wall street in advance

November 2016 Economic Statistics
and Other Economic Influences

TUESDAYS:
                Weekly Chain Store Sales*
                 Average Hourly Earnings*
                 API Weekly Gas/Oil Stockpiles Report*  **
(4:30p.m.)
    WEDNESDAYS:
                
Mortgage Applications  Data
                 EIA Weekly Report on Gas & Oil Stockpiles* (10a.m.)
    THURSDAYS:
                 Weekly Unemployment Report*
                  Weekly Mutual Fund Flows*
                   Natural Gas Storage Levels* (a.m.)

 *Except Holidays    ** As of 1/09         All Dates Subject to Change:
Sunday,      Nov. 06     OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
         Aussie AIG Oct Performance of Construction Index + Oct. FX Reserves
         BoJ Minutes of Sept 20/21 Meeting
         Japan Sept Real Cash Earnings + Overtime
         South Africa Oct FX Reserves
         China Oct FX Reserves
         German Sept Factory Orders + Markit Oct. German Construction PMI
         Spain Sept Industrial Production
         Swiss Oct FX Reserves, & CPI 
         Eurozone, German, French, Italian Markit Oct Retail PMI
         ECB's Constancio panelist @EU Macro-Prudential Hearing
         Hong Kong Oct FX Reserves
         Singapore Oct FX Reserves
         Eurozone Sept Retail Sales & Sentix Nov. Investor Confidence
         UK Halifax Oct House Prices
         Brazil Oct Auto Production/Sales 
         ECB's Lautenschlager speaks @Bundesbank Regional Office Corporate Evening  (Munich Germany)
         Nat'l Bk of Belgium Gov. Smets speaks @Belgian Financial Forum (Brussels)
Monday,     Nov. 07 Fed's Oct. Labor Market Conditions Index
Federal Reserve's Senior Loan Officer Survey
US Treasury Auctions $42B 3-, & $36B 6-month Bills
TD Ameritrade IMX
Fed's Evans speaks at a Chicago Conference (2:45pm)
US Sept Consumer Credit (3pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         Japan Oct Official Reserve Assets
         Aussie NAB Oct. Business Confidence
         China Oct Trade Balance (Import/Export) & Foreign Direct Investment
         RBA's (Aussie) Ryan (Head of Int'l) speaks @7th Pan-Asian Regulatory Summit   (Hong Kong)
         Swiss Oct Unemployment Rate
         German Sept Industrial Production, Trade Balance, Current Account
         French Sept Current Account, Gov't Budget Balance  + Trade Balance
         UK Sept Industrial & Manufacturing Production + BRC Oct Retail Sales Monitor
Tuesday,    Nov. 08 US Election Day
NFIB Oct. Small Business Optimism Index
Chico Fed's Evans participant in moderated discussion "A Conversation with Charles Evans," on eco & policy w/Q&A @Council of Foreign Relations (7:45am et NY)
Eurozone FinMins Meet
BoC Dpy Gov Schembri speech @Atlantic Institute for Market Studies (Halifax)
Redbook weekly store sales snapshot
JOLTS (Job Quits & Turnover (10am et)
Canada Oct Housing Starts/Sept Building Permits
UK NIESR Oct GDP Estimate
US Treasury Auctions $20B 52-week Bills (11:30am et)
Fed's Evans speaks @UBS Knowledge Network Luncheon w/Q&A (NY 12:20pm et)
US Treasury Auctions $24B 3-year Notes (1pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et:
         BoJ's Kuwabara speaks @2nd FinTech Forum (Tokyo)
         New Zealand Oct Card Spending & Nov. Westpac Consumer Confidence
         South Korea Oct Unemployment Rate
         Japan Sept Current Account, + Trade Balance, & Oct Bank Lending
         China Oct CPI & PPI
         Japan Oct. Machine Tool Orders, Bankruptcies, & Eco Watchers Outlook
         UK Sept Trade Balance
Wed.          Nov. 09 MBA Mortgage/Refinance Applications
US Sept Wholesale Trade (10am et)
ECB's Nuoy speaks (Brussels)
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats (w/e 11/04)
ECB's Coeure panelist @9th Days of the Economy  (Lyon France)
EU Commission Autumn Economic Forecasts
Brazil Oct CPI & FX Flows
ECB's Praet speech "What policy mix for a thriving European capital market?  @ECMI Conference
US Treasury Auctions $23B 10-year Notes (1pm et)
MN Fed's "Too Big To Fail" Kashkari fireside chat @Economic Outlook Lunch (Eau Claire WI) w/Q&A (1:30pm)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
         S.F. Fed's Williams
fireside chat on Outlook on the Economy @U of SF w/media & Q&A  (9pm et)
         RBNZ ( New Zealand) MPC Rate Decision   (11/10 local time)
         BoJ Summary of Opinions from MPC 10/31--11/01 Meeting
         Japan Sept Core Machinery Orders, Oct M3 Money Stock, Tokyo Office Vacancies
         Aussie Nov Consumer Inflation Expectations, Sept Home Loans, Investment Lending, Value of Loans
         China Oct Financing, Yuan Loans, Money Supply
         UK RICS Oct House Price Balance
         French, Italian, Sept/Q3 Industrial Production
         South Africa Sept Gold & Mining + Manufacturing Production
         Brazil Sept Retail Sales
         ECB's Mersch speaks (Windsor UK)
         New Zealand Oct REINZ House Sales
Thursday,  Nov. 10 US weekly Jobless Claims
Fed's Bullard speaks @Commerce Bank w/Q&A + Media (St Louis MO 9:15am)
Canada Sept New Housing Price Index
S.F. Fed's Williams discusses economy (San Francisco CA) 
Russia Central Bank Reserves
ECB's Constancio & Riksbank's Ingves speech "How the Riksbank's bond purchases affect government finances" @Swedish Bankers' Ass'n Annual Mtg (Stockholm)
EIA weekly Natural Gas Report
US Treasury Auctions $15B 30-year Bonds (1pm et)
US Treasury Budget Announced
Fed's weekly Balance Sheet & Money Supply
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Oct Performance of Manufacturing Index + Food Prices
         Japan Oct Corporate Goods Price Index
         RBA's (Aussie) Debelle panelist (Melbourne)
         Japan Reuters Nov. Tankan Index, (F Oct) Machine Tool Orders + Sept Tertiary Industry Index
         South Korea MPC Interest Rate Decision
