wall street in advance

August 2017  Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,    Aug. 06     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         Aussie July FX Reserves, AiG Jul Construction Index, Job Ads & Inflation Expectations
         Japan July FX Reserves
         China Q2 Current Account Balance, July FX Reserves
         German June Industrial Production
         South Africa July FX Reserves & Q2 Unemployment Rate
         Swiss July CPI, FX Reserves
         UK Halifax July House Price Index (HPI)
         Hong Kong July FX Reserves
         Eurozone Aug Sentix Investor Conference
         Singapore July FX Reserves
         French BTF Auctions
Monday,   Aug. 07 US LMCI Labor Market Conditions Index
US Treasury Auctions $39B 3-, & $33B 6-month Bills
Fed's Bullard on US Economy & Monetary Policy, w/Q&A,   @America's Cotton Marketing Co-ops 2017 Conference (Nashville TN 11:45am)
TD Ameritrade IMX
Canada Civic Holiday
Fed's Kashkari Q&A at Sioux Falls Rotary Club Event (Sioux Falls SD 1:25pm)
US June Consumer Credit (Debt, really  3pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          UK BRC July Retail Sales Monitor
          Japan Jun. Current Account, Bank Lending, 30-year JGB Auction
          Aussie NAB July Business Survey/Confidence
          Swiss Jul. Unemployment Rate, UBS Q2 Real Estate Bubble Index
          German June Trade Balance
          China July Trade Balance (Imports/Exports), Foreign Direct Investmen
          French June Current Account, Gov't Budget Balance, Trade Balance
Tuesday,  Aug. 08 US NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
Redbook weekly chain store snap shot
JOLTS (US Job Turnover & Quits)
US Treasury Auctions $24B 3-year Notes (1pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          So. Korea July Unemployment Rate, M2 Money Supply
         Aussie June Home Loans & Investment Finance, Value of All June Loans
         RBA's Kent (ass't gov. for financial markets) Bloomberg Address (Sydney)
         REINZ July House Sales
         China July CPI & PPI
         Singapore Holiday
         Japan Machine Tool Orders
         Italy June Industrial Production
Wed.,       Aug. 09 MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US 17Q2 (Prelim) Productivity & Costs (1st guess)
US June Wholesale Trade
Canada July Housing Starts + June Building Permits
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (10:30am et)
Brazil July CPI + FX Flows
Fed's Evans on current eco conditions & monetary policy in a closed group interview with selected press (Chicago 1pm)
US Treasury Auctions $23B 10-year Notes
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:

         RBNZ (New Zealand) MPC statement & Official Cash Rate (08/10 local time)
         RBNZ Gov Wheeler Post-Meeting Press Conference, July Electronic Card Retail Sales
         UK RICS July House Price Balance
         Japan June Core Machinery Orders, July PPI, Corporate Goods Prices, Cross Border Investments, Q2 Housing Loans, & Tertiary Industry Activity Index
        French June Industrial Production
        Italian June Trade Balance
        China New Loans
        UK June Construction Output, Industrial + Manufacturing Production, Trade Balance, NIESR GDP estimate, Jun Trade Balance
        South Africa June Manufacturing Production
Thursday, Aug 10 US weekly Jobless Claims
US July PPI-Final Demand
NY Fed's Dudley
opens Economic Press Breifing on Employment Trends & Wage Inequality in the 2nd District*  (NY, before panel of economists 10am)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
Canada June New Housing Price Index
Russia FX Reserves
US Treasury Auctions $15B 30-year Bonds
US Treasury Refunding Announcement  + Budget
Fed's weekly Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m,. et:
         So. Korea July Import/Export Price Indices
         New Zealand July Business PMI + Food Prices
         RBA's Lowe before House Economics Cmte (Melbourne)
         Singapore Q2 GDP, June Retail Sales
         Eurozone, French, German, Italian Jul CPI, HICP
         French Q2 Non-Farm Payrolls
         Hong Kong Q2 GDP
         India June Industrial Production & Manufacturing Output
Friday,      Aug. 11 US July CPI
Fed's Kaplan
speaks w/Q&A at Arlington Accounting Dept 6th Annual CPE Day (U of TX 9:40am)
Fed's Kashkari participates in Q&A at Independent Community Bankers of Minnesota Annual Convention (Bloomington MN 11:30am)
Russia Q2 GDP & June Trade Balance
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
Saturday, Aug. 12
Sunday,    Aug. 13     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         RBA's (Aussie) Kent speaks (Sydney)
         New Zealand Q2 Retail Sales
         Japan Q2 (P) GDP, Deflator, Private Consumption, Business Spending
         Aussie Jun Credit Card Purchases/Balance
         China July Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Fixed Asset Investments
         India July WPI Manufacturing, Food, Fuel Inflation, CPI & Trade Balance 
         Eurozone June Industrial Production/Utilization
         Teranet/Nat'l Bank July Canada Home Price Index
Monday,   Aug. 14 US Treasury Auctions $39B 3-, & $33B 6-month Bills
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:

