wall street in advance

December 2016--January 2017  Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,      Dec. 25     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         Japan Nov Corporate Service Price
         BoJ Minutes of Oct 31--Nov 01 Meeting
         BoJ Gov Kuroda
speaks (Keidanren)
Monday,     Dec. 26 US & Most Western Markets Observe Christmas on Monday, Dec. 26.
All US Markets Closed

BoJ Gov Kuroda speaks at meeting of Councillors of Nippon Keidanren (Japan Business Federation)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         Japan Nov. Jobless Rate, Household Spending, National CPI
         China Nov Industrial Profits
         German Nov Retail Sales & Import Price Index
         Japan Nov Housing Starts, Construction Orders, Nat'l CPI
         Brazil Nov Budget Balance & Debt/GDP Ratio
Tuesday,   Dec. 27 Case Shiller Oct. Home Price Index
Conference Board's US Consumer Confidence
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
US Treasury Auctions $34B 3-, & $28B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $50B 4-week & $26B 2-year Notes (1pm et)
Boxing Day Holiday in Canada & Australia, Adiitional Xmas Holidays in UK, New Zealand, Hong Kong
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         Japan Nov (P) Industrial Production, Retail Trade, Vehicle Production
         Swiss Nov Consumption Indicator
         Spanish Nov. Retail Sales
         UK Nationwide Dec House Prices, & BBA Loans for House Purchases
Wed.,         Dec. 28 Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
NAR Nov. Pending Homes Sales Index
US Treasury Auctions $13B reopened 2-year Floating Rate Notes (11:30am et)
Brazil FX Exchange Flows
US Treasury Auctions $34B 5-year Notes  (1pm et)
     OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          South Korea Jan BSI Mnftg Index, Nov Industrial Production & Service Sector Outpu
         Hong Kong Nov Exports/Imports
         Eurozone Nov M3
         South Africa Nov Trade Balance
         Canadian Dec CFIB Business Barometer
Thursday,  Dec. 29 US Nov. International Trade Deficit
US Weekly Jobless Claims

US Nov (P) Wholesale & Retail Inventories
Dallas Fed Dec Services Revs & Texas Services Sector Outlook
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et)
EIA weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (11:am et)
US Treasury Auctions $28B 7-year Notes (1pm et)
US Treasury Refunding Announcement
USDA Farm Prices (3pm et)
US Weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         South Korea Dec CPI
         Aussie Nov Private Sector & Housing Credit
         Singapore Nov Bank Lending
         Chinese Q3 (F) Current Account Balance
         South Africa Nov Private Sector Credit, Trade Balance, & M3 Money Supply
         Spanish Oct Current Account & Dec HICP
         Hong Kong Nov M3 Money Supply
         Italian Nov PPI
         India Q3 Foreign Debt
Friday,       Dec. 30 Chicago Dec. PMI
Baker-Hughes US/North American Rig Count (1pm et)
Bond Market (only) Closes 2pm et

Holiday in Russia, UK (closed 12:30pm gmt), Germany (close 3pm cet)
Saturday,   Dec. 31 South Korea Dec Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
Taiwan Pres Tsai Ing-wem New Year's Eve News Conference
Bk of Korea Gov. Ju-yeol New Year speech
    OVERNIGHT into US Sunday a.m. et:
         China Dec Non-Manufacturing PMI
Sunday,      Jan. 01 HAPPY NEW YEAR!
EU Presidency taken over by Malta
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:

         China Caixin China Dec. Manufacturing PMI
         Nikkei India Dec Manufacturing PMI
         Markit Eurozone, Italy, France, Germany Dec. Manufacturing PMI
         South Africa Dec Total Vehicle Sales
Monday,    Jan. 02 New Year Holiday Celebrations Continue in Most of the World
ALL US MARKETS CLOSED

