wall street in advance

February/March 2017  Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,     Mar. 05 China National Peoples' Congress (thru 12th)
China Premier Xi Press Conference
Japan Emperor Akhito visits Vietnam seeking ally against China's island building
    OVERNIGHT Into US Mon. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Jan Building Permits
          Aussie Feb. TD Securities Inflation, Jan Auto & Retail Sales
          Markit Feb German Construction & Retail PMI
          UK Feb New Car Registrations
          Eurozone Mar. Sentix Investor Confidence   
          French 3-, 6-, & 12-month BTF Auction      
Monday,   Mar. 06 Fed's ("TBTF") Kashkari "A View from the Federal Reserve Bk of Minneapolis @NABE policy conference. Other notable speakers: Stiglitz, Hubbard, Furman, NAHB, CBO, Stockton (3pm et D.C.)
US Jan. Factory Orders
US (F) Jan Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
Brazil Feb Auto Production/Sales, Markit Servies + Composite PMI
US Treasury Auctions $30B 3-, & $24B 6-month Bills
TD Ameritrade IMX (12:30pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         RBNZ Gov Wheeler speaks (Auckland)
         Aussie AIG Feb Performance of Construction Index & Consumer Confidence
         Japan Feb Official Reserves
         China Feb FX Reserves
         RBA (Aussie) MPC Rate Decision + Statement (03/07 local time)
         Japan Feb CPI
         German Jan Factory Orders
         Swiss Feb FX Reserves
         UK Feb. Halifax House Prices +   Retail Sales Monitor
         South Africa Feb FX Reserves
         French Jan Goverment Budget
         Hong Kong & Singapore Feb FX Reserves
         Italy Jan PPI        
         German Jan Factory Orders
         South Africa 16Q4 GDP
         Norges Bank Dpty Gov Matsen speech at "Energy Transition 2017-- Strategies for a sustainable energy future" Conference (Trondheim Norwar)
         Riksbank (Sweden) Executive Board Meeting
         Eurozone 16Q4 (F) GDP, Gross Fixed Capital, Gov't Expenditures, Household Consumption
Tuesday,   Mar. 07 Feb NFIB Small Business Sentiment
US Jan. International Trade Deficit
Canada Jan Int'l Merchandise Trade Balance, Ivey Feb PMI
Brazil 16Q4 GDP  + Feb IGP-DI INflation Index
US Auctions $24B 3-year Notes (1pm et)
US Jan Consumer Credit (Debt, really 3pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          New Zealand 16Q4 Manufacturing Activity & Feb Heavy Truckometer
          Japan 16Q4 (F) GDP, Private Consumption & Business Spending, Jan Current Account/Trade Balance & Feb. Bank Lending
          China Feb. Foreign Direct Investment, Trade Balance (Imports/ Exports)
          Japan Feb Bankruptcies +30-year JGB Auction
          German Jan. Industrial Production
          French Jan Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          Spanish Jan Industrial Production
          Swiss Feb CPI
          South Africa Feb Business Confidence
          Brazil Jan Industrial Production
Wed.,        Mar. 08 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
ADP Feb. Employment Report
Canada Feb Housing Starts, Jan. Building Permits, Q4 Labor Productivity
US 16Q4 (F) Productivity & Costs
US Jan. Wholesale Trade
EIA weekly Petroleum/Distillates/Gasoline Stats
US Treasury Auctions $20B reopened 10-year Notes (1pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et;
         Japan Feb M3, Jan Labor Cash Earnings & Feb Machine Tool Orders
         New Zealand Feb REINZ House Sales
         UK RICS Feb House Price Balance
         Chinese Feb CPI  & PPI
         Swiss Feb Unemployment Rate
         French Q4 Non-Farm Payrolls
         OECD Economic Outlook
         ECB MPC Meets, Announces Rate Decision, QE Target  (03/09 local time)
Thursday,  Mar. 09 Challenger Feb. Job-Cut Report
ECB post-Meeting Press Conference
SEC Investor Advisory Cmte Meeting
US weekly Jobless Claims
US Feb. Import/Export Prices
Russia Central Bank Reserves
Canada Q4 Capacity Utilization, Jan New Housing Price Index
16Q4 US Census Qtrly Services Survey/Change in Household Net Worth
US Treasury Auctions $12B reopened 30-year Bonds
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (thru 03/03)
US weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Feb Card Spending
          Japan BSI Q1 Large Manufacturing, Feb Corporate Goods Price Index +PPI
          China Feb Aggregate Financing, New Yuan Loans
          Aussie Jan Home Loans, Investment Lending, Value of All Loans
          Singapore Jan Retail Sales
          German Jan Current Account, Trade Balance, Q4 Labor Costs
          French Jan Industrial Production
          Italy Quarterly Unemployment Rate (Current 11.6%)
          UK Jan Industrial & Manufacturing Production, Construction Output
          UK Jan. Visible Trade Balance, BoE/TNS Feb 12-mo Inflation Expectations
          India Jan Industrial Production, Manufacturing Output
          Brazil Feb CPI
Friday,      Mar. 10 US BLS Feb Unemployment Situation Report/Change/Participation/Earnings
Canada Feb Employment Report/Change/Participation
UK NIESR Feb GDP
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
US Treasury Budget  
(5 days to debt ceiling showdown)
Saturday,  Mar. 11
Sunday,     Mar. 12     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et;
         Japan Feb Corporate Goods Prices, Mar. PPI, Jan Machine Orders
         Aussie Jan Credit Card Purchases/Balances
Monday,   Mar. 13 Fed's Feb. LMCI (Labor Market Conditions Index)
US Treasury Auctions $36B 3-, & $30B 6-month Bills 
India Holiday
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         Japan Q2 Manpower Survey
         Aussie NAB Feb Business Conditions
         China Feb +  Jan/Feb Combined Retail Sales (smooths Lunar New Year effects), Feb Fixed Asset Investments, & Industrial Production
         German + Spainish  Feb CPI + HICP
         Italian Jan Industrial Production
         India Feb CPI for Food, Fuel, & Manufacturing Inflation,
         So. Korea Feb Import/Export Price Indices
         So. Africa Jan. Gold + Mining, & Industrial Production
         Eurozone Mar. ZEW Survey of Economic Sentiment, Jan Industrial Production
Tuesday,  Mar. 14 FOMC 2-day Meeting Starts
NFIB March Small Business Optimism Index
US Feb PPI--Final Demand

