wall street in advance

April 2017  Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,      April 02     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         Aussie Mar. AIG Performance of Manufacturing Index
         Nikkei Japan Mar. Manufacturing PMI
         Japan 17Q1 Tankan Non-Manufacturing, Large & Small Mnftg  Index + All Industry CapEx & Japan March Official Reserves
         Aussie CoreLogic March House Price Index & March Job Advertisements, TD Securities Inflation, Feb Retail Sales, Building Approvals
         China Caixin Mar. Manufacturing PMI
         Japan Mar. Vehicle Sales
         Aussie/RBA March Commodity Index
         Russia Markit March Manufaturing PMI
         Swiss Feb Retail Sales & Mar. SVME PMI
         Markit France, Italy, Germany, Eurozone & Spain Manufacturing PMI
         Italy Feb Unemployment Report
         UK Market Mar. Manufacturing PMI
         Eurozone Feb PPI + Feb Unemployment Rate
Monday,   April 03 NY Fed's Dudley press briefing on household borrowing, including student debt and impact on homeownership w/Q&A (NY 10:30am et)
Markit Brazil March Manufacturing PMI + Mar Trade Balance
Sinagpore Mar. Manufacturing PMI
South Africa March Total Vehicle Sales
Canada RBC Mar. Manufacturing PMI
US March Manufacturing PMI
US March Manufacturing ISM
Canada Mar. Markit Manufacturing PMI
+Business Outlook for Future Sales
BoC Senior Loan Officer Survey
US Feb Construction Spending
US Treasury Auctions $39B 3-month, & $33B 6-month Bills (That's it!)
Fed's Harker speaks on FinTech (Philadelphia at Uof P)
Fed's Lacker on "From 'Real Bills' to 'Too Big to Fail': H. Parker Willis & the Federal Reserve's First Century" w/Q&A @Washington & Lee Univ (VA 5pm et)
China Holiday
      OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et;
           New Zealand NZIER Q1 Capacity Utilitizaiton + Biz Confidence
           So Korea Mar CPI
           Japan March Monetary Base
           Aussie Feb Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
           RBA (Aussie) MPC Rate Decision (04/04 local time)
           Spanish Unemployment
           Italy 16Q4 Public Debt
           UK Markit/CIPS Mar. Construction PMI
           Eurozone Feb. Retail Sales
           Brazil Feb Industrial production
           Conference supporting Future of Syria (Brussels thru 04/05)
           ECB Governing Council/Bk of Finalnd Gov. Liikanen on post-crisis regulation in the financial markets (Helsinki 04/04 local time)
           Fed's Lockhart keynotes 2nd Annual SSGA-OMFIF Roundtable meeting (to 04/05 London)
Tuesday,  April 04 US March Motor Vehicle Sales
US Feb Int'l Trade Deficit

Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
Canada Feb Int'l Merchandise Trade
US Feb Factory Orders + (F) Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
China, Hong Kong & India Holidays
Fed's departing Gov. Tarullo addresses Princeton Univ. w/Q&A (4:30pm et)
      OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
           South Korea Feb Current Account
           New Zealand QV Mar. House Prices
           RBA (Aussie)'s Heath panelist at Bloomberg event + Mar. Performance of Services
           UK BRC Mar. Shop Price Index
           Japan Nikkei Mar. Services & Composite PMI + 10-yr JGB Auction
           New Zealand ANZ Mar Commodity Price Index
           Russia Markit Mar. Services PMI
           Standard Bank So. Africa Mar PMI
           Markit Eurozone, France, Germany, Italy + Spain March Services & Composite PMI
           Norges Bank's Gov Olsen speaks @ The Federation of Norwegian Industries
           UK Mar. New Car Registrations, Markit/CIPS Services + Composite PMI, Official Reserves, 16Q4 Unit Labor Costs + Q/o/Q Housing Equity Withdrawal
Wed.,        April 05 FOMC 3/14--15 Meeting Minutes Published (2pm et)
Atlanta Fed's Lockhart @OMFIF (London)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
ADP March Private Sector Employment Report/Change
March Markit PMI Services + Composite Index
March ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillate Stats (w/e 03/31)
       OVERNIGHT Into US Thurs. a.m. et;
            Hong Kong Mar Manufacturing PMI
            RBA's Debelle speaks (Sydney)
            China Caixin Mar. Services & Composite PMI
            India Interest Rate Decision (current 6.25%) , Cash Reserve Ratio, Reverse REPO Rate (current 5.75%)
            India Nikkei Mar. Services PI
            Japan March Consumer Confidence
            German Feb Factory Orders & Markit Mar. Construction + Retail PMI
            Swiss March CPI
            Markit eurozone, France & Italy March Retail PMI
            ECB Account of Monetary Policy Meeting (Minutes by another name)
Thursday,  Apr. 06 Challenger March Job-Cut Report
US weekly Jobless Claims
Canada Feb Building Permits
Russia Central Bank Reserves
March Chain Store Sales (9 still report)
Fed's Williams panelist (Frankfurt)
Brazil Mar Auto Production & Sales
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Refunding Announcement
Fed's Weekly Balance Sheet & US Money Supply
     OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
          Japan March FX Reserves
          Aussie AIG March Performance of Construction Index
          China Mar. Foreign Reserves
          Japan Feb Labor Cash Earnings/Overtime
          Swiss March Unemployment Rate + FX Reserves
          German Feb. Industrial Production Current Account, Trade Balance
          South Africa Mar FX Reserves
          Spain Feb Industrial Production
          Aussie March Foreign Reserves
          Norges Bk Dpty Gov Nicolaisen speaks @The European Covered Bond Council (Oslo) 
          French Feb Current Account +Budget Balance + Trade Balance
          Italy Feb Retail Sales
          UK Halifax plc March House Prices, Feb. Industrial & Manufacturing Production, Feb Construction Output, Visible Trade Balance 
          Hong Kong March FX Reserves
          Singapore March FX Reserves
          Brazil March CPI
Friday,       April 07 March US Unemployment Report/Change/Participation + Avg. Hourly earnings
US Feb. Wholesale Trade + Inventories
Canada Feb Building Permits & Mar. Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation
UK  NEISR Mar. GDP
Canada Mar Ivey PMI
Baker-Hughes weekly Rig Count (1pm et)
US Feb. Consumer Credit
(3pm et)
Saturday,  April 08 China March Foreign Direct Investment
ECB Board Member Mersch speaks (Italy)
Sunday,    April 09     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         New Zealand March House Sales
         Fed's Bullard speaks @Monash Univ. (Melbourne, Australia)
         Japan Feb Adj. Current Account + Trade Balance
         Swiss Q1 Real Estate Index of Family Homes
         China March New Yuan Loans & Aggregate Financing + Money Supply
         Japan Mar. Eco Watchefrs Survey of Current & Future Outlook
         BoJ's Kuroda Quarterly Meeting of Regional Branch Managers
         Aussie Feb Home Loans, Investment Lending, Value of All Loans
         Italian Feb Industrial Production
         Eurozone Sentix April Investor Confidence
Monday,   April 10 G7 Nations 2-day Foreign Ministers Meet (Lucca Italy thru 11th)
US Fed's March LMCI (Labor Market Conditions Index)
US Treasury Auctions $39B 3-, & $33B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
TD Ameritrade IMX (investor Sentiment)
US Treasury Auctions $24B 3-year Notes (1pm et)
FOMC Chief Yellen speaks at U of Michigan Gerald Ford School of Public Policy w/Q&A (4:15pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         New Zealand March Electronic Card Retail Sales
         UK BRC Mar. Like-for-Like Sales
         Aussie NAB March Business Conditions & Confidence
         Japan (P) March Machine Tool Orders
         UK Mar. CPI, RPI, PPI Input & Output, + Feb House Price Index
         Eurozone Feb Industrial Production
         Eurozone & German ZEW April Survey
Tuesday,  April 11 NFIB US Small Business Optimism
So. Africa Feb Manufacturing Production
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
Russia Feb Trade Balance
Canada Mar. Housing Starts
Feb JOLTS (US Labor Quits & Turnover)
US Treasury Auctions $20B reopened 10-year Notes (1pm et)
Fed's Kashkari moderated discussion of MN Biz Partnership w/Q&A (1:45pm)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         South Korea March Unemployment Rate
         Japan Feb Machine Orders, March Corporate Goods Price Index, Bank Lending
         Aussie HIA Q1 House Affordability, Westpac Apri. Consumer Confidence, Feb Credit Card Purchases/Balances
         China Mar. CPI, PPI
         Japan 30-year JGB Auction