         German Oct CPI & HICP
         Hong Kong Q3 GDP
         India Sept Industrial Production +Manufacturing Output
         German Oct CPI
         UK Sept Construction Outpu
Friday,        Nov. 11 US Treasury & Banks (Only) Closed for Veterans Day Holiday
Fed Gov. Fischer "US Monetary Policy and the Global Economy" Speech @20th Annual Conference of the Central Bank of Chile (Santiago via live video 9am et)
S.F. Fed's Williams panelist on "Leveraging Regional Strengths to Grow Chinese Trade & Investment" @Pacific Business & Investment Briefing   (San Francisco)
Russia Trade balance
US Nov. Prelim U.M. Consumer Sentiment/Expectations
BoC's Poloz panelist (Santiago)
Baker-Hughes weekly US/North America Rig Count (1pm et)
Saturday,   Nov. 12
Sunday,     Nov. 13 Milken Institute Partnering for Cures (NY thru 15th)
World Economic Forum Annual Meeting on Global Future Councils (Dubai UAE thru 14th)
    OVERNIGHT into US Mon. a.m. et:
          South Korea Oct Import/Export Prices
          Japan Q3 GDP, Private Consumption/Business Spending, Sept Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
          Aussie Sept Credit Card Purchases/Balances
          BoJ's Kuroda speaks to business leaders (Nagoya)
          Chinese Oct Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Fixed Asset Investment
          Swiss Oct. Producer & Import Prices
          Italian OCt CPI & HICP
          Eurozone Sept Industrial Production
Monday,    Nov. 14 US Treasury Auctions $42B 3-, & $36B 6-month Bills
Fed's Kaplan participates in Q&A @Wichita Falls Annual Economic Forum (TX 1:20pm et)
Fed's Lacker speaks w/Q&A + panelist on "Our Fiscal Health: How the National Debt Could Impact the Future for America's Youth" (4:30pm et Chestertown MD)
Fed's Williams panelist @Bay Area Council (San Francisco 6:30pm et)
India Holiday
BoE's CBA: Central Bank Analytics Research Forum (London thru 15th)
CFRI Current Financial Reporting Issues Conference (NY thru 15th)
Pres. Obama attends APEC--Voices of the Future, SME, Senior Officials & CEO Summit (Lima Peru thru 20th)
    OVERNIGHT into US Tues. a.m. et:
         New Zealand Q3 Retail Sales
         Singapore Sept Retail Sales
         India Oct WPI Food, Fuel, Manufacturing Inflation
         RBA (Aussie) Nov. Meeting Minutes + Lowe speaks @CEDA--Cmte for Economic Development of Australia (Melbourne)
         German Q3 (Prelim) GDP +Nov. ZEW Survey
         French & Spanish Oct CPI & HICP
         Italian Q3 (Prelim) GDP
         UK Oct CPI, Retail Price Index(RPI), PPI, Sept House Price Index
         South Africa Q3 Unemployment Rate
         Eurozone Q3 GDP, Sept Trade Balance  
         India Oct CPI
         S.L. Fed's Bullard panelist on "Monetary Policy After QE: Helicopter Money or Back to Raising Rates?" @UBS European Conference (London 3am et)
Tuesday,    Nov. 15 Fed's Rosengren keynotes @Portland Chamber of Commece ( ME 7:30am et)
US Oct. Retail Sales
BoE's Carney delivers Annual Inflation Report to UK Treasury Select Cmte Hearing
Empire State Manufacturing Survey
Fed Gov Tarullo speaks on "The Policy Trends--From monetary to financial regulation--Shaping business in the new year @WSJ CEO Council (D.C. 9:05am et)
US Oct Import/Export Prices
SEC Chair White testifies before House Financial Services Cmte on SEC's agenda, operations & FY18 budget
Redbook weekly retail store snapshot
Canada Teranet/Nat'l Bank Oct House Price Index , Oct Existing Home Sales
Bundesbank's Dombret speaks @19th Euro Finance Week "Brexit, Banking, Bubbles--Chances & Risks in the New Normal" (Frankfurt German thru 18th)
US Oct Business Inventories
Brookings Institution Center for Health Policy, "Wall Street Comes to Washington" Roundtable w/analysts from Leerink, GS, Mizuho (D.C. 9:10am et)
Fed V.Chair. Fischer keynotes "Do We Have a Liquidity Problem?" @Brookings Institution (1:30pm et D.C.)
Pres. Obama embarks on his last world tour
    OVERNIGHT into US Wed. a.m. et;
          Japan Q3 Housing Loans
          Aussie Oct New Motor Vehicle Sales, Q3 Wage Cost Index
          South Korea Oct Trade Balance (Imports/Exports)
          BoJ's Bd Member Masai speaks to business leaders (Saitama)
          RBA Ass't Gov Kent speaks @Australian Business Economics Conf. Dinner (Sydney)
          New Zealand Oct. non-Resident Bond Holdings
          Bundesbank's Theile speaks @Euro Finance Week CHINA DAY--3rd European-Chinese Banking Day (Frankfurt)
          UK Oct Jobless Claims/Rate/Change/Earnings+ILO Q3 Unemployment Rate
          Swiss Nov. ZEW Survey
Wed.,         Nov. 16 MN Fed's Kashkari @New York Economic Club (7:30am et)
MBA weekly Mortgage/Refinance Applications (a week in which bond yields flew)
US Oct. PPI-Final Demand
US Oct Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
Canada Sept Manufacturers Shipments
Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations
NAHB Nov. Housing Market Index
FSOC Meets (@US Treasury)
EIA weekly Petroleum Stats (doesn't appear to be delay because of 11/11 holiday)
Brazil FX Flows
BoC's (Canada) Lane speaks @Ctr for Int'l Governance Innovation (Waterloo On.)
US Sept TICS
Fed's Harker speaks on purposes & functions of the Fed @Philly Fed w/Q&A (5:30pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Thurs. a.m. et:
          New Zealand Q3 PPI
         Aussie Oct Unemployment Rate/Change/Participation + RBA FX Transactions
         Singapore Oct Non Oil Exports
         Japan Oct Dept Store Sales
         FrenchQ3 Unemployment Rate
         Hong Kong Oct Unemployment Rate
         Italian Sept Trade Balance
         Euro 25 Oct New Car Registrations
         ECB's Mersch speaks @Euro Finance Week
         UK Oct Retail Sales
         Eurozone Oct CPI,
Sept Construction Output
Thursday,  Nov. 17 US Oct CPI
US Oct Housing Starts/Building Permits