Brazil Dec Trade Balance & Markit Manufacturing PMI
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
          Singapore Q4 GDP & URA Property Price Index
         Aussie Dec. AIG Performance of Manufacturing Index, CoreLogic Dec House Price Index, RBA Dec. COmmodity Index
         Nikkei Japan Dec. Manufacturing PMI
         Hong Kong Nov Retail Sales
         Swiss SVME-Dec PMI, Dec. Total Sight Decposits
         UK Markit Dec. Manufacturing PMI
         German Dec (P) CPI + HICP
         Singapore Dec. Manufacuring PMI
         German Dec Unemployment Rate/Chanage
Tuesday,   Jan. 03 Dec. '16 US PMI & ISM Manufacturing Indices, w/Orders & Prices Paid
US Nov '16 Construction Spending
Canada RBC Dec Manufacturing PMI
US Treasury Auctions$45B 4-wk, $34B 3-, & $28B 6-month Bills (11:30am et)
US Treasury Auctions $20B 52-week Bills (11:30am et)
Argentine Central Bank MPC Meets
Japan & New Zealand Continue New Year Holidays
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
          South Korea Dec FX Reserves & Nov. Current Account
          China Caixin Dec Services & Composite PMI
          Japan Dec Official Reserve Assets & Manufacturing PMI
          India Dec Nikkei Services PMI
          Markit Eurozone, France, Italy, Germany Dec (F) Services & Composite PMI
          Norges Bank Dpty Gov Matsen address to 39th Annual Norwegian Ass'n of Economists @Oslo Business School
          UK Markit/CIPS Dec. Construction PMI, Nov. Mortgage Approvals
          BoE Net Consumer Credit, Mortgage Lending, & Nov M4 Money Supply
          Italy Dec CPI & HICP
          Eurozone Dec CPI
Wed.          Jan. 04 US Dec '16 Motor Vehicle Sales
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications
ADP Private Sector Dec Emplyment Report
Redbook weekly Store Sales Snapshot
BoE Economist Haldane on "Why the belief that 'if you work hard, you'll do better' and 'How Economic recovery is spread unevenly across the UK'" (London)
Brazil Markit Dec Services & Composite PMIs
FOMC Dec. 13--14th, 2016 Meeting Minutes (2pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         Aussie Dec AIG Performance of Service Index
         South Africa Standard Bank Dec PMI
         Japan Dec. Monetary Base, Nov. Loans & Discounts + Nikkei Dec. Services & Composite PMI
          ECB Minutes of its Dec. Monetary Policy Meeting
          Swiss Dec CPI
          Hong Kong Dec Manufacturing PMI
          Italian Q3 Public Deficit
          Markit German Dec Construction PMI & Markit Retail PMI
          UK Dec New Car Registrations + Markit/CIPS Services & Composite PMI
          UK Dec. Official Reserves/Changes
          Eurozone Nov. PPI
          Brazil Nov Industrial Production & Auto Production + Sales
          Japan FinMin Kishida to France (thru 01/11)
Thursday,  Jan. 05 Dec. Chain Store Sales (9 still report monthly but more "holiday" sales expected)
Challenger Dec Job Cut Report
US weekly Initial Jobless Claims (last week of year usually slows)
Canada Nov. Industrial Product (IPPI) & Raw Material Prices (RMPI)
US Dec. PMI Services & Composite Index
US Dec. ISM Services Index
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report (10:30am et)
EIA Weekly Petroleum/Gasoline/Distillates Report (11am et)
US Treasury Refunding Announcement to include 10-yr Notes & 30-year Bonds
US Weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into Friday a.m. et:
          Japanese Purchases of Foreign Stocks & Bonds, and vice versa
          Japan Nov Labor Cash Earnings & Overtime Pay
          Aussie Nov. Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          German Nov. Factory Orders
          French Nov. Trade Balance & Current Account
          Hong Kong Dec. FX Reserves
          Swiss Dec. FX Reeserves
          UK Q3 Unit Labor Costs
          Eurozone Dec Economic, Business, Industrial, Services & Consumer Confidence
          Czech Nat'l Bank publishes Minutes of its Dec Policy Meeting
          National Bank of Romania MPC Meets
          India Bank Loan & Deposit Growth (cancellation of large Rupee Notes impact)
          Eurozone Nov Retail Sales
Friday,      Jan. 06 US Dec. Unemployment Report
US Nov. International Trade Deficitr
US Nov. Factory Orders + Nov (F) Durable Goods Orders/Shipments
Canada Dec Unemployment Rate/Changes, & Nov Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
Canada Ivey Dec PMI
Fed's Kaplan panelist on "The U.S. and the Global Economic Outlook" @Joint AEA/NABE Convention
Fed's Evans panelsist at JT AEA & NABE Conference Panel (11:15am)
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North American Rig Count
Fed's Lacker
on "Economic Outlook, January 2017" @MD  Bankers Ass'n 1st Friday Economic Outlook Forum w/Q&A (Baltimore MD 1pm et)
Fed's Evans panelist on "Responders of First or Last Resort: Central Bank Strategies in an Era of Ultra-Low Interest Rates" @Jt AEA/NABE Convention
Saturday,  Jan. 07 China Dec. FX Reserves
Fed's Kashkari panelist on "Ending Too Big to Fail" @AEA Annual

         WEEKS AHEAD:  01/09  Fed's Evans
on Eco Outlook @CFA Society Chicago
                                                     Fed's Rosengren speaks @CT Business & Industrial Ass'n Annual Economic Summit & Outlook
                                                    Fed's Lockhart on monetary policy @Rotary Club of Atlanta
                                         01/12   BoE
MPC Meets
                                         01/18   BoC
(Canada) MPC Meeets
                                         01/19   ECB
MPC Meets
                                         01/31   BoJ
MPC Meets
                             0
1/31--02/01  FOMC MPC Meeting

*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm).  NY Fed pres.also a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016 but will stick to his "Too Big .to Fail" mantra on banks
                     

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