         Singapore Feb Retail Sales
         German March WPI
         Spain March CPI & HICP
         UK March Claimant Count, Jobless Claims, Feb. Avg weekly Earnings, ILO Feb Unemployment Rate/Change
          Germany Auctions 10-year Bund
          UK Auctions 30-year Treasury GILT
          South Africa Feb Retail Sales
          India Feb Industrial Production + M3 Money Supply +March CPI
Wed.        April 12 MBA Mortgage/Refinance Applications
Brazil Feb Retail Sales
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillate Stats
Canada Teranet/Nat'l Bank March Home Price Index
BoC
MPC Rate Decision & Monetary Policy Report/Press Conference
BoC's Gov Poloz  +Dpty Gov Wilkins Presser on Monetary Policy Report
US Treasury Auctions $12B reopened 30-year Bonds
US March Import Price Index/Export Price Index
Brazil MPC Interest Rate Decision (current 12.25%)
US Treasury Budget (2pm et  tax filings probably bolstered cash position)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. am. et;
         New Zealand Mar. Performance of Manufacturing Index + Food Price Index
         UK RICS Mar. House Price Balance
         Japan Mar. M3 Money Stock
         Singapore 17Q1 GDP
         South Korea April Interest Rate Decision (current 1.25%)
         China March. Imports/Exports/Trade Balance
         Aussie April Consumer Expectations +March Employment Change/Rate, Mar Unemployment Rate
         Swiss Mar PPI
         South Africa Feb Mining & Gold Production
         RBA Financial Stability Review, & Mar. Unemployment Rate/Change/Rate of  Participation
         German , French, Italian, March Wholesale Price Index + CPI & HICP
         Swiss Marc. Producer & Import Prices
         BoE Credit Conditions & Bank Liabilities Surveys
         Asian Development Bank Institute speakers include ECB's Fell, Bank Negara Malaysia's bin Ibrahim, Bk of Thailan Gov Santiprabhob, Bangkok Sentral ng Gov Espenilla (Tokyo, 13th local time, thru 14th)
Thursday, Apr. 13 US weekly Jobless Claims
US
March PPI-Final Demand
US Feb. Business Inventories
Canada Feb New Hosuing Price Index & Manufacturer Shipments
US March Advance Retail Sales

U.M. Prelim. April Consumer Sentiment
Russia Central Bank Fx Reserves
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American RIG Count
US Treasury Refunding Announcement includes 30-yr Bond
US weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et;
         South Korea March Import & Export Price Indices
         Singapore Q1 GDP
         Japan Feb (F) Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
         India WPI Food, Fuel, Inflation, Manufacturing Inflation + Bank Loan Growth
Friday,     April 14 Markets Closed for Good Friday in the US & Most of the Western World
Banks Open at their own Discretion
US March CPI & Retail Sales
Saturday, April 15
Sunday,     April 16 Easter Sunday

         WEEKS AHEAD: 04
/19     Fed's Beige Book
                                        04/27     ECB MPC Meets
                                                      BoJ MPC Meets
                                                      Riksbank (Sweden) MPC Meets
                                        05/03      FOMC Meets

*FOMC 2017 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm).  NY Fed pres.also a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2017, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.:New voting members, for 2017, include Philly Fed Pres. Patrick Harker, Minneapolis Fed Pres Neel "Too Big to Fail" Kashkari, Dallas Fed's Robert Kaplan, and Chiago Fed Pres Charles Evans.  Evans was last a voter in 2015. The other 3 are voters for the first time. Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City) have lost their votes in 2017. In an Oct. speech, Harker said he would have preferred if rates had been raised at the prior FOMC meeting. Kaplan was a 23-yr veteran of Goldman Sachs before winding up at Harvard Business School. Mester & George are hawks that dissented at several 2016 meetings until the 2016 rate hike announced 12/14 but aren't voters in 2017.  
                     

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