         South Korea July Trade Balance
         Aussie July New Motor Vehicle jSales
         RBA Minutes of Rate Meeting
         Japan Jun Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
         German Q2 GDP
         Swiss July Producer + Import  Prices
         UK July CPI, Retail Price Index, PPI, June House Price Index
         Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey
Tuesday,  Aug. 15 US July Retail Sales
Empire State NY Fed Aug Manufacturing Survey
US July Import/Export Prices
Brazil Jun Retail Sales
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
US June Business Inventories
NAHB Aug. Housing Market Index

US Treasury Auctions $20B 52-week Bills (Light wk for issuance)
Canada July Existing Home Sales
Holidays in India, South Korea & Italy
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         RBA's (Aussie) Ellis speaks (Canberra)
         China July FX Net Settlement
         BoJ Discloses outright Bond Purchases
         Aussie Q2 Wage Cost Index
         Italy Q2 (P) GDP
         UK ILO Jun Unemployment Rate/Change, July Claims, Avg Wkly Earnings
         Eurozone Q2 GDP
Wed.        Aug. 16 FOMC Minutes of the July 25--26 Meeting  (2pm et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
July Housing Starts/Building Permits
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations
Canada June Int'l Securities Transactions
EIA weekly Petroleum/Distillates/Gasoline Report (w/e 08/11)
3-way NAFTA Renegotiations start between US, Canada & Mexico (D.C.)
Brazil FX Flows
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Q2 PPI, Aug CPI
         Japan July Trade Balance (Imports/Exports), Dept Store Sales
         Singapore July non-Oil Exports
         Aussie July Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation
         French Q2 Unemployment Rate
         RBA July FX Transactions
         UK July Retail Sales
         Hong Kong July Unemployment Rate
         Eurozone June Trade Balance, Jul CPI
         ECB Releases Minutes of its Monetary Policy Meeting
         Canadian June Manufacturers' Shipments
Thursday, Aug. 17 US weekly Jobless Claims
Philly Fed Business Outlook Survey
US July Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
Q2 eCommerce Retail Sales
Canadian June Manufacturing Sales
Russia June Unemployment Rate & Central Bank Reserves
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
Fed's Kaplan moderated Q&A hosted by Lubbock Chamber of Commerce (1pm)
Fed's Kashkari moderated Q&A at Edina Rotary Club (MN 1:45pm)
US weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et;
         Japan Details Shorter Term Bond Purchases
         China July Property/House Prices
         German July PPI
         India Bank Loan & Deposit Growth
         Eurozone Jun Current Account, Construction Output
Friday,     Aug. 18 Canada July CPI
U.M. (P) Aug. Consumer Sentiment
Fed's Kaplan moderated Q&A @Dallas Community College Conf. Day (10:15am)
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm)
Saturday, Aug. 19

         WEEKS AHEAD:  08
/21    Sweden's Riksbank MPC Meets (Stockholm)
                                  08/24--26    K.C. Fed Jackson Hole Economic Symposium  (Draghi & Yellen)
                                        09/04      US Markets Closed for Labor Day Holiday
                                        09/05      Fed Gov Brainard speaks @Economic Club of NY
                                                      RBA (Aussie) MPC Meets
                                        09/06      Fed's Beige Book
Bk of Canada MPC Rate Meeting
                                                      Sweden's Riksbank MPC rate Meeting (decision on 09/07)
                                        09/07      ECB MPC Meeting followed by Draghi Press Conference
                                                      NY Fed's Dudley speaks @Money Marketeers of NYU
Swiss National Bank MPC Meets
                                                      BoE MPC Rate Decision + Minutes
     *2nd Federal Reserve District (Dudley Aug. 10th) includes NYC, NY State, No. NJ, & Puerto Rico

*FOMC 2017 Voting Members:  Four governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell. Dan Tarullo was the 5th.vote at every meeting but he retired from the Board. (Board Governors now endure 3 vacancies, w/Trump nominating one after July 4th). NY Fed Pres.Wm Dudley also a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2017, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.:New voters, for 2017: Philly Fed Pres. Patrick Harker, Minneapolis Fed Pres Neel "Too Big to Fail" Kashkari, Dallas Fed's Robert Kaplan, and Chicago Fed Pres Charles Evans.  Evans was last a voter in 2015. The other 3 are voters for the first time. Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City) have lost their votes in 2017. In an Oct. speech, Harker said he would have preferred if rates had been raised at the prior FOMC meeting. Kaplan was a 23-yr veteran of Goldman Sachs before winding up at Harvard Business School. Mester & George are hawks that dissented at several 2016 meetings until the 2016 rate hike announced 12/14 but aren't voters in 2017.  Richmond Fed's Jeff Lacker resigned in early April 2017, when it became known he'd leaked sensitive FOMC discussions to Medley Advisors. Richmond is operating with an Interim Pres, Mark L Mullinix, while the search for a new leader continues. Raphael Bostic replaced Dennis Lockhart at the Atlanta Fed, when Lockhart left.

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