wall street in advance

February 2017  Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,      Jan. 29     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Dec Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         Japan Dec Retail Trade
         Aussie CBA/HIA 16Q4 House Affordability
         Eurozone Jan Business, Industrial, Services, Consumer & Economic Confidence
         German Jan (P) CPI
         BoJ Begins 2-day Meeting
Monday,    Jan. 30 US Dec Personal Income/Spending/PCE/Savings Rate
US Dec Pending Home Sales Index

Dallas Fed Jan. Manufacturing Survey
US Treasury Auctions $34B 3-, & $28B 6-month Bills
Jordan's King Abdullah II Meets with Trump (Jordan part of Syrian peaceworkers)
Orient New Year Celebrations Continue (China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, So Korea, Singapore thru 02/03)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues a.m. et:
          South Africa Dec M3 Money Supply & Private Sector Credit
          Japan Dec Job/Applicant Ratio, Household Spending, Industrial Production
          Spain 16Q4 GDP & Dec CPI, HICP
          UK GfK Jan Consumer Confidence & Lloyds Business Barometer
          Aussie NAB Dec Business Conditions/Confidence, Private Sector Credit
          Japan Dec Vehicle Production, Housing Starts, Construction Orders
          French 16Q4 GDP, Dec PPI, CPI & HICP 
          SNB (Swiss) 16Q4 Currency Allocation
          BoJ 2-day Meeting Ends w/Statement & Kuroda Press Conf. (Tues local time)
          German Jan Unemployment Rate + Jan CPI & HICP
          Italian Unemployment Rate/Change, Dec PPI
          UK Dec Net Consumer Lending, Mortgage Approvals, M4-Money Supply
          Eurozone 16Q4 GDP, Dec Unemployment Rate, Jan CPI
          India Dec Federal Fiscal Deficit & Infrastructure Output
          South Africa Dec Trade Balance
          Brazil Dec Budget Balance, Debt/GDP
          ECB's Draghi, EU Commission VP Dombrovskis, ECB Bd Member Mersch @ ECB/European Commission Joint Conference
         ECB's Coeure, European Securities Markets Authority Maijoor, LSE CEO Rolet panelists on "Innovation & Regulation in the world of tomorrow" (Frankfurt)
Tuesday,   Jan. 31 FOMC 2-day Monetary Policy Meeting starts (thru 02/01)
US Dec ECI (Employment Cost Index)
Canada Nov GDP, Dec Industrial Product & Raw Materials Price Indices
S&P Case Shiller Nov. House Price Index
Chicago PMI
Dallas & Texas Fed Services Revs/Outlook
Conference Board's (F) Jan Consumer Confidence/Expectations
US Treasury Auctions 4-week & $20B 52-week Bills
USDA Farm Prices
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:

         New Zealand 16Q4 Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation/Earnings + Visitors & Migration
         South Korea Dec Industrial Production & Service Sector Output
         India Jan Nikkei Markit Manufacturing PMI
         BoC Gov. Poloz speaks @U of Alberta School of Biz w/press conference
         Aussie AIG Jan Performance of Manufacturing Index, CoreLogic Jan House PI  & Commodity Prices
         Russian Markit Jan Manufacturing PMI
         South Korea Dec Industrial Production & Service Sector Output + Jan Trade Balance
         UK BRC Jan Shop Price Index & Nationwide Home Price Index
         Spanish Jan Manufacturing PMI
         Japan Nikkei Jan (F) PMI Manufacturing Index
         China Jan Manufacturing & Non-Manufacturing PMI
         Japan Jan Official Reserves & Bankruptcies + Dec Unemployment Rate
         Aussie RBA Jan Commodity Index
         Swiss Jan SVME PMI
         Markit Jan Eurozone, France, Germany + UK Manufacturing PMI
Wed.          Feb 01 FOMC MPC Meeting   Statement (2pm et)
US Jan Motor Vehicle Sales

MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications + Delinquencies
ADP Jan Private Sector Employment Report
RBC Jan Canadian Manufacturing PMI
Brazil FX Flows  + Jan Trade Balance
US Treasury Refunding Announcement includes 3- & 10-yr Notes +30-yr Bonds
US Markit ISM & PMI Manufacturing Indices/Prices Paid
US Dec Construction Spending
EIA weekly Petroleum/Distillate/Gasoline Stats (w/e 01/27)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Japan Jan Monetary Base, Foreign Purchase of Japan bonds/Stocks
         Aussie Dec Trade Balance, Building Approvals +Jan. AIG Mnftg Index
         Japan Jan Consumer Confidence Index   + JGB 10-year Auction
         South Korea Jan CPI
         Swiss Dec Retail Sales
         Spain Unemployment Change/Rate
         ECB publishes Econonic Bulletin
         UK Markit/CIPS Jan Construction PMI
         Eurozone Dec PPI
         BoE MPC Rates Set, & Bond+ QE Targets + Inflation Report (Thurs. local time)
        
