South Africa Standard Bank July PMI
         ECB publishes Economic Bulletin
         UK Markit/CIPS July Services & Composite PMI
         Eurozone June Retail Sales
         BoE MPC Rate Decision, Minutes, QE Target, +  Inflation Report (Thurs local time)
Thursday, Aug 03 BoE's Carney Press Conference post-Meeting
US Monthly & Qtrly Chain Store Sales (Only a few who don't report monthly will report their Qtr, especially if it exceeds expectations)
Brazil July Markit Composite & Services PMI 
Challenger US July Job-Cut Report
US Markit July Services & Composite PMI
US June Factory Orders
Russia Central Bank Reserves
US June (F) Durable Goods Orders/Shipments/Employment
ISM July Non-Manufacturing Index
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
Fed weekly Balance Sheet & weekly Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
          Japan June Real Cash Earnings/Labor Cash Earnings/Overtime
          Aussie Q2 Retail Sales
          German Jun Factory Orders, July Construction PMI
          Eurozone Retail PMI
          India Bank Deposit & Loan Growth
          UK July New Car Registrations
          Markit July Eurozone, France, Germany, Italy Retail PMI
Friday,     Aug 04 US July Unemployment Report/Change/Participation/Avg Hrs Worked + Hrly Earnings
Canada July Full Time Employment/Change/Participation, Jun. Int'l Trade Balance
US June International Trade Deficit
Dallas Fed June PCE
Canada Ivey July PMI
Baker-Hughes weekly Rig Count (1pm et)
Saturday, Aug 05

         WEEKS AHEAD:  08
/10    RBNZ (New Zealand) MPC statement & Official Cash Rate
                                        08/16    Minutes of the July 25--26 FOMC Meeting
                                 08/24--26    K.C. Fed Jackson Hole Economic Symposium 

*FOMC 2017 Voting Members:  Four governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell. Dan Tarullo was the 5th.vote at every meeting but he retired from the Board. (Board Governors now endure 3 vacancies, w/Trump nominating one after July 4th). NY Fed Pres.Wm Dudley also a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2017, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.:New voters, for 2017: Philly Fed Pres. Patrick Harker, Minneapolis Fed Pres Neel "Too Big to Fail" Kashkari, Dallas Fed's Robert Kaplan, and Chicago Fed Pres Charles Evans.  Evans was last a voter in 2015. The other 3 are voters for the first time. Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City) have lost their votes in 2017. In an Oct. speech, Harker said he would have preferred if rates had been raised at the prior FOMC meeting. Kaplan was a 23-yr veteran of Goldman Sachs before winding up at Harvard Business School. Mester & George are hawks that dissented at several 2016 meetings until the 2016 rate hike announced 12/14 but aren't voters in 2017.  Richmond Fed's Jeff Lacker resigned in early April 2017, when it became known he'd leaked sensitive FOMC discussions to Medley Advisors. Richmond is operating with an Interim Pres, Mark L Mullinix, while the search for a new leader continues. Raphael Bostic replaced Dennis Lockhart at the Atlanta Fed, when Lockhart left.

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