wall street in advance

January/February 2017  Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,        Jan. 22     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         Japan Nov All Industry Activity Index
         Singapore Dec CPI
         Hong Kong Dec CPI
         Swiss Dec M3 Money Supply
         Eurozone Q3 Government Deficit
         ECB Pres Draghi speaks  on award of the Premio Cmillo Cavour oganized by Fondazione Camillo Cavour (Torino Italay)
Monday,     Jan. 23 US Treasury Auctions $34B 3-, & $28B 6-month Bills
Canada Nov Wholesale Sales
French 3-, 6-, & 12-month BTF Auctions
ECB's Praet speaks @EU Commission "European Pillar of Social Rights Conference" (Brussels)
BoE Bond Buying Operations
Eurozone Jan Consumer Confidence
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Dec Performance of Services Index
          Japan Nikkei Jan (Prelim) Manufadcturing PMI
          German Dec Import Price Index
          Swiss Dec. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          Markit Jan (P) Eurozone French, German Manufacturing+Services+Composite PMI
         Czech Central Bank's Benda speaks @ING Client Breakfast (London)
         Irish Central Banker Lane & Ireland PM Kenny, along w/Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank Pres Liqun speak @European Financial Forum
         UK Dec Central Gov't Finances & Public Sector Finances + Net Borrowing
         Brazil Dec Current Account & Foreign Direct Investment 
         ECB's Praet panelist on "(DoNot) Break It: Today's Europe at Full Speed" at Int'l Conference of "Europe 2017: Make it or Break It?" from ISPI/Luiss School of Gov't/Luiss School of European Political Economy (Rome Italy)
         Eurosystem publishes Consolidated Financial Statement of the Eurosystem
         ECB's Lautenschlager speaks @Hamburger Ubersee-Club e.V on "Europa, der Euro und die Zukunft" (Hamburg DE)
Tuesday,      Jan. 24 South Africa Jan MPC Prime & Interest Rate Decisions
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
US Flash Jan Manufacturing PMI Index
US Dec. Existing Home Sales
Richmond Fed Manufacturing & Services Indexes
US Treasury Auctions 4-week Bills & $26B 2-year Notes (1pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         South Korea 16Q4 GDP & Jan Consumer Confidence
          Japan Dec Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          Aussie Dec CPI, Skilled Vacancies
          New Zealand Dec Cedit Card Spending
          Swiss Dec Consumption Indicator + Jan ZEW Expectatoins
          Italian Nov Industrial Orders/Sales + Dec. Trade Balance
          German IFO Jan. Business Climate Surveys
          UK CBI Jan Trends in Orders/Selling Prices + CBI Biz Optimism
          BoE's Carney, German FinMin Schaeuble, & Bundesbank's Weidmann speak at G20's "Digitising finance, financial inclusion & financial literacy" (Weisbaden DE)
          Riksbank's Ingves @Sida's Development talks on importance of central banks as development actors & the role of monetary policy in aid (Stockholm)
          ECB's Nouy at 2nd SSM Forum by EBF (Frankfurt Germany)
Wed.,          Jan. 25 FHFA Nov House Price Index
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Apps
Russian Dec Unemployment Rate, & PPI
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distllates Stats (w/e Jan 20th, 10:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $15B 2-yr FRN & $34B 5-yr Notes (1pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         South Korea Feb BSI Manufacturing Index
         New Zealand 16Q4 CPI
         RBNZ's Hodgetts, Hargreaveds & Dunstan host seminar on housing markets & macro-prudential policy @Chartered Accountants Wellington Conference (thru 27th)
         Singapore URA 16Q3 URA Property Index & 16Q4 Unemployment Rate
         RBNZ (New Zealand) Gov Wheeler speaks (Christchurch)
         Japan Dec Corporate Service Price
         China Dec Industrial Prices
         Spanish 16Q4 Unemployment Rae
         Hong Kong Dec Imports/Exports
         Italy Nov Retail Sales
         German GfK Consumer Climate
         Canada CFIB Jan Business Barometer
         UK 16Q4 (Adv) GDP, BBA Dec Loans for House Prices, Nov Index of Services, CBI Jan Reported Retail Sales & Total Distributed Trades Survey  
         South Africa Dec PPI
         Eurogroup Meets (Brussels) publishes Qtrly Deficit/Debt Dataset
Thursday,   Jan. 26 US Nov (Adv) International Traded Deficit
US weekly Jobless Claims

