wall street in advance

April 2017  Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,    April 09     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         New Zealand March House Sales
         Fed's Bullard speaks @Monash Univ. (Melbourne, Australia)
         Japan Feb Adj. Current Account + Trade Balance
         Swiss Q1 Real Estate Index of Family Homes
         China March New Yuan Loans & Aggregate Financing + Money Supply
         Japan Mar. Eco Watchefrs Survey of Current & Future Outlook
         BoJ's Kuroda Quarterly Meeting of Regional Branch Managers
         Aussie Feb Home Loans, Investment Lending, Value of All Loans
         Italian Feb Industrial Production
         Eurozone Sentix April Investor Confidence
Monday,   April 10 G7 Nations 2-day Foreign Ministers Meet (Lucca Italy thru 11th)
US Fed's March LMCI (Labor Market Conditions Index)
US Treasury Auctions $39B 3-, & $33B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
TD Ameritrade IMX (investor Sentiment)
US Treasury Auctions $24B 3-year Notes (1pm et)
FOMC Chief Yellen speaks at U of Michigan Gerald Ford School of Public Policy w/Q&A (4:15pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         New Zealand March Electronic Card Retail Sales
         UK BRC Mar. Like-for-Like Sales
         Aussie NAB March Business Conditions & Confidence
         Japan (P) March Machine Tool Orders
         UK Mar. CPI, RPI, PPI Input & Output, + Feb House Price Index
         Eurozone Feb Industrial Production
         Eurozone & German ZEW April Survey
Tuesday,  April 11 NFIB US Small Business Optimism
So. Africa Feb Manufacturing Production
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
Russia Feb Trade Balance
Canada Mar. Housing Starts
Feb JOLTS (US Labor Quits & Turnover)
US Treasury Auctions $20B reopened 10-year Notes (1pm et)
Fed's Kashkari moderated discussion of MN Biz Partnership w/Q&A (1:45pm)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         South Korea March Unemployment Rate
         Japan Feb Machine Orders, March Corporate Goods Price Index, Bank Lending
         Aussie HIA Q1 House Affordability, Westpac Apri. Consumer Confidence, Feb Credit Card Purchases/Balances
         China Mar. CPI, PPI
         Japan 30-year JGB Auction

         Singapore Feb Retail Sales
         German March WPI
         Spain March CPI & HICP
         UK March Claimant Count, Jobless Claims, Feb. Avg weekly Earnings, ILO Feb Unemployment Rate/Change
          Germany Auctions 10-year Bund
          UK Auctions 30-year Treasury GILT
          South Africa Feb Retail Sales
          India Feb Industrial Production + M3 Money Supply +March CPI
Wed.        April 12 MBA Mortgage/Refinance Applications
Brazil Feb Retail Sales
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillate Stats
Canada Teranet/Nat'l Bank March Home Price Index
BoC
MPC Rate Decision & Monetary Policy Report/Press Conference
BoC's Gov Poloz  +Dpty Gov Wilkins Presser on Monetary Policy Report
US Treasury Auctions $12B reopened 30-year Bonds
US March Import Price Index/Export Price Index
Brazil MPC Interest Rate Decision (current 12.25%)
US Treasury Budget (2pm et  tax filings probably bolstered cash position)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. am. et;
         New Zealand Mar. Performance of Manufacturing Index + Food Price Index
         UK RICS Mar. House Price Balance
         Japan Mar. M3 Money Stock
         Singapore 17Q1 GDP
         South Korea April Interest Rate Decision (current 1.25%)
         China March. Imports/Exports/Trade Balance
         Aussie April Consumer Expectations +March Employment Change/Rate, Mar Unemployment Rate
         Swiss Mar PPI
         South Africa Feb Mining & Gold Production
         RBA Financial Stability Review, & Mar. Unemployment Rate/Change/Rate of  Participation
         German , French, Italian, March Wholesale Price Index + CPI & HICP
         Swiss Marc. Producer & Import Prices
         BoE Credit Conditions & Bank Liabilities Surveys
         Asian Development Bank Institute speakers include ECB's Fell, Bank Negara Malaysia's bin Ibrahim, Bk of Thailan Gov Santiprabhob, Bangkok Sentral ng Gov Espenilla (Tokyo, 13th local time, thru 14th)
Thursday, Apr. 13 US weekly Jobless Claims
US
March PPI-Final Demand
US Feb. Business Inventories
Canada Feb New Hosuing Price Index & Manufacturer Shipments
US March Advance Retail Sales

