wall street in advance

August/September 2017  Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,    Aug. 27     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         German July Retail Sales
         China July Industrial Profits
         BoJ discloses 1--3 & 3--5 yr Bond Purchases
         Swiss Unemployment Rate/Change
         Eurozone July M3 & Private Sector Loans
Monday,   Aug. 28 US (P) July Trade Deficit
US July (P) Wholesale & Retail Inventories

French 3-, 6-, 12-month BTF Auctions
Dallas Fed Aug Manufacturing Activity
US Treasury Auctions $33B 6-month Bills + $26B 2-year Notes (11:03am et)
US Treasury Auctions $39B 3-month Bills + $34B 5-year Notes (1pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         Japan July Jobless Rate &   Household Spending, BoJ Core CPI
         South Korea Sept BSI Index
         German GfK Sept Consumer Survey
         French Q2 (P) GDP & July Consumer Spending
         Spain Aug CPI & HICP
         Hong Kong July Retail Sales
         UK Nationwide Aug. Home Price Index
Tuesday,  Aug. 29 Canada July Industrial Products (IPPI) & Raw Materials Price (RMPI) Indexes
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
S&P CoreLogic/Shiller June 20-city Home Price Index
Conference Board's Aug. Consumer Confidence
Chico Fed's Evans opens the Large-Bank Directors Conference
US Treasury Auctions $28B 7-year Notes (1pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         New Zealand July Building Permits
         UK Aug. BRC Shop Price Index
        Japan July Retail Trade
         BoJ discloses Outright 5--10 years + 10--25 years & 25+  Bond Purchases
         Aussie July Building & Private House Approvals + Q2 Construction Work Done
         South Africa July Private Sector Credit & M3 Money Supply
         Spain Aug HICP
         Swiss ZEW Aug Expectations, UBS July Consumer Indicator, & Aug Credit Suisse Survey Expectations
         UK July Net Consumer Credit, Lending for Dwellings, Mortgage Approvals, M4 Money Supply
         Italy July PPI
         Eurozone Aug Economic Confidence, Business Climate Indicator, Services & Consumer Confidence, Industrial Sentiment  
Wed.        Aug. 30 German Aug (P) CPI & HICP
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
ADP Aug. Private Sector Employment Report
US Q2 (P) GDP, PCE
Canada Q2 Current Account
Brazil July Budget Balance, Debt/GDP Ratio
US Q2 Corporate Profits
Fed Gov J. Powell speaks on "The Role of Boards at Large Financial Firms" at breakfast during Chicago Fed's "Large-Bank Directors" Summit w/Q&A (9:15am)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Distillates/Gasoline Stats (w/e 08/24)
Brazil FX Flows
USDA Farm Prices (3pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         South Korea July Industrial Production, Service Sector Output
         Japan July (P) Industrial Production, Loans & discounts
         UK GfK Aug Consumer Confidence Survey & Lloyds Business Barometer
         New Zealand ANZ Aug Activity, Outlook & Business Confidence
         Aussie HIA July New Home Sales, Q2 Building Capital Expenditures
         China Aug Manufaturing & Non-Manufacturing PMIs, Swift Global Payments
         Aussie July Private Sector Credit, Q2 Private Capital Expenditures
         Singapore July Bank Lending
         BoJ's Masai speaks & holds press conference (Matsuyama)
         RBA's (Aussie MPC) Harris participates in a panel at a conference
         Japan July Housing Starts, Vehicle & Industrial Production, Construction Orders
         South Korea Aug MPC Interest Rate Decision
         German Aug. Unemployment Rate/Change & July Retail Sales
         Spain July Retail Sales + June Current Account
         Eurozone July Unemployment Rate, Aug CPI  