US Dec Whoesale & Retail Inventories
Brazil Dec Bank Lending
Chico Fed Jan Nat'l Activity Index
Markit US Flash Services PMI
US Dec New Home Sales
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et)
K.C. Fed Jan Manufacturing & Composite Indexes
US Treasury Auctions $28B 7-yr Notes
US weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
South Korea Feb BSI Manufacturing Index
Holidays in India & Australia
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Japan  National + Tokyo Dec CPI
         Aussie 16Q4 Producer, Import & Export Price Indices
         German Dec Retail Sales, Import Price Index
         Spain Dec Retail Sales

         Italy Dec Wage Inflation, & Jan Business + Consumer COnfidence
         French Jan Consumer Confidence
         Eurozone Dec M3 Money Supply
         Monetary Developments in the Euro Area Published
         ECB's Constancio speaks at ECOFIN meeting (Brussels)
Friday,        Jan. 27 US Dec Durable Goods Orders/Shipments +PCE
US 4Q16 Adv. GDP
( 1st guess)
U.M. Final Jan Consumer Sentiment
French Dec total Jobseekers
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count (1pm et Last wk +29)
New Year Holiday in China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore
Saturday,   Jan. 28 UK Jan Nationwide House Prices
Iceland Central Bank Gov Guomundsson lectures on impact of 2008 financial crisis, and eco outlook (London)
Chinese Lunar New Year celebrated in Taiwan, Hong Kong & South Korea, too   (year of the Rooster)
Sunday,      Jan. 29     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Dec Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
         Japan Dec Retail Trade
         Aussie CBA/HIA 16Q4 House Affordability
         Eurozone Jan Business, Industrial, Services, Consumer & Economic Confidence
         German Jan (P) CPI
         BoJ Begins 2-day Meeting
Monday,    Jan. 30 US Dec Personal Income/Spending/PCE/Savings Rate
US Dec Pending Home Sales Index

Dallas Fed Jan. Manufacturing Survey
US Treasury Auctions $34B 3-, & $28B 6-month Bills
Jordan's King Abdullah II Meets with Trump (Jordan part of Syrian peaceworkers)
Orient New Year Celebrations Continue (China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, So Korea, Singapore thru 02/03)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues a.m. et:
          South Africa Dec M3 Money Supply & Private Sector Credit
          Japan Dec Job/Applicant Ratio, Household Spending, Industrial Production
          Spain 16Q4 GDP & Dec CPI, HICP
          UK GfK Jan Consumer Confidence & Lloyds Business Barometer
          Aussie NAB Dec Business Conditions/Confidence, Private Sector Credit
          Japan Dec Vehicle Production, Housing Starts, Construction Orders
          French 16Q4 GDP, Dec PPI, CPI & HICP 
          SNB (Swiss) 16Q4 Currency Allocation
          BoJ 2-day Meeting Ends w/Statement & Kuroda Press Conf. (Tues local time)
          German Jan Unemployment Rate + Jan CPI & HICP
          Italian Unemployment Rate/Change, Dec PPI
          UK Dec Net Consumer Lending, Mortgage Approvals, M4-Money Supply
          Eurozone 16Q4 GDP, Dec Unemployment Rate, Jan CPI
          India Dec Federal Fiscal Deficit & Infrastructure Output
          South Africa Dec Trade Balance
          Brazil Dec Budget Balance, Debt/GDP
          ECB's Draghi, EU Commission VP Dombrovskis, ECB Bd Member Mersch @ ECB/European Commission Joint Conference
         ECB's Coeure, European Securities Markets Authority Maijoor, LSE CEO Rolet panelists on "Innovation & Regulation in the world of tomorrow" (Frankfurt)
Tuesday,   Jan. 31 FOMC 2-day Monetary Policy Meeting starts (thru 02/01)
US Dec ECI (Employment Cost Index)
Canada Nov GDP, Dec Industrial Product & Raw Materials Price Indices
S&P Case Shiller Nov. House Price Index
Chicago PMI
Dallas & Texas Fed Services Revs/Outlook
Conference Board's (F) Jan Consumer Confidence/Expectations
US Treasury Auctions 4-week & $20B 52-week Bills
USDA Farm Prices
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:

         New Zealand 16Q4 Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation/Earnings + Visitors & Migration
         South Korea Dec Industrial Production & Service Sector Output
         India Jan Nikkei Markit Manufacturing PMI
         BoC Gov. Poloz speaks @U of Alberta School of Biz w/press conference
         Aussie AIG Jan Performance of Manufacturing Index, CoreLogic Jan House PI  & Commodity Prices
         Russian Markit Jan Manufacturing PMI
         South Korea Dec Industrial Production & Service Sector Output + Jan Trade Balance
         UK BRC Jan Shop Price Index & Nationwide Home Price Index
         Spanish Jan Manufacturing PMI
         Japan Nikkei Jan (F) PMI Manufacturing Index
         China Jan Manufacturing & Non-Manufacturing PMI
         Japan Jan Official Reserves & Bankruptcies + Dec Unemployment Rate
         Aussie RBA Jan Commodity Index
         Swiss Jan SVME PMI
         Markit Jan Eurozone, France, Germany + UK Manufacturing PMI
Wed.          Feb 01 FOMC MPC Meeting   Statement (2pm et)
US Jan Motor Vehicle Sales

MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications + Delinquencies
ADP Jan Private Sector Employment Report
RBC Jan Canadian Manufacturing PMI
Brazil FX Flows  + Jan Trade Balance
US Treasury Refunding Announcement includes 3- & 10-yr Notes +30-yr Bonds
US Markit ISM & PMI Manufacturing Indices/Prices Paid
US Dec Construction Spending
EIA weekly Petroleum/Distillate/Gasoline Stats (w/e 01/27)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Japan Jan Monetary Base, Foreign Purchase of Japan bonds/Stocks
         Aussie Dec Trade Balance, Building Approvals +Jan. AIG Mnftg Index
         Japan Jan Consumer Confidence Index   + JGB 10-year Auction
         South Korea Jan CPI
         Swiss Dec Retail Sales
         Spain Unemployment Change/Rate
         ECB publishes Econonic Bulletin
         UK Markit/CIPS Jan Construction PMI
         Eurozone Dec PPI
         BoE MPC Rates Set, & Bond+ QE Targets + Inflation Report (Thurs. local time)
        
Thursday,  Feb 02 BoE Gov Carney post-MPC Meeting/Inflation Report Press Conference
US Jan. Chain Store Sales (9 still report + some will release Qtr Sales)
Challenger Jan. Job Cut Report
US 16Q4 Productivity & Costs
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         Aussie AIG Jan Performance of Services Index
         South Korea Dec Current Account
         RBA (Aussie) Monetary Policy Statement
         Hong Kong Jan Manufacturing PMI & Dec Retail Sales
         India Nikkei Jan Services PMI
         BoJ Minutes of 12/19--20/16 Meeting
         New Zealand Jan ANZ Commodity Prices
         Japan Nikkei Jan Services PMI
         China Caixin Jan Manufacturing PMI
         Russian Central Bank (Feb) Interest Rate Decision
         UBS Swiss 16Q4 Real Estate Bubble Index
         Markit Jan Eurozone, France, Italy, Germany, Spain, Services & Composite PMIs
         Brazil Markit Jan Services & Composite PMI
         UK Jan Services PMI
         Italian Jan CPI & HICP
         UK CIPS Jan Services & Composite PMI
         UK Jan Official FX Reserves/Changes
         Eurozone Dec Retail Sales
Friday,      Feb 03 US Jan. Unemployment Rate/Participation/New Job Adds, Hrly Earnings
BLS 12-month Benchmark Revisions to Employment Survey Data
Fed's Evans
on current eco conditions & monetary policy @Prairie State College Economic Breakfast (Olympia Fields IL)
US Dec. Factory Orders
US (F) Dec Durables Goods Orders/Shipments
US Markit Jan PMI & ISM Services Indices
Baker-Hughes weekly US/No. American Rig Count
    OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. et:

         Aussie AIG Jan Services Index
Saturday,  Feb 04 Chinese Lunar New Year Celebrations Wrap

         WEEKS AHEAD: 02/07  RBA
(Aussie) MPC Meeting
                                        02/09    RBNZ
(New Zealand) MPC Meeting
                                       
02/14    Riksbank (Sweden) MPC Meeting
                                        02/20    US Holiday ALL US Markets Closed for Presidents Day
                                        03/01    BoC
(Canada) MPC Meeting
                                        03/09    ECB MPC Meets
                                 03/14--15    FOMC Meets,
                                        03/15    FOMC Updates Forecasts + Yellen post-FOMC Meeting Press Conference

                                        03/16    BoE MPC Meets
                                                    SNB (Swiss) MPC Meets
                                                    BoJ MPC Meets
                                                    Norges Bank (Norway) MPC Meets

*FOMC 2017 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm).  NY Fed pres.also a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2017, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.:New voting members, for 2017, include Philly Fed Pres. Patrick Harker, Minneapolis Fed Pres Neel "Too Big to Fail" Kashkari, Dallas Fed's Robert Kaplan, and Chiago Fed Pres Charles Evans.  Evans was last a voter in 2015. The other 3 are voters for the first time. Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City) have lost their votes in 2017. In an Oct. speech, Harker said he would have preferred if rates had been raised at the prior FOMC meeting. Kaplan was a 23-yr veteran of Goldman Sachs befor3e winding up at Harvard Business school. Mester & George are hawks that dissented at several 2016 meetings until the 2016 rate hike announced 12/14 but aren't voters in 2017.  
                     

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