U.M. Prelim. April Consumer Sentiment
Russia Central Bank Fx Reserves
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American RIG Count
US Treasury Refunding Announcement includes 30-yr Bond
US weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et;
         South Korea March Import & Export Price Indices
         Singapore Q1 GDP
         Japan Feb (F) Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
         India WPI Food, Fuel, Inflation, Manufacturing Inflation + Bank Loan Growth
Friday,     April 14 Markets Closed for Good Friday in the US & Most of the Western World
Banks Open at their own Discretion
US March CPI & Retail Sales
Saturday,   April 15
Sunday,      April 16 Easter Sunday
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         China 17Q1 GDP, Feb. Retail Sales, Fixed Assets Investment, Feb Industrial Production
          Singapore March Non-Oil Exports
          BoJ's Kuroda speaks to Trust Companies Association (Tokyo)
          UK Rightmove House Price Index
Monday,    April 17 FOMC V. Chair Fischer speaks on "Monetary Policy Communication" @Columbia School of Int'l & Public Affairs Inaugural Lecture on Central Banking w/Q&A (5pm)
NY Fed/Empire State April Manufacturing Survey
NAHB April Housing Market Index
Us Treasury Auctions $39B 3-, & $33B 6-month Bills  (Most of world on holiday)
US Feb. TICS
Holiday in France, Switzerland, Germany, Spain, Italy, Hong Kong, New Zealand, UK, Australia, South Africa (Easter Monday)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues.am. et:
          China March Property/House Price
s
          India March Fuel, Food, Manufacturing Inflation
          RBA Minutes of April Meeting
          New Zealand March Non-Resident Bond Holdings
          ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
Tuesday,   April 18 US March Housing Starts/Building Permits
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
Fed's George speaks @26th Annual Hyman P. Minsky Conference @Levy Economics Institute of Bard College "America First" and Financial Stability (9am et Annandale-on Hudson NY 9am et thru 19th)
Canada Feb Int'l Securities Transactiond, Mar. Existing Home Sales
World Bank Pres. Kim participates in a D.C. discussion
BoC Dpty Gov Wilkins speaks @Toronto Region Board of Trade
US March Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Marc. Performance of Services Index
         South Korea March PPI
         Aussie Mar. New Motor Vehicle Sales
         Italian Feb Trade Balance
         South Africa March CPI
         EU 25 March New Car Registrations
         Riksbank Executive Board Meets (Stockholm thru 19th)
         Russian PM Medvedev speaks at State Duma
         Eurozone Feb Trade Balance, Mar. CPI
Wed.,        April 19 Fed's Beige Book   (2pm et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
World Bank Group & IMF Joint Spring Meetings--"Building a More Resilient & Inclusive Global Economy, Rethinking Development Finance"  (D.C. thru 23rd)
Fed's Rosengren
& FDIC V. Chair Hoenig speak @26th Hyman P. Minsky Conference @Levy Economic Institute of Bard College (12:30pm et) ECB Board Members Coeure & Praet also speak @Levy Economic Institute of Bard College
Brazil FX Flows
Japan FinMin Aso speaks @Columbia Univ.
BoC Dpty  Gov Wilkins roundtable discussant @IMF (D.C.)
ECB's Coeure speaks @C. Peter McColough Roundtable Series on Int'l Economics (NY)
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats (w/e 4/14)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Q1 CPI
          Japan April Tankan Index, March Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          China March. FX Net Settlement
          Japan Cabinet Office April Monthly Economic Report
          RBA March FX Transactions, Q1 NAB Business Confidence
          Japan Mar Department & Convenience Store Sales
          German March PPI
          Eurozone Feb Construction Output