Canada Feb Teranet/Nat'l Bank Home Price Index
US Treasury Auctions & $35B 35-day bills
Germany's Merkel visits White House
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et;
        New Zealand Q4 Current Account Balance, Deficit/GDP Ratio
        Aussie Feb New Motor Vehicle Sales
        Japan Jan (F) Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
        So. Korea Feb Unemployment Rate
        Russia Jan. Trade Balance
        Singapore 16Q4 Unemployment Rate
        Election Results announced in Uttar Pradesh, India
        Swiss Feb PPI & Import Price Index
        French Feb CPI & HICP
        Italian Jan Retail Sales, Feb CPI & HICP  
        Netherlands Elections
        UK Feb Jobless Claims/Change, weekly Earnings, ILO Jan Unemployment Rate
        Eurozone Q4 Unemployment Rate/Change
Wed.         Mar. 15 FOMC Meeting Statement + FOMC Updated SEPs (Forecasts: 2pm et)
Fed Chair Yellen Press Conference (2:30pm et)

US Debt Ceiling Back in Play at Midnight
MBA Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US Feb CPI
US Feb Retail Sales
BoE Quarterly Bulletin
NAHB March Housing Market Index

Empire State NY Fed Manufacturing Survey
Canada Feb Existing Home Sales
US Feb Business Inventories
EIA weekly Petrolium/Gasoline/Distillates Stats
US Corporate & Partnership Tax Returns Due at IRS
US Jan. TICs
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et;
         New Zealand Q4 GDP
         Aussie Feb Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation + Mar. CPI
         Japan (F) Feb Machine Tool Orders
         BoJ MPC Rate Decision, 10-yr yield Target, QE Target (03/16 local time)
         BoJ Kuroda Press Conference
         Norges Bank (Norway) MPC Rate Decision
         EU 25 Feb New Car Registrations & CPI
         SNB (Swiss) MPC Rate Decision (03/16 local time) +SECO Eco Forecasts
         BoE MPC Rate Decision/Asset Purchase Target, Meeting Minutes   (03/16 local time)
Thursday, Mar. 16 BoE's Carney Press Conference (more hawkish, likely)
US Feb Housing Starts/Building Permits
US weekly Jobless Claims
Philadelphia Fed March Business Outlook Suevey
US JOLTS (Job Turnover/Quits  10am et)
Canada Jan Int'l Securities Transactions
Russian Central Bank Reserves
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Refunding Announcement
Weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et
         Japan Feb Dept Stores & Supermarket Sales
         Singapore Feb Non-Oil Exports
         Italian Jan Trade Balance
         Eurozone Jan Trade Balance, Construction Output
Friday,       Mar. 17 Quadruple Options/Futures Expiration
US Feb Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations
G20 FinMins & Central Bank Governors Meet (thru 18th Baden-Baden Germany)
Canada Jan Manufacturers Shipments/Sales
U.M. Prelimary March Consumer Confidence
Irish PM Kenny visits White House
India Bank Loan & Deposit Growth
Baker-Hughes weekly Rig Count (1pm et)
Saturday,  Mar. 18 Eurozone Jan Current Account + March Consumer Confidence
China Feb Property/House Prices
G20 FinMin & Central Banker Meeting Finishes

         WEEKS AHEAD: 03/20   Fed's Evans
speaks @NY Ass'n of Business Economics
                                        03/21    Fed's George
on US Eco & Fed Reserve @Women in Housing & Finance
                                                    Fed's Mester
speaks  @U of Richmond Robins School of Biz
                                        03/23    FOMC Chief Yellen & Fed's Kashkari
speak @Federal Reserve System Community Development Research Conf., "Strong Foundations: The Economic Futures of Kids & Communities"
                                        03/24    Fed's Evans speaks at FedReserve Community Development Research Conference
                                                     Fed's Bullard
on US Eco & Monetary Policy @Eco Club of Memphis 
                                        04
/05     FOMC 3/15 Meeting Minutes Published
                                        04/12     BoC MPC Rate Decision & Monetary Policy Report/Press Conference
                                        04/19    Fed's Beige Book

*FOMC 2017 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm).  NY Fed pres.also a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2017, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.:New voting members, for 2017, include Philly Fed Pres. Patrick Harker, Minneapolis Fed Pres Neel "Too Big to Fail" Kashkari, Dallas Fed's Robert Kaplan, and Chiago Fed Pres Charles Evans.  Evans was last a voter in 2015. The other 3 are voters for the first time. Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City) have lost their votes in 2017. In an Oct. speech, Harker said he would have preferred if rates had been raised at the prior FOMC meeting. Kaplan was a 23-yr veteran of Goldman Sachs before winding up at Harvard Business School. Mester & George are hawks that dissented at several 2016 meetings until the 2016 rate hike announced 12/14 but aren't voters in 2017.  
                     

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