         Italy July Unemployment Rate/Change, Aug CPI & HICP
         South Africa July PPI & Trade Balance
         India Q1 GDP, July Federal Fiscal Deficit, Insfrastructure Output
         India FinMin Jaitley speaks @The Economist's (magazine) India Summit
         Canada CFIB Aug Business Barometer
Thursday, Aug. 31 US Aug. Chain Store Sales (9 or fewer will announce)
Challenger Aug. US Job-Cut Report
US weekly Jobless Applications/Continuing Claims
US July Personal Income/Expenditures/Savings/PCE (8:30am et)
Canada June + Q2 GDP
Chicago Aug. PMI
NAR July Pending Home Sales
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
Fed weekly Balance Sheet (importance will rise once unwind starts) +Money Supply
     OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
          New Zealand QV Aug House Prices, Q2 Terms of Trade Index
         Aussie Aug Commonwealth Bank Manufacturing PMI, AiG Performance of Manufacturing Index, CoreLogic Aug House Price Index
         South Korea Aug CPI, Q2 GDP, Trade Balance
         Japan Q2 Capital Spending, Company Sales & Profits, Nikkei Aug Mnftg PMI
         Japan Aug Official Reserve Assets, Vehicle Sales, Consumer Confidence
         China Caixan Aug Manufacturing PMI
         Aussie Aug Commodity Index, RBA Commodity Index SDR
         Swiss SVME Aug PMI
         Eurozone, France, Germany, Italy Aug Markit Manufacturing PMI
         Italy Q2 (F) GDP
         UK Markit Aug Manufacturing PMI 
         Brazil Q2 GDP
         South Africa Aug Total Vehicle Sales
Friday,     Sept. 01 US Aug. Motor Vehicle Sales
US Aug. Unemployment Rate/Change/Particpation/Hrly Earnings/Avg Work Wk
Canada RBC Aug Manufacturing PMI
ECB VP Constancio speaks @43rd "Intelligence on the World, Europe+Italy Forum"
US Aug. Manufacturing PMI Index
US Aug. ISM Manufacturing Index, New Orders, Prices Paid, Employment
US July Construction Spending
U.M. Aug (F) Consumer Sentiment
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North America Rig Count (1pm et)
ALL US Markets Trade Regular Hours
Saturday, Sept. 02 US & Canadian Labor Day Weekend Holiday
Sunday,    Sept. 03     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et
         RBA Gov Lowe
speaks at Board Dinner, Aussie Q2 Inventories & Corp Profits, Current Account Balance, Net Exports, TD Securities Aug Inflation +ANZ Aug. Job Ads
         Eurozone July PPI, Sentix Sept Investor Confidence
         Aussie Commonwealth Bank Aug PMI Services & Composite Indexes, Commodity Prices
         Japan Nikkei PMI Services & Composite Indexes
         Swiss Q2 GDP & Aug CPI
         Markit Eurozone, Italy, France, Germany, Services & Composite PMI
         UK Markit Aug New Car Registrations, Services & Composite PMI
         Eurozone July Retail Sales, Q2 Gross Fixed Capital Investment, Gov't Expenditures, Household Consumption, Q2 (F) GDP
Monday,  Sept. 04 US + Canadian Markets Closed for Labor Day Holiday
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:

          Spain Unemployment Rate/Change
          UK Markit/CIPS Aug Construction PMI
          Eurozone Sept Sentix Investor Confidence
          French 3-, 6-, & 12-month BTF Auctions
          Singapore Aug Manufacturing PMI
          South Korea July Current Account, Aug Fx Reserves
          UK BRC Aug Like for Like Sales, Retail Sales Monitor
          Hong Kong Aug Manufacturing PMI
          China Caixin Aug PMI Services & Composite Indexes
          India Nikkei Aug Services PMI
          Swiss Q2 GDP , Aug CPI
          South Africa Standard Bank Aug PMI
         Eurozone Q2 GDP + July Retail Sales
          Brazil Jul Industrial Production, Markit Services & Composite Aug PMI's
          ECB supervisor Nouy, German FinMin Schauble, & Luxembourg FinMin Gramegna @Handelsblatt newspaper German Banking Conference (Frankfurt)
Tuesday,  Sept. 05 Fed Gov Brainard speaks @Economic Club of NY  (7:30am et)
US Markit Aug Composite PMI
US July Factory Orders
US (F) July Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
US Treasury Auctions $39B 3- & $33B 6-month Bills +$20B 4-week Bills+$25B Reopened 8-day Bills
TD Ameritrade IMX (12:30pm et)
MN Fed's Kashkari
moderated Q&A @Carlson School of Mngmnt (1:10pm et)
Fed's Kaplan @ Dallas Businbess Club (7pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          Japan July Labor Cash Earnings/Overtime Pay
          Aussie Q2 GDP,
Capital Expenditures, Chain Price Index, Final Consumption
          RBA's Heath speaks (Tasmania)
          RBA (Aussie) MPC Rate Decision (Stockholm, 09/06 local time)
          German July Factory Orders, Construction
          Italy July Retail Sales
          Markit Eurozone, France, Italy, German Retail PMI's
          Brazil Aug CPI
Wed.,       Sept. 06 Fed's Beige Book (2pm et)
US weeky Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US July Int'l Trade Deficit