Thursday,  Feb 02 BoE Gov Carney post-MPC Meeting/Inflation Report Press Conference
US Jan. Chain Store Sales (9 still report + some will release Qtr Sales)
Challenger Jan. Job Cut Report
US 16Q4 Productivity & Costs
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Aussie AIG Jan Performance of Services Index
         South Korea Dec Current Account
         RBA (Aussie) Monetary Policy Statement
         Hong Kong Jan Manufacturing PMI & Dec Retail Sales
         India Nikkei Jan Services PMI
         BoJ Minutes of 12/19--20/16 Meeting
         New Zealand Jan ANZ Commodity Prices
         Japan Nikkei Jan Services PMI
         China Caixin Jan Manufacturing PMI
         Russian Central Bank (Feb) Interest Rate Decision
         UBS Swiss 16Q4 Real Estate Bubble Index
         Markit Jan Eurozone, France, Italy, Germany, Spain, Services & Composite PMIs
         Brazil Markit Jan Services & Composite PMI
         UK Jan Services PMI
         Italian Jan CPI & HICP
         UK CIPS Jan Services & Composite PMI
         UK Jan Official FX Reserves/Changes
         Eurozone Dec Retail Sales
         ECB's Constancio keynotes "Tackling Europe's non-performing loans crisis: restructuring debt, reviving growth" (Bruegel, Brussels Belgium)
Friday,      Feb 03 US Jan. Unemployment Rate/Participation/New Job Adds, Hrly Earnings
BLS 12-month Benchmark Revisions to Employment Survey Data
Fed's Evans
on current eco conditions & monetary policy @Prairie State College Economic Breakfast (Olympia Fields IL)
US Dec. Factory Orders
US (F) Dec Durables Goods Orders/Shipments
US Markit Jan PMI & ISM Services Indices
Baker-Hughes weekly US/No. American Rig Count
    OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. et:

         Aussie AIG Jan Services Index
Saturday,  Feb 04 Chinese Lunar New Year Celebrations Wrap, while masses start out for workplace homes
Sunday,       Feb 05     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         Japan Dec. Real Cash Earnings & Overtime Pay
         Aussie TD Securities Jan Inflation, Dec Retail Sales, Jan Job Ads
         German Dec. Factory Orders  & Markit Jan Construction & Retail PMI
         UK Jan. New Car Registrations
         Markit Eurozone, France, Italy Jan Retail PMI
         Brazil Jan. Auto Production & Sales
         Eurozone Feb. Sentix Investor Confidence
         Nat'l Bk of Belgium Gov. Smets speaks on "Central Banking in times of uncertainty: Is Lamfalussy still relevant?"
        
Monday,      Feb 06 US Jan LMCI (Labor Market Conditions Index)
US Treasury Auctions  $34B 3-, & $28B 6-month Bills
TD Ameritrade IMX
Fed's Harker discusses "FinTech Regulation" @Global Interdependence Center "Payment Systems in an Internet Age"  (San Diego, CA 4:30pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          Aussie AIG Jan Performance of Construction Index, Feb Consumer Confidence
          UK BRC Jan Like for Like Sales
          China Caixin Jan Services & Composite PMIs
         RBA (Aussie) MPC Rate Decision, 2-yr Inflation Outlook  (Tues local time)
          China Jan FX Reserves
          Bk of India MPC Interest Rate & Reverse REPO Rate, Cash Reserve Ratio
          Aussie Jan FX Reserves
          German & Spanish Dec Industrial Production
          EU Economic Forecasts
          Swiss Jan FX Reserves & SECO Consumer Climate
          Nat'l Bk of Poland MPC meeting (thru 8th)
          French Dec Current Account, Gov't Budget Balance, Trade Balance
          UK Halifax Plc Jan House Prices
          Brazil Jan CPI
          Hong Kong & Singaore Jan. FX Reserves
Tuesday,    Feb 07 NFIB US Feb Small Business Optimism Index
US Dec. Int'l Trade Deficit