Fed Chair Yellen testifies on the Economic Outlook @Jt Economic Cmte of Congress (10am et)
US weekly Jobless Claims
Philly Fed Nov. Business Outlook Survey
NY Fed's Dudley opens Global Research Forum on Int'l Macroeconomics & Finance (8:50am et NY Fed)
Fed's Dudley & Fed Gov. Brainard speak @Freelancers Union Forum on "The Evolution of Work" (NY)
Cato Institute 34th Annual Monetary Conference--Central Banks & Financial Turmoil w/CFTC Commish Giancarlo, FDIC V. Chair Hoenig, & Sen. Phil Gramm + (D.C.)
SEC Annual Conference on Small Business Capital Formation (D.C.)
US Q3 eCommerce Retail Sales
EIA weekly Natural Gas Stats
US Treasury Auctions $11B reopened 10-year TIPS
Russia Central Bank FX Reserves
BoC Releases Review collection of research papers
US Treasury Refunding Announcement
BoE's Bailey speak before the @CFTC Market Risk Advisory Cmte (D.C.)
SNB's (Swiss) Maechler speaks (Geneva) 
Canada Sept TICS
Fed's Evans makes remarks at Chicago conference (2:45pm)
US weekly Fed Balance Sheet & Money Supply
ECB's Praet speaks (NY)
    OVERNIGHT into US Fri. a.m. et:
         China Oct Property & House Prices