Redbook weekly store sales
Canada Q2 Labor Productivity, July Int'l Merchandise Trade Balance
US Aug. Services PMI Index/Orders
US Aug. ISM non-Manufacturing Index/Prices Paid (10am et)
Bk of Canada MPC Rate Decision
(Ottawa)
Brazil Central Bank MPC Rate Decision (current 9.25%) + Fx Flows
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
        Aussie Aug AiG Performance of Construction Index, Jul Retail Sales & Trade Balance & Aug Fx Reserves
        China Aug Fx Reserves
        Sweden's Riksbank MPC Rate Decision (09/07 local time)
        Germany July Industrial Production
        Swiss Aug Fx Reserves
        South Africa Aug Fx Reserves
        French July Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
        Hong Kong Aug Fx Reserves
        Singapore Aug Fx Reserves
        South Africa July Mining & Gold Production
        Eurozone Q2 GDP
        UK Halifax Aug House Prices
        ECB MPC Interest Rate Decision, Sept Asset Purchase Target (09/07 local time)
Thursday, Sept 07 Mario Draghi Press Conference post-ECB MPC Meeting
NY Fed's Dudley speaks @Money Marketeers of NYU (5:30 pm et)
Weekly US Jobless Claims
Canada Ivey Aug PMI & July Building Permits
Russia Central Bank Fx Reserves
US Q2 Productivity & Costs
Qtrly Services Survey
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:03am et)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report
(11am et)
US Treasury Refunding Announcement
Fed's Mester
on Eco outlook & monetary Policy @Economic Club of Pittsburgh, World Affairs Council of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh Ass'n for FPA's (12:15pm, et)
Brazil Independence Day Holiday
Fed's weekly Balance Sheet & US Money Supply (4:30pm et)
A Meeting with Raphael Bostic, the new Atlanta Fed new Pres. (Atlanta 7pm et)
Fed's George on US Eco Outlook @Omaha Economic Forum (Omaha NE 8:15pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Q2 Manufacturing Volume/Activity
         Japan
  Q2 (F) GDP, July Current Account, Trade Balance, Private Consumption, Business Spending, Aug. Bank & Trust Lending
         China Aug Trade Balance (Imports/Exports), Foreign Direct Investment
         Aussie Jul Home Loans, Investment Lending, Value of All Loans
         RBA's Debelle panelist (Sydney)
         German Jul Trade Balance & Current Account
         Swiss Aug Unemployment Rate
         French Jul Gov't Budget Balance, Industrial Production
         Spanish Jul Industrial Production
         Eurozone Q2 Labor Costs
        
UK July Industrial & Manufacturing Production, Construction Output, Trade Balance, BoE/TNS 12-month Ahead Inflation
         RBA's Lowe
speaks (Sydney)
         UK/NIESR Aug GDP 
Friday,      Sept 08 Fed's Harker on Consumer Finance Issues @New Perspectives on Consumer Behavior in Credit & Payments Market Conference (Philly PA 8:45 am et)
US July Wholesale Trade
Canada Aug Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation Rate, Q2 Capacity Utilization
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
US July Consumer Credit  (Debt, really; 3pm et) 
Saturday, Sept 09 China Aug CPI & PPI

         WEEKS AHEAD:  09/14     
Swiss National Bank MPC Meets
                                                      BoE MPC Rate Decision + Minutes
                                                      ECB's Lane addresses London's Society of Business Economists (London)
                                        09/18      BoE Gov Carney lectures @ IMF followed by discussion with Mng Dir Lagarde (Washington DC)
                                 09/19--20     FOMC Meets
(2-days)
                                        09/20     FOMC Statement, Updated SEP (Financial Projections)
                                                      Janet Yellen Press Conference
                                 09/20--21     BoJ MPC Meets
(thru 21st) 
                                        09/21      ECB Pres Draghi speaks at conference on financial stability
                                        09/27      Fed's Rosengren @Money Marketeers of NYU (5:30pm et)

*FOMC 2017 Voting Members:  Four governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell. Dan Tarullo was the 5th.vote at every meeting but he retired from the Board. (Board Governors now endure 3 vacancies, w/Trump nominating one after July 4th). NY Fed Pres.Wm Dudley also a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2017, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.:New voters, for 2017: Philly Fed Pres. Patrick Harker, Minneapolis Fed Pres Neel "Too Big to Fail" Kashkari, Dallas Fed's Robert Kaplan, and Chicago Fed Pres Charles Evans.  Evans was last a voter in 2015. The other 3 are voters for the first time. Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City) have lost their votes in 2017. In an Oct. speech, Harker said he would have preferred if rates had been raised at the prior FOMC meeting. Kaplan was a 23-yr veteran of Goldman Sachs before winding up at Harvard Business School. Mester & George are hawks that dissented at several 2016 meetings until the 2016 rate hike announced 12/14 but aren't voters in 2017.  Richmond Fed's Jeff Lacker resigned in early April 2017, when it became known he'd leaked sensitive FOMC discussions to Medley Advisors. Richmond is operating with an Interim Pres, Mark L Mullinix, while the search for a new leader continues. Raphael Bostic replaced Dennis Lockhart at the Atlanta Fed, when Lockhart left.
                     

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