Canada Dec Int'l Merchandise Trade Balance
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
US Dec JOLTS (Job turnover/Quits)
Canada Ivey Jan PMI
US Treasury Auctions $50B reopened 34-day Bills 
US Treasury Auctions $24B 3-year Notes (1pm et)
US Dec. Consumer Credit (debt, added, really)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         BoJ Summary of Opinions @Jan 30--31st Meeting
+ Dec Current Account & Trade Balance + Jan. FX Reserves
         Japan Jan. Lending & Bankruptcies + 30-year JGB Auction
         Bk of Thailand MPC meeting
         China 16Q4 (P) current Account Balance, Jan Foreign Direct Investment
         OECD Sec'y Gen Gurria & Sweden FinMin Andersson press conference
         Riksbank executive board meeting (Stockholm)
Wed.,         Feb 08 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
Canada Jan Housing Starts
Brazil FX Flows
EIA weekly US Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Stats (thru 02/03)
US Treasury Auctions $23B 10-year Notes (1pm et0
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Dec. Building Permits & Jan New House Sales
         Japan Dec. Machinery Orders & Jan M3 Money Stock
         Aussie HIA Dec. New Home Sales & NAB Q4 Business Confidence
         UK RICS Jan House Price Balance
         Swiss Jan Unemployment Rate
         German Dec Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         South Africa Dec Mining & Manufacturing Production
         Russia FX Reserves
         BoC (Canada) Dpty Gov Schembri speaks @Wesetern University
         RBNZ (New Zealand) MPC Statement of Monetary Policy & Rates  (Thurs. local time)
         RBA Gov Lowe (Aussie) speaks at A50 Australian Economic Forum Dinner  (Sydney)
         Bk of Italy Monthly Report "Money & Banks"
         BoJ Depty Gov Nakaso meets with business leaders
Thursday,  Feb 09 US weekly Jobless Claims
Canada Dec New Housing Price Index
Central Bk of Mexico MPC Statement
Philippines Central Bank MPC Meeting
Fed's Bullard on the US economy & monetary policy w/Q&A @Washington Univ. (St Louis MO 9:10am et)
US Dec Wholesale Trade
EIA weekly Natural Gas Stats
US Treasury Auctions $15B 30-year Bonds
US Treasury Refundning Announcement incl. 30yr TIPS & Bonds
Fed's Evans on current economic conditions & monetary Policy at Chicago CFA Society, w/Q&A (1:10pm et)
Weekly Fed Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Japan Jan Corporate Goods Price Index + PPI

         Aussie Dec Home Loans & Investment Lending/Value of All Loans
         China Jan Aggregate Financing, Trade Balance (Imports/Exports), New Yuan Loans, Money Supply
         French Dec Industrial Production
         UK Dec Trade Balance, Construction, Industrial & Manufacturing Production
Friday,       Feb 10 US Revisions to past, reported PPI
US Jan. Import/Export Prices
Japan PM Abe visits US & White House
India Dec Industrial Production & Manufacturing Output
Russia Dec Trade Balance
Canada Jan Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation, Fulltime/Part-time Jobs
UK NIESR Jan GDP
U.M. Preliminary Feb Consumer Sentiment
Baker-Hughes US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
US Treasury Budget Released (2pm et)
Saturday,  Feb 11 Fed V. Chair Fisher speaks @Warwick Economics Summit w/Q&A (UK 7:30am et)
Japan National Holiday

         WEEKS AHEAD: 02
/14    Riksbank (Sweden) MPC Meeting
                                        02/20    US Holiday ALL US Markets Closed for Presidents Day
                                        03/01    BoC
(Canada) MPC Meeting
                                        03/09    ECB MPC Meets
                                 03/14--15    FOMC Meets,
                                        03/15    FOMC Updates Forecasts + Yellen post-FOMC Meeting Press Conference

                                        03/16    BoE MPC Meets
                                                    SNB (Swiss) MPC Meets
                                                    BoJ MPC Meets
                                                    Norges Bank (Norway) MPC Meets

*FOMC 2017 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm).  NY Fed pres.also a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2017, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.:New voting members, for 2017, include Philly Fed Pres. Patrick Harker, Minneapolis Fed Pres Neel "Too Big to Fail" Kashkari, Dallas Fed's Robert Kaplan, and Chiago Fed Pres Charles Evans.  Evans was last a voter in 2015. The other 3 are voters for the first time. Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City) have lost their votes in 2017. In an Oct. speech, Harker said he would have preferred if rates had been raised at the prior FOMC meeting. Kaplan was a 23-yr veteran of Goldman Sachs before winding up at Harvard Business School. Mester & George are hawks that dissented at several 2016 meetings until the 2016 rate hike announced 12/14 but aren't voters in 2017.  
                     

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