wall street in advance

October 2017  Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,    Oct. 15 Fed's Yellen, PBoC's Zhou, BoJ's Kuroda, ECB's Constancio, RBI's Patel, Bundesbank's Weidmann, Agustin Carstens (Gov. Banco de Mexico) & Jin Liqun, Pres of Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank all speakers at32nd G30 Int'l Banking Seminar at Inter-American Development Bank (D.C.)
White House NEC's Gary Cohn, RBA, Bundesbank's Weidmann & Cartsens on "Financial Regulation & Economic Policies to Avoid the Next Crisis" (@G30)
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Sept Performance of Services
         UK Rightmove Oct House Prices
         China Sept CPI & PPI
         Japan Aug (F) Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
         India Sept Wholesale Fuel & Food   + Manufacturing Price Index
         German Sept Wholesale Price Index
         Eurozone Aug Trade balance
Monday,  Oct. 16 41st NY Fed Central Banking Seminar: "Policymaking in a World in Transition" features Bk of India's Patel, NY Fed's Dudley & Simon Potter, ECB's Nowotny, Bk of Mexico's Carstens, Bk of Indonesia, Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority, People's Bk of China, BoJ's Nakaso, SocGen's Gallagher, Evercore's Guha, Alan Blinder, Martin Wolf (FT), GE Global, Paul Tudor Jones II, Bk of Ireland, Bk of Canada, Fed Gov Powell, Tim Geithner (now Warburg Pincus), and dozens of other lower wrung central bank economists (NY Fed thru 20th)
NY Fed Empire State Oct Manufacturing Survey
Canada Aug Int'l Securities Transactions +Sept Existing Home Sales, Q3 Sr, Loan Officer Survey & Outlook
Egyptian FinMin & other Dignitaries @"Egpyt: The Revival of an Economy ... Stability, Reform & Growth" (NY)
US-Japan Economic Dialogue w/Japan FinMin Aso & VP Pence (D.C.)
FedScoop Cyberweek (D.C. thru 20th)
SIBOS Financial Forum (by SWIFT) (Toronto Canada thru 20th)
US Treasury Auctions $42B 3-, & $36B 6-month Bills
US Social Security COLA Adjustment Released (Approx date) 
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         Fed's Kashkari
participates in Q&A @G100 Dinner (Minneapolis MN 9pm et)
         New Zealand Q3 CPI
         Japan Sept Dept Store Sales, & Oct Reuters Tankan Survey
         RBA (Aussie) Oct Rate Meeting Minutes, Sept New Motor Vehicle Sales
         Singapore Sept Non-Oil Exports
         EU 25 Sept New Car Registrations
         Italian Aug Trade Balance
         ECB's Constancio speaks at Lisbon Conference
         BoE's Carney, Ramsden & Tenreyro testify at Parliament
         UK Sept CPI, Retail Price Index, PPI, Aug House Price Index
         Eurozone Sept CPI
         German Oct ZEW Survey
Tuesday,  Oct. 17 US Sept Import/Export Prices
US Sept Industrial & Manufacturing Production/Capacity Utilization
NAHB Oct Housing Market Index

US Aug. TICs
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         South Korea Sept Unemployment Rate
         South Africa Sept CPI & Aug Retail Sales
         China's 19th Communist Party Plenum (10/18 local time, thru 24th)
         Aussie CBA HIA Q3 House Affordability
         RBA's Bullock speaks (Sydney Australia)
         ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
         BoJ's Sakurai speaks
         UK Aug  ILA Unemployment Rate, Wkly Earnings, Avg Earnings, Sept Claimant Count/Change
        Eurozone Aug Construction Output
Wed.,       Oct. 18 Fed's Dudley & Kaplan on NY & TX Economic Centers of Growth (NY 8am)
Fed's Beige Book (2pm et)
US Sept Housing Starts/Building Permits (8:30am et)
Canada Aug Manufacturing Shipments
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation  Expectations (10am et)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Status (10:30am w/e 10/13)
Brazil FX Flows
(Ret) Fed Gov Fischer's speech removed from @Money Marketeers schedule
Singapore Holiday
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. am. et:
         Japan Sept Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         China Sept FX Flows
         South Korean Interest Rate Decision (10/19 Local Time; current 1.25%)
         Aussie Sept Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation
         RBA Sept FX Transactions
         China Q3 GDP , Sept Retail Sales, Fixed Asset Investment, Industrial Production, Aug All Industry Activity Index
        Hong Kong Sept Unemployment Rate
        Swiss Sept Trade Balance-Imports/Exports
        UK Sept Retail Sales
Thursday, Oct 19 US weekly Jobless Claims (Hurricane impact easing?)
Philly Fed Oct Business Outlook Survey
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Refunding Announcement
US Treasury Auctions $5B reopened 30-year TIPS
Weekly Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         South Korea Sept PPI
         New Zealand Sept Net Mirgration, Credit Card Spending
         German Sept PPI
         BoJ's Kuroda speaks (Tokyo)
         Eurozone Aug Current Account
         UK Sept Pulic Finances, Central Gov't Finances/NCR
         Canada Sept CPI & Retail Sales
Friday,     Oct. 20 Fed Chief Yellen delivers NEC Herbert Stein Memorial Lecture (D.C. 7:15pm et)
Canada Sept CPI & Aug Retail Sales
NAR US Sept. Existing Home Sales
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
Fed's Mester panelist on "The Furture of Global Finance: Populism, Technology & Regulation," w/Q&A; Former Treas Sec'y Jacob Lew the keynote (Columbia Univ School of Int'l & Public Affairs NY 2pm et)
Saturday, Oct. 21` BoJ's Kuroda speaks at annual meeting of trust associations (Tokyo)
Sunday,    Oct 22 Japan Snap Election called for by P.M. Abe (expected to win in a landslide)
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a,m. et:
         China Sept Property/House Prices