         South Korea Oct PPI
         German Oct PPI
         ECB Chief Draghi & Bundesbank's Weidmann speak @Euro Finance Week (Frankfurt Germany)
         Eurozone Sept Current Account & Net Investment Flows
         St. L. Fed's Bullard panelist w/SNB's Maechler @Frankfurt European Banking Congress w/Q&A (5:30am et Frankfurt Germany)
Friday,       Nov. 18 Fed's George (dissenter) @K.C. & Dallas Fed Banks Jt Oil Conference w/Q&A (Houston 9:30am et)
BoE's Broadbent speaks @Society of Business Economists Annual Conf (London)
K.C. Fed Manufacturing Index
Chico Fed's Evans opens the 11th Annual COmmunity BAnkers Symposium (Chicago Federal Reserve)
SEC Chair White speaks at NYU Law School's "A New Model for SEC Enforcement: Producing Bold & Unrelenting Results" (NY)
Am. Bar Ass'n Business Law Section Conference w/members of the SEC
Canada Oct CPI
Baker-Hughes US/North American weekly Rig Count
Fed's Kaplan participant in Q&A @K.C. & Dallas Fed Jt Oil Conference (Houston TX 1:30pm et)
    OVERNIGHT into US Sat. a.m. et:
         Fed Gov. Powell
on "The Global Trade Slowdown & its Implications for Emerging Asia @Center for Pacific Basin Studies (9:45pm et San Francisco)
Saturday,   Nov. 19 Gangzhou (China) Auto, Commercial & Electric Vehicle Show (thru 27th)

         WEEKS AHEAD:    
11/23    FOMC Minutes of Nov 01--02 Meeting
                                               12/06   RBA (Aussie) MPC Meets  
                                                           RBNZ (New Zealand) MPC Meets
                                               12/07   BoC MPC Meets
                                               12/08   ECB MPC Meets
                                        12/13--14   FOMC MPC Meets (Rate Hike Expected)
                                               12/14    FOMC Decision, Updated Forecast, Yellen Press Conference
                                               12/15   BoE MPC Meets on Rates, Releases Minutes
                                                           SNB (Swiss) MPC Meets
                                                           Norges (Norway) MPC Meets
                                               12/20   BoJ MPC Meets

*FOMC 2016 Voting Members:  Five governors on the FOMC are permanent voters: Janet Yellen, Stanley Fischer, Lael Brainard, Jay Powell and Dan Tarullo.vote at every meeting. (Board Governors endure 2 vacancies that Senate refuses to confirm).  NY Fed pres.also a permanent FOMC voting member. The rest of the voters, in 2016, are 5 of the 11 regional Fed Pres.: Loretta Mester (Cleveland), Eric Rosengren (Boston), James Bullard (St. Louis) and Esther George (Kansas City). Mester, George and Bullard are hawks, while Rosengren is considered a dove. Evans, Lockhart, Williams, and Lacker were 2015 voters, now off the voting panel at 2016 FOMC meetings. Neel Kashkari, former TARP overseer, took over Presidency of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, replacing Kocherlakota, who wound up a short-lived leader. Kashkari won't vote in 2016 but will stick to his "Too Big .to Fail" mantra on banks
                     

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