Thursday,  Apr. 20 Fed Gov Powell and EU VP Dombrowskis discussants on "Capital Markets, Growth & The Economy of Tomorrow" @The Global Finance Forum (D.C. 8am et)
US weekly Jobless Claims
Philly Fed May Business Outlook Survey
Bk of Mexico Gov. Carstens speaks at Brookings Institution webcast from D.C.
World Bank Group/IMF Joint Meeting Press Conference w/Pres. Jim Yong Kim (8:45am et)
IMF Mng Dir Lagarde Press Conference (9:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $16B 5-year TIPS
BoE Gov. Carney speaks at IIF Washington Policy Summit (11:30am et), then at the Bk of France Event affiliated with IMF/World Bank Jt Meeting (D.C.)
US Treas Sec'y Mnuchin converses with CEO of EY, at IIF Washington Policy Summit (1:15pm D.C.) OMB Dir. Mulvaney speaks (4:30pm et)
NEC Dir. Gary Cohn converses with IIF CEO @IIF Policy Summit (D.C. 2:30pm et) Other speakers include Martin Feldstein, Larry Lindsey, John Taylor
Fed Gov. Powell speaks on Eco Growth & Capital Markets
Russian Central Bank $ Reserves
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Refunding Announcement (11am et)
Fed's weekly Balance Sheet & Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Japan Nikkei April (P) Manufacturing PMI
         Japan Feb Tertiary Industry Index
         Swiss M3 March Money Supply
         Italian Feb Industrial Orders. Sales, Output
         Eurozone, France, Italian, Germany,  April (P) Markit Manufacturing, Serivices & Composite PMI
          Eurozone Feb Current Account
          UK March Retail Sales
          Hong Kong March Unemployment Rate & CPI
          BoE's Saunders speaks (London)
Friday,       April 21 Fed's Kashkari partakes at Q&A on the state of the economy, the role local community developers play in our financial health, and what lies ahead for community development corporations @Hamline Univ. Community Economic Development Symposium (St. Paul MN 9:30am)
LAC Chief Economist's Semiannual Report & Press Conference (World Bank Noon - 2pm et   D.C.)
G-20 Press Conference @IMF/World Bank Jt Meeting (12:30pm et)
GE Vice Chair John Rice: New Economy Talk: Around the World w/GE: Views on Innovation & the Global Economy (@IMF 1pm et)
ECB Pres Draghi & Coeure attend World Bank/IMF Jt Spring Meeting (D.C.)
IMF Press Briefing: Western Hemisphere Department (2pm @IMF)
Markit Flash (P) April Manufacturing, Services, & Composite PMI
Canada March CPI
US March Existing Home Sales
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count
(1pm et)
Saturday,  April 22 World Bank Group & IMF Joint Spring Meeting "Central Bankers & Inclusive Growth" (2pm et D.C. thru 23rd) 
US Treas. Sec'y Mnuchin & IMF Mng Dir Lagarde "A Conversation on the US Economy" (4:15pm et @IMF Hdqtrs D.C. )

         WEEKS AHEAD: 04
/27    ECB MPC Meets
                                                      BoJ MPC Meets
                                                      Riksbank (Sweden) MPC Meets
                                        05/03     FOMC Meets

*FOMC 2017 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm).  NY Fed pres.also a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2017, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.:New voting members, for 2017, include Philly Fed Pres. Patrick Harker, Minneapolis Fed Pres Neel "Too Big to Fail" Kashkari, Dallas Fed's Robert Kaplan, and Chiago Fed Pres Charles Evans.  Evans was last a voter in 2015. The other 3 are voters for the first time. Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City) have lost their votes in 2017. In an Oct. speech, Harker said he would have preferred if rates had been raised at the prior FOMC meeting. Kaplan was a 23-yr veteran of Goldman Sachs before winding up at Harvard Business School. Mester & George are hawks that dissented at several 2016 meetings until the 2016 rate hike announced 12/14 but aren't voters in 2017.  
                     

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