         Japan Sept Dept Store Sales
         Eurozone Gov't Deb to GDP Ratio
         UK CBI Oct Biz Optimism, Total Order Trends/Selling Prices
Monday,  Oct 23 Chicago Fed Oct National Activity
Canada Aug Wholesale Sales
US Treasury Auctions $42B 3-, & $36B 6-month Bills
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:

        German Sept Import Price Index
        Japan Nikkei Oct (P) Manufacturing PMI, & Sept Supermarket Sales
        Eurozone, French, German, Italian Markit Oct Services & Composite PMI
        Euro Area Q2 Government Debt
Tuesday,  Oct 24 Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
US Oct (P) Services & Composite Flash PMI
Richmond Fed Oct Manfacturing Index
US Treasury Auctions 4-week Bills &$26B  2-year Notes (2-yr at 1pm)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
        European Commission Economic Forecasts Released
        Aussie Sept Skilled Vacancies, Q3 CPI
        Swedish MPC Meeting (2-days)
        Swiss UBS Sept Consumption Indicator
        German IFO Oct Business Climate/Expectations/AAssessment
        Swiss Credit Suisse Oct Survey Expectations
        UK Q3 (Adv) GDP, BBA Sept Loans for House Purchases, Aug Index of Services
Wed.        Oct 25 MBA Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US Sept Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
FHFA Aug House Price Index
US Sept New Home Sales

BoC (Canada) MPC Rate Decision + Oct. Monetary Policy Report 
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report
BoC's Poloz & Wilkins post-MPC Mtg Press Conference (Ottawa)
US Treasury Auctions $15B 2-year FRN Note (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $34B 5-year Notes
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:

            New Zealand Sept Trade balance (Imports/Exports)
            Norges (Norway) MPC Rate Decision
            CFIB (Canada) Oct Business Barometer
            Swiss SWIFT Sept Global Payments
            German GfK Nov Consumer Confidence Survey
            RBA's (Aussie) Debelle speech (Sydney)
            UK CBI Oct Retail Reported Sales, Total Distributive Reported Sales
            Norges Bank Gov Olsen speaks at Centre for Monetary Economics (Oslo)
            Swedish MPC Rate Decision--Publishes Monetary Policy Report
            ECB MPC Lending & Deposit Facility Rate Decision, QE Target + Monthly Money Supply & Lending
            
Thursday, Oct 26 ECB's Mario Draghi post-Rate Meeting Press Conference
US weekly Jobless Claims
US Sept. Int'l Trade Deficit
US Sept Wholesale Inventories
NAR Sept Pending Home Sales Index
US Retail Sept Inventories  

EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
Fed's Kashkari welcomes guests at Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute Fall Conference hosted by Minneapolis Fed Bank  (Minneapolis MN 10:30am)
Kansas City Fed Oct Manufacturing Index
US Treasury Refunding Announcement
US Treasury Auctions $28B 7-year Notes
US weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
   OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Japan Oct CPI

         German Sept Retail Sales
         Aussie Q3 PPI
         China Sept Industrial Products
         ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters

         Norges Bank Dpty Gov Matsen speaks (Oslo)
Friday,     Oct 27 US Q3 (Adv) GDP/Savings/Spending/PCE  
U.M. Final Oct Consumer Sentiment
Baker-Hughes US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
T-2 for End of Month/Mutual Fund Year End
Saturday, Oct 28 UK Oct Nationwide House Prices

         WEEKS AHEAD:  10/31     BoJ (Japan) MPC Meets

                              10/31--11/01     FOMC Meets (one month into balance sheet unwind)

*FOMC 2017 Voting Members:  Four governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Randall Quarles, (Stanley Fischer Resigned 10/13), Lael Brainard, Jay Powell. (Dan Tarullo was the 5th.vote at evnominating one after July 4tery meeting but he resigned, too)  Board Governors still endure 3 vacancies, w/Trump concentrating his efforts on selecting the next Fed Chairperson. NY Fed Pres.Wm Dudley also a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2017, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.:New voters, for 2017: Philly Fed Pres. Patrick Harker, Minneapolis Fed Pres Neel "Too Big to Fail" Kashkari, Dallas Fed's Robert Kaplan, and Chicago Fed Pres Charles Evans.  Evans was last a voter in 2015. The other 3 are voters for the first time. Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City) have lost their votes in 2017. In an Oct. speech, Harker said he would have preferred if rates had been raised at the prior FOMC meeting. Kaplan was a 23-yr veteran of Goldman Sachs before winding up at Harvard Business School. Mester & George are hawks that dissented at several 2016 meetings until the 2016 rate hike announced 12/14 but aren't voters in 2017.  Richmond Fed's Jeff Lacker resigned in early April 2017, when it became known he'd leaked sensitive FOMC discussions to Medley Advisors. Richmond is operating with an Interim Pres, Mark L Mullinix, while the search for a new leader continues. Raphael Bostic replaced Dennis Lockhart at the Atlanta Fed, when Lockhart